scholarly journals Projected Population Size and Age Structure for Canada and Provinces: With and Without International Migration

2007 ◽  
Vol 34 (2) ◽  
pp. 103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shirley Loh ◽  
M. V. George
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
International Migration ◽  
Age Structure ◽  
Current Level ◽  
The Other ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Limited Effect ◽  
Continuous Increase ◽  
Size And Age Structure ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the effect of net international migration on prospective population growth and age structure in Canada for the next 50 years. It also examines the impact of international migration on provincial growth and distribution. The procedure used in this study is by comparing two projected population scenarios, one with international migration and the other without international migration, based on the latest 2005-based population projections. The analysis of the scenarios shows that the assumed level of international migration which is higher than the current level contributes to a continuous increase in population over the next 50 years, but has limited effect to prevent or offset the overall aging trend.

scholarly journals Mortality and causes of death in Helsinki in 1750-1865 with a comparison with Tallin

1997 ◽  
pp. 47-70
Author(s):  
Oiva Turpeinen
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Whooping Cough ◽  
Focal Point ◽  
Spotted Fever ◽  
Adult Population ◽  
The Other ◽  
Cultural Relations ◽  
Contagious Diseases ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Town

Between 1750 and 1865 the population of Helsinki grew from around 1,500 inhabitants to 23,500 inhabitants. Part of this growth is explained by general population growth, typical of both Finland and the rest of Europe. The fact that Helsinki grew more rapidly compared to the other towns of Finland was due to two additional factors with underlying political causes: one was the building of the fortress of Viapori alongside the town at the end of the 1700s and the other Helsinki’s becoming the capital of autonomous Finland in 1812. This latter decision moved the administrative and in part the economic focal point of Finland from Turku to Helsinki. The population growth of Helsinki was not the result of an excess of births over deaths, instead it was caused by migration gain. High mortality, again, was linked to the impact of contagious diseases. Intestinal diseases which spread among children by means of food substances raised infant mortality, in particular, but there were also many other diseases (smallpox, measles, whooping cough, diphtheria, and scarlet fever) which carried many small children to their grave. Cholera, which spread to Helsinki repeatedly in the 1800s, killed many of Helsinki’s inhabitants, but nevertheless cholera’s significance has been greatly exaggerated. The most important single killer of the adult population was tuberculosis, but in addition many other diseases, such as typhoid, spotted fever and dysentery, and in part venereal diseases, markedly raised the mortality statistics of Helsinki. When comparing the remarkably great rises and declines in the annual mortality figures of Helsinki and Tallinn, one notes how very much they coincide. This demonstrates the active contacts existing between the two towns. As a result of the diversity of economic and cultural relations, contagious diseases spread and evolved into epidemics, which rose to great heights in the capitals of both countries, from where they spread to the adjacent regions and other towns. The roads of contagion of Tallinn and Helsinki were partly connected to St. Petersburg, which especially in the 1800s grew into a metropolis even on a European scale. St. Petersburg had extensive international contacts, which facilitated the spread of diseases to rather remote Northern Europe.

Introduction

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel Llano
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Social Control ◽  
Social Inequalities ◽  
Theoretical Framework ◽  
The Other ◽  
Musical Practices ◽  
Police Action ◽  
The Media ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

The introduction analyzes the impact of modernization and population growth on Madrid’s society from the 1850s to the 1930s, attending to the widening of social inequalities and the escalation of problems such as crime, epidemics, and poverty. In addition, the introduction lays out the theoretical framework of the book. On one hand, it explores the different ways in which the relationship between marginality and social control can manifest in society and accounts for the way in which music can help to negotiate those tensions. On the other hand, it explores the construction of discourse around the categories music, noise, and sound. The media used those categories to marginalize certain sound and musical practices and to prompt legal and police action against the groups that owned them.

The Role of Trans-Tasman Migration in Forecasting the New Zealand Population

1993 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 395-415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacques Poot
Keyword(s):  
New Zealand ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
International Migration ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Net Migration ◽  
Zealand Population ◽  
Dominant Component ◽  
Population Forecasting

Population growth in New Zealand is rather volatile. International migration is the main cause of this. However, as is common in many countries, official population projections are based on a range of exogenously-set fixed levels of net migration. This article argues that, for the short to medium term, such projections can be improved upon by adopting econometric methodologies which take explicitly into account the demographic-economic two-way interaction in certain components of international migration. Specifically, the article summarizes research on the causes and consequences of trans-Tasman migration, which is the dominant component of the volatility in New Zealand's net migration. It is shown how these findings can aid population forecasting.

