On dispersion of stable random vectors and its application in the prediction of multivariate stable processes

1994 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 691-699 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Reza Soltani ◽  
R. Moeanaddin

Our aim in this article is to derive an expression for the best linear predictor of a multivariate symmetric α stable process based on many past values. For this purpose we introduce a definition of dispersion for symmetric α stable random vectors and choose the linear predictor which minimizes the dispersion of the error vector.

1994 ◽  
Vol 31 (03) ◽  
pp. 691-699
Author(s):  
A. Reza Soltani ◽  
R. Moeanaddin

Our aim in this article is to derive an expression for the best linear predictor of a multivariate symmetric α stable process based on many past values. For this purpose we introduce a definition of dispersion for symmetric α stable random vectors and choose the linear predictor which minimizes the dispersion of the error vector.


1980 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 689-709 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Riedel

Let X(t) be a homogeneous and continuous stochastic process with independent increments. The subject of this paper is to characterize the stable process by two identically distributed stochastic integrals formed by means of X(t) (in the sense of convergence in probability). The proof of the main results is based on a modern extension of the Phragmén-Lindelöf theory.


2007 ◽  
Vol 39 (02) ◽  
pp. 360-384 ◽  
Author(s):  
Uğur Tuncay Alparslan ◽  
Gennady Samorodnitsky

We study the ruin probability where the claim sizes are modeled by a stationary ergodic symmetric α-stable process. We exploit the flow representation of such processes, and we consider the processes generated by conservative flows. We focus on two classes of conservative α-stable processes (one discrete-time and one continuous-time), and give results for the order of magnitude of the ruin probability as the initial capital goes to infinity. We also prove a solidarity property for null-recurrent Markov chains as an auxiliary result, which might be of independent interest.


1973 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 173-177 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. R. Beuerman

Let Xl,X2,X3, … be a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables which belong to the domain of attraction of a stable law of index α≠1. That is,1whereandwhere L(n) is a function of slow variation; also take S0=0, B0=l.In §2, we are concerned with the weak convergence of the partial sum process to a stable process and the question of centering for stable laws and drift for stable processes.


Author(s):  
Marco Lamieri ◽  
Diana Mangalagiu

In this chapter we present a model of organization aimed to understand the effect of formal and informal structures on the organization’s performance. The model considers the interplay between the formal hierarchical structure and the social network connecting informally the agents emerging while the organization performs a task-set. The social network creation and evolution is endogenous, as it doesn’t include any function supposed to optimize performance. After a review of the literature, we propose a definition of performance based on the efficiency in allocating the task of a simulated organization that can be considered as a network-based problem-solving system. We analyze how the emergence of a stable process in decomposing tasks under different market conditions can alleviate the rigidity and the inefficiencies of a hierarchical structure and we compare the performance of different hierarchical structures under variable environment conditions.


2009 ◽  
Vol 41 (03) ◽  
pp. 874-892
Author(s):  
Uğur Tuncay Alparslan

We study the asymptotic behavior of the tail probability of integrated stable processes exceeding power barriers. In the first part of the paper the limiting behavior of the integrals of stable processes generated by ergodic dissipative flows is established. In the second part an example with the integral of a stable process generated by a conservative flow is analyzed. Finally, the difference in the order of magnitude of the exceedance probability in the two cases is related to the dependence structure of the underlying stable process.


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