An application of chain-dependent processes to meteorology

1977 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 598-603 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard W. Katz

An explicit formula is derived for the variance normalizing constant in the central limit theorem for chain-dependent processes. As an application to meteorology, a specific chain-dependent process is proposed as a probabilistic model for the sequence of daily amounts of precipitation. This model is a generalization of the commonly used Markov chain model for the occurrence of precipitation.

1977 ◽  
Vol 14 (03) ◽  
pp. 598-603 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard W. Katz

An explicit formula is derived for the variance normalizing constant in the central limit theorem for chain-dependent processes. As an application to meteorology, a specific chain-dependent process is proposed as a probabilistic model for the sequence of daily amounts of precipitation. This model is a generalization of the commonly used Markov chain model for the occurrence of precipitation.


Author(s):  
J. L. Mott

SynopsisThe distribution of xn, the number of occurrences of a given one of k possible states of a non-homogeneous Markov chain {Pj} in n successive trials, is considered. It is shown that if Pn → P, a positive-regular stochastic matrix, as n → ∞ then the distribution about its mean of xn/n½ tends to normality, and that the variance tends to that of the corresponding distribution associated with the homogeneous chain {P}.


Author(s):  
Florence Merlevède ◽  
Magda Peligrad ◽  
Sergey Utev

In this chapter we further comment on the sharpness of several results presented in this monograph, by presenting examples and counterexamples. We study first the moment properties of the renewal Markov chain introduced in Chapter 11. This allows us to show that the Maxwell–Woodroofe projective condition introduced in Chapter 4 is essentially optimal for the partial sums of a stationary sequence in L2 to satisfy the central limit theorem under the standard normalization √n. Moreover, we also investigate the sharpness of the Burkholder-type inequality developed in Chapter 3 via Maxwell–Woodroofe-type characteristics. In the last part of this chapter, we analyze several telescopic-type examples allowing us to elucidate the fact that a CLT behavior does not imply its functional form under any normalization. Even in the case when the variance of the partial sums is linear in n, the CLT does not necessarily imply the invariance principle.


2021 ◽  
pp. 548-567
Author(s):  
James Davidson

This chapter deals with the central limit theorem (CLT) for dependent processes. As with the law of large numbers, the focus is on near‐epoch dependent and mixing processes and array versions of the results are given to allow heterogeneity. The cornerstone of these results is a general CLT due to McLeish, from which a result for martingales is obtained directly. A result for stationary ergodic mixingales is given, and the rest of the chapter is devoted to proving and interpreting a CLT for mixingales and hence for arrays that are near‐epoch dependent on a strong‐mixing and uniform-mixing processes.


2004 ◽  
Vol 68 (2) ◽  
pp. 346 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keijan Wu ◽  
Naoise Nunan ◽  
John W. Crawford ◽  
Iain M. Young ◽  
Karl Ritz

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