Population Growth Impacts of Zero Net International Migration

1997 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 294-311 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leon F. Bouvier ◽  
Dudley L. Poston ◽  
Nanbin Benjamin Zhai
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
International Migration ◽  
Population Change ◽  
Demographic Data ◽  
The United States ◽  
Natural Increase ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Demographic Processes

Natural increase, and net international migration are the demographic processes that determine the amount of growth or decline in a nation's population. In a country such as the United States, the contribution of net international migration to overall population change overshadows the contribution of natural increase. It has long been the practice, however, when making population projections for countries, to consider the role of zero net international migration in an incorrect manner. Some analysts have assumed that if the same number of people leave and enter the country each year, then the effect of net international migration will be zero. This article examines that assumption and shows that it is fallacious. Examining the direct, indirect, total, and negative demographic impacts of zero net international migration through simulations with demographic data, we demonstrate that zero net international migration is not the same and therefore does not have the same demographic results and implications as zero international migration. We conclude that zero net international migration should not be confused with zero international migration. In discussions of international migration in either sending or receiving countries, the two concepts must be kept separate for they are not identical and, moreover, have decidedly different demographic implications and effects.

scholarly journals Canadian Provincial Population Growth: Fertility, Migration, and Age Structure Effects

2009 ◽  
Vol 36 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Barry Edmonston
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Age Structure ◽  
Population Change ◽  
Stationary Population ◽  
Demographic Rates ◽  
Current Population ◽  
And Migration ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Below Replacement Fertility

The effect of changes in rates of mortality, fertility, and migration depend not only on the age-specific patterns and levels of these rates, but on the age structure of the population. In order to remove the influences of the age structure and concentrate on the impact of the demographic rates themselves, a common practice is to analyze the influences of the rates for a standard age structure. This paper adapts the general approach of using a standard age structure to a stationary population equivalent (SPE) model, and analyzes current population change, using the SPE model, for provinces of Canada. Below-replacement fertility levels are only partially offset by net immigration. The SPE model evidences the decrease in the eventual provincial populations brought about by the below replacement fertility. Out-migration for some provinces to other areas of Canada accentuates their eventual population decreases.

Body size and age structure of Pelophylax ridibundus populations from two different altitudes in Turkey

2011 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 287-292 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bilal Kutrup ◽  
Kurtuluş Olgun ◽  
Nurhayat özdemir ◽  
Nazan üzüm ◽  
Serkan Gül
Keyword(s):  
Body Size ◽  
Age Structure ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Sexual Size Dimorphism ◽  
The Other ◽  
Size Dimorphism ◽  
Pelophylax Ridibundus ◽  
Size And Age Structure ◽  
Two Populations ◽  
Different Altitudes

AbstractWe estimated differences in body size and age structure of two populations of Pelophylax ridibundus living at different altitudes in Turkey, one from Dörtyol (6 m a.s.l.) and the other from Karagöl (1480 m a.s.l.). Their age structure was determined by skeletochronology performed on the LAGs (lines of arrested growth) of the phalanges. While ages ranged from 2 to 8 years for males and from 2 to 7 years for females in Karagöl, in Dörtyol the ages ranged from 4 to 11 years for males, and 3 to 7 years for females. Sexual size dimorphism was only found in the Dörtyol population. Larger females tend to be found in hotter climates (Dörtyol) but reach maturity later (3-4 years) than the highland population (2 years). A significant relationship between age and snout-vent length (SVL) was found for both sexes and populations with the exception of females in Dörtyol.

scholarly journals Alternative scenarios of the demographic development of rural Russia: analysis and forecast

2021 ◽  
Vol 27 (108) ◽  
pp. 11-32
Author(s):  
Tatiana Viktorovna-Blinova ◽  
◽  
Svetlana Gennadievna-Bylina ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Age Structure ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Rural Population ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Demographic Situation ◽  
Size And Age Structure ◽  
Alternative Scenarios ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of the study is to discuss the alternative scenarios of the demographic development of rural Russia. The Covid-19 coronavirus pandemic has changed the demographic situation in Russia: mortality and natural population decline increased, while the birth rate decreased. Ba-sed on the cohort-component method, we projected the rural population size and age structure for the period 2024-2049. Six alternative scenarios were developed: three with zero migration (without taking into account the impact of migration changes on the rural population) and three with migration. Therefore, the migration outflow coefficient was included in the three forecasting scenarios. However, the inflow of some urban population to the countryside is not ruled out. The results show that the population of rural Russia will decrease from 37.3 million (2019) to 29.6–33.1 million people (2049). The age structure of the population will change, the demogra-phic aging of rural areas will continue.

