The Significance of Imminent Population Changes in the United States

1937 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 207 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Lorimer
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeremy Samuel Faust ◽  
Chengan Du ◽  
Shu-Xia Li ◽  
Zhenqiu Lin ◽  
Harlan M. Krumholz

AbstractObjectivesWe identify a correction for excess mortality that takes the sudden unexpected changes in the size of the United States population into account.DesignThis is a weekly cross-sectional analysis of all-cause mortality since week 5, 2020. We describe and apply a simple correction that takes population changes into account in order to provide corrected weekly estimates of expected deaths for 2020 and 2021.SettingThe United States.ParticipantsAll United States residents.InterventionsThe covid-19 pandemic.Main outcome measuresExpected and excess mortality for the United States during the covid-19 period.ResultsAs of week 53, 2020 (ending January 2, 2021), approximately >10,200 more excess deaths have occurred in the United States than could be detected if expected deaths projections were not amended to reflect population decreases during 2020. The figure is projected to rise to >12,600 (>600 weekly) by week 5, 2021. Assuming recent excess mortality and pandemic-associated visa reductions continue until the earliest time herd immunity could be approached resulting from a combination of infections and vaccinations (week 17, 2021), if point estimates of expected deaths are not corrected, expected deaths will be overestimated (and therefore potential excess mortality underestimated) by ∼43,000 during 2021, or >53,300 since the outbreak of the pandemic measurement period (beginning week 5, 2020). By late December 2021, weekly expected death differences are projected to approach 1,000 per week.ConclusionsCurrent models measuring excess mortality should be revised immediately so that public health officials do not lose the ability to detect ongoing excess mortality as the population changes continue to compound, lowering the number of weekly expected deaths. A similar approach should be used in the middle and late phases of all future pandemics.


Author(s):  
A. Hakam ◽  
J.T. Gau ◽  
M.L. Grove ◽  
B.A. Evans ◽  
M. Shuman ◽  
...  

Prostate adenocarcinoma is the most common malignant tumor of men in the United States and is the third leading cause of death in men. Despite attempts at early detection, there will be 244,000 new cases and 44,000 deaths from the disease in the United States in 1995. Therapeutic progress against this disease is hindered by an incomplete understanding of prostate epithelial cell biology, the availability of human tissues for in vitro experimentation, slow dissemination of information between prostate cancer research teams and the increasing pressure to “ stretch” research dollars at the same time staff reductions are occurring.To meet these challenges, we have used the correlative microscopy (CM) and client/server (C/S) computing to increase productivity while decreasing costs. Critical elements of our program are as follows:1) Establishing the Western Pennsylvania Genitourinary (GU) Tissue Bank which includes >100 prostates from patients with prostate adenocarcinoma as well as >20 normal prostates from transplant organ donors.


Author(s):  
Vinod K. Berry ◽  
Xiao Zhang

In recent years it became apparent that we needed to improve productivity and efficiency in the Microscopy Laboratories in GE Plastics. It was realized that digital image acquisition, archiving, processing, analysis, and transmission over a network would be the best way to achieve this goal. Also, the capabilities of quantitative image analysis, image transmission etc. available with this approach would help us to increase our efficiency. Although the advantages of digital image acquisition, processing, archiving, etc. have been described and are being practiced in many SEM, laboratories, they have not been generally applied in microscopy laboratories (TEM, Optical, SEM and others) and impact on increased productivity has not been yet exploited as well.In order to attain our objective we have acquired a SEMICAPS imaging workstation for each of the GE Plastic sites in the United States. We have integrated the workstation with the microscopes and their peripherals as shown in Figure 1.


2001 ◽  
Vol 15 (01) ◽  
pp. 53-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew Rehfeld

Every ten years, the United States “constructs” itself politically. On a decennial basis, U.S. Congressional districts are quite literally drawn, physically constructing political representation in the House of Representatives on the basis of where one lives. Why does the United States do it this way? What justifies domicile as the sole criteria of constituency construction? These are the questions raised in this article. Contrary to many contemporary understandings of representation at the founding, I argue that there were no principled reasons for using domicile as the method of organizing for political representation. Even in 1787, the Congressional district was expected to be far too large to map onto existing communities of interest. Instead, territory should be understood as forming a habit of mind for the founders, even while it was necessary to achieve other democratic aims of representative government.


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