scholarly journals Wind power prediction for onshore wind farms using neural networks

Author(s):  
Bogusław Świątek ◽  
Mateusz Dutka
2014 ◽  
Vol 536-537 ◽  
pp. 470-475
Author(s):  
Ye Chen

Due to the features of being fluctuant, intermittent, and stochastic of wind power, interconnection of large capacity wind farms with the power grid will bring about impact on the safety and stability of power systems. Based on the real-time wind power data, wind power prediction model using Elman neural network is proposed. At the same time in order to overcome the disadvantages of the Elman neural network for easily fall into local minimum and slow convergence speed, this paper put forward using the GA algorithm to optimize the weight and threshold of Elman neural network. Through the analysis of the measured data of one wind farm, shows that the forecasting method can improve the accuracy of the wind power prediction, so it has great practical value.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (21) ◽  
pp. 7915
Author(s):  
Hang Fan ◽  
Xuemin Zhang ◽  
Shengwei Mei ◽  
Kunjin Chen ◽  
Xinyang Chen

Ultra-short-term wind power prediction is of great importance for the integration of renewable energy. It is the foundation of probabilistic prediction and even a slight increase in the prediction accuracy can exert significant improvement for the safe and economic operation of power systems. However, due to the complex spatiotemporal relationship and the intrinsic characteristic of nonlinear, randomness and intermittence, the prediction of regional wind farm clusters and each wind farm’s power is still a challenge. In this paper, a framework based on graph neural network and numerical weather prediction (NWP) is proposed for the ultra-short-term wind power prediction. First, the adjacent matrix of wind farms, which are regarded as the vertexes of a graph, is defined based on geographical distance. Second, two graph neural networks are designed to extract the spatiotemporal feature of historical wind power and NWP information separately. Then, these features are fused based on multi-modal learning. Third, to enhance the efficiency of prediction method, a multi-task learning method is adopted to extract the common feature of the regional wind farm cluster and it can output the prediction of each wind farm at the same time. The cases of a wind farm cluster located in Northeast China verified that the accuracy of a regional wind farm cluster power prediction is improved, and the time consumption increases slowly when the number of wind farms grows. The results indicate that this method has great potential to be used in large-scale wind farm clusters.


2013 ◽  
Vol 805-806 ◽  
pp. 312-315 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun Yang ◽  
Zhao Qiang Zeng ◽  
Xu Huang ◽  
Qiu Ye Sun

This paper proposes a new method to predict the wind power of the distributed wind farms, considering the models such as the roughness model, the orography model. In order to predict the wind power accurately, this method calculates the loss of the wind speed directly, caused by the roughness model and the orography model. At the same time, this paper proposed the structure of the wind power prediction system, which provides the reference for the prediction of the wind power of distributed wind farms.


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