Space Weather Services for Space Mission Operations

Author(s):  
Alessandro Donati ◽  
Marta Pantoquilho ◽  
Federico Di Marco ◽  
Daniel Ponz
Author(s):  
Leila Meshkat ◽  
Granvil Pennington ◽  
James Ruszkowski ◽  
Jean Haensly ◽  
Charles Hogle

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dario Del Moro ◽  
Gianluca Napoletano ◽  
Francesco Berrilli ◽  
Luca Giovannelli ◽  
Ermanno Pietropaolo ◽  
...  

<p>Solar wind transients, i.e. interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) drive Space Weather throughout the heliosphere and the prediction of their impact on different solar system bodies is one of the primary goals of the Planetary Space Weather forecasting. We realized a procedure based on the Drag-Based Model (Vrsnak et al., 2013, Napoletano et al. 2018) which uses probability distributions for the input parameters, and allows the evaluation of the uncertainty on the forecast. This approach has been tested against a set of ICMEs whose transit times are known, obtaining extremely promising results.</p><p>We apply this model to propagate a sample of ICMEs from their sources on the solar surface into the heliosphere. We made use of the seminal works by Prise et al. (2015), Winslow et al. (2015) and Witasse et al. (2017) who tracked the ICMEs through their journeys using data from several spacecraft.</p><p>Considering the extremely short computation time needed by the model to propagate ICMEs, this approach is a promising candidate to forecast ICME arrival to planetary bodies and spacecraft in the whole heliosphere, with relevant application to space-mission short-term planning.</p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 49 (1_suppl) ◽  
pp. 185-192
Author(s):  
T. Sato

The radiation environment in space is a complex mixture of particles of solar and galactic origin with a broad range of energies. In astronaut dose estimation, three sources must be considered: galactic cosmic radiation, trapped particles, and solar energetic particles (SEPs). The astronaut dose due to SEP exposure during a space mission is more difficult to estimate than the other components because the occurrence of a large solar particle event cannot be predicted by the current space weather research. Thus, several models have been proposed to estimate the worst-case scenario and/or the probability of the integral SEP fluence during a particular space mission, considering the confidence level, solar activity, and duration of the mission. In addition, recent investigations of the cosmogenic nuclide concentrations in tree rings and ice cores have revealed that the sun can cause solar particle events much larger than the largest event recorded in the modern solar observations. If such an extreme event occurs during a mission to deep space, astronauts may suffer from radiation doses in excess of the threshold value for some tissue reactions (0.5 Gy) and their career limit (0.6–1.2 Sv). This article reviews the recent progress made in space weather research that is useful for cosmic radiation dosimetry.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document