TRANSFORMATION OF THE ETHNO-DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURE OF THE POPULATION OF THE EU COUNTRIES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF IMMIGRATION: FEATURE OF GERMANY AND AUSTRIA

2020 ◽  
pp. 31-42
Author(s):  
Sergey V. Ryazantsev ◽  
◽  
Marina N. Khramova ◽  
Elena V. Skoblina ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
International Migration ◽  
Local Population ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Demographic Structure ◽  
Demographic Development ◽  
Muslim Population ◽  
Eu Countries ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Eu

The article covers such issues as the impact of international migration on the ethno-demographic and socio-political situation in the EU countries in general and the particular cases of Germany and Austria. A special attention in the analysis has been paid to the peculiarities of immigration from countries with a predominantly Muslim population. Nowadays it can be stated with certainty that international migration is the only source of the population growth in most of the countries of the European Union. Amid low birth rates which do not even provide a simple reproduction of the population and aging processes, international migration has made it possible to provide a stable population growth in Germany, France, UK, Sweden, the Netherlands, Austria and some other EU countries. The analysis of the structure of migration flows gives an opportunity to conclude that in the last decade the main donors for the EU countries were countries with a predominantly Muslim population. In particular, these countries are characterized by a large number of children. Therefore, subject to sufficiently high rates of immigration, in the short and medium term, this may serve as a reserve for the demographic development of host countries. However, it is necessary to take into account the existing objective differences in the ethno-demographic structure of migrants and the local population, the national customs which are common for the countries of origin, the level of education, and a number of other characteristics. This requires European countries to transform approaches to the implementation of migration policy and develop new methods and mechanisms for the adaptation and integration of migrants from Muslim countries.

scholarly journals The impact of aid for trade on horizontal and vertical export diversification

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 135-147
Author(s):  
Vuyolwethu Vellem ◽  
Lukau Matezo Espoir
Keyword(s):  
Human Capital ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
The Other ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Export Diversification ◽  
Aid For Trade ◽  
Sub Saharan ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Generalized Moments

This work aims to identify the existing relationship between aid-for-trade flows and export diversification in sub-Saharan Africa and to develop Asia countries. The results of the estimate, conducted by the Generalized Moments Method (GMM) over the period 1995-2019, show a positive impact of Aid for Trade on horizontal and vertical diversification of exports for the entire sample, including positive and significant effects on per capita GDP growth, gross capital formation, commercial freedom, human capital, and population growth. In the sub-Saharan African sub-sample, Aid for Trade positively impacts vertical and horizontal diversification and the other variables, such as GDP by habitat, FDI, gross capital formation, and human capital; on the other hand, in the sub-sample of Asian countries, aid has a negative impact on horizontal and vertical diversification; moreover, GDP, FDI, gross capital formation, human capital, population growth, and inflation have a positive influence. Our study compared to previous studies mainly dealt with the “impact of aid on export diversification” aggregated forms, but this study fills the gaps in the literature by examining the impact of trade aid on diversification. from its vertical and horizontal dimensions and contribute to the improvement of knowledge in this field.  

scholarly journals The critical role of assumptions in population projections: The case of Belgium

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marie Vandresse
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
International Institutions ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Future Trends ◽  
The Future ◽  
And Migration ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Decision Making Tool

Population projections serve as a decision-making tool or as a tool to help contribute to discussions on the future of our societies. These projections are based on a series of choices made by the modeller about the projection methodology and the future trends in the population growth components (fertility, mortality and migration). To use these projections wisely, users should be aware of the impact of these choices on the results of a population projection. This article highlights the crucial role of the assumptions made on the future trends of the population growth components on the projection results, using population projections for Belgium published by national and international institutions.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document