Extreme value statistical analysis of solar activity for Space Station

1995 ◽  
Author(s):  
O Smith ◽  
S Adelfang ◽  
B Anderson
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Space Station ◽  
Extreme Value

scholarly journals Electrons and X-Ray Emission of Solar Flares

1990 ◽  
Vol 142 ◽  
pp. 409-413
Author(s):  
V. G. Kurt
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Solar Flare ◽  
Frequency Dependence ◽  
Power Law ◽  
Solar Flares ◽  
X Rays ◽  
Fast Electrons ◽  
X Ray ◽  
Flare Frequency

A statistical analysis of solar flare X-rays and interplanetary particle fluxes, measured onboard VENERA-13, 14 Spacecraft, was performed. The correlation of fluences for different manifestations of solar flares is strong, especially for fast electrons and hard and soft X-ray emissions. Frequency dependence on fluence value ϵi for practically all Kinds of solar flare emission can be described by power law ν (ϵ > ϵO) ∼ ϵ−0.45±0.15 which does not change significantly with solar activity. For different Hα flare importances the values of ϵi were obtained. It is proposed that appearance of certain energy flare frequency is strongly dependent on some scale factor.

scholarly journals Statistics of the largest geomagnetic storms per solar cycle (1844-1993)

1997 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 719-728 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. M. Willis ◽  
P. R. Stevens ◽  
S. R. Crothers
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Geomagnetic Storm ◽  
Extreme Values ◽  
Geomagnetic Storms ◽  
Extreme Value ◽  
Extreme Value Statistics ◽  
Relative Dispersion ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Aa Index

Abstract. A previous application of extreme-value statistics to the first, second and third largest geomagnetic storms per solar cycle for nine solar cycles is extended to fourteen solar cycles (1844–1993). The intensity of a geomagnetic storm is measured by the magnitude of the daily aa index, rather than the half-daily aa index used previously. Values of the conventional aa index (1868–1993), supplemented by the Helsinki Ak index (1844–1880), provide an almost continuous, and largely homogeneous, daily measure of geomagnetic activity over an interval of 150 years. As in the earlier investigation, analytic expressions giving the probabilities of the three greatest storms (extreme values) per solar cycle, as continuous functions of storm magnitude (aa), are obtained by least-squares fitting of the observations to the appropriate theoretical extreme-value probability functions. These expressions are used to obtain the statistical characteristics of the extreme values; namely, the mode, median, mean, standard deviation and relative dispersion. Since the Ak index may not provide an entirely homogeneous extension of the aa index, the statistical analysis is performed separately for twelve solar cycles (1868–1993), as well as nine solar cycles (1868–1967). The results are utilized to determine the expected ranges of the extreme values as a function of the number of solar cycles. For fourteen solar cycles, the expected ranges of the daily aa index for the first, second and third largest geomagnetic storms per solar cycle decrease monotonically in magnitude, contrary to the situation for the half-daily aa index over nine solar cycles. The observed range of the first extreme daily aa index for fourteen solar cycles is 159–352 nT and for twelve solar cycles is 215–352 nT. In a group of 100 solar cycles the expected ranges are expanded to 137–539 and 177–511 nT, which represent increases of 108% and 144% in the respective ranges. Thus there is at least a 99% probability that the daily aa index will satisfy the condition aa < 550 for the largest geomagnetic storm in the next 100 solar cycles. The statistical analysis is used to infer that remarkable conjugate auroral observations on the night of 16 September 1770, which were recorded during the first voyage of Captain Cook to Australia, occurred during an intense geomagnetic storm.

Application of Extreme Value Statistical Analysis to Distribution of Peening Marks Obtained by Water Jet Peening

2002 ◽  
Vol 2002 (0) ◽  
pp. 485-486
Author(s):  
Inami KAZUNORI ◽  
Toshihiko YOSHIMURA ◽  
Ren MORINAKA ◽  
Noboru SAITO
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Extreme Value ◽  
Water Jet

Statistical analysis of TEC perturbations over a low latitude region during 2009–2013 ascending solar activity phase

2015 ◽  
Vol 56 (11) ◽  
pp. 2542-2551 ◽  
Author(s):  
Geoffrey Andima ◽  
Edward Jurua ◽  
Emirant Bertillas Amabayo ◽  
John Bosco Habarulema
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Low Latitude ◽  
Activity Phase ◽  
Latitude Region
Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document