The asymptotic frequencies of the types in a multitype age-dependent branching process allowing immigration

1973 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 652-658 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Radcliffe

The mean square and almost sure convergence of W(t) = e–αtZ(t) is proved for a super-critical multitype age-dependent branching process allowing immigration at the epochs of a renewal process. It is shown that the Malthusian parameter, asymptotic frequencies of types and stationary age distributions are the same for the processes with and without immigration.

1973 ◽  
Vol 10 (03) ◽  
pp. 652-658
Author(s):  
J. Radcliffe

The mean square and almost sure convergence of W(t) = e–αt Z(t) is proved for a super-critical multitype age-dependent branching process allowing immigration at the epochs of a renewal process. It is shown that the Malthusian parameter, asymptotic frequencies of types and stationary age distributions are the same for the processes with and without immigration.


1974 ◽  
Vol 11 (04) ◽  
pp. 678-686
Author(s):  
Edgar Z. Ganuza ◽  
S. D. Durham

Letting Z(t) be the number of objects alive at time t in a general supercritical age-dependent branching process generated by a single ancestor born at time 0, one achieves (Theorem 1) mean-square convergence of Z(t)/E[Z(t)] provided and , where N(t) is the number of offspring of the initial ancestor born by time t and α is the (positive) Malthusian parameter defined by . If the stronger conditions that (Theorem 2) and hold also, then the convergence is almost-sure. It is of interest that the embedded Galton-Watson process of successive generations need not have a finite mean for the conditions of the above theorems to hold. Similar results are obtained for the age-distribution as well.


1974 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 678-686 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edgar Z. Ganuza ◽  
S. D. Durham

Letting Z(t) be the number of objects alive at time t in a general supercritical age-dependent branching process generated by a single ancestor born at time 0, one achieves (Theorem 1) mean-square convergence of Z(t)/E[Z(t)] provided and , where N(t) is the number of offspring of the initial ancestor born by time t and α is the (positive) Malthusian parameter defined by . If the stronger conditions that (Theorem 2) and hold also, then the convergence is almost-sure. It is of interest that the embedded Galton-Watson process of successive generations need not have a finite mean for the conditions of the above theorems to hold. Similar results are obtained for the age-distribution as well.


1976 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 798-803 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. A. Doney

For a subcritical Bellman-Harris process for which the Malthusian parameter α exists and the mean function M(t)∼ aeat as t → ∞, a necessary and sufficient condition for e–at (1 –F(s, t)) to have a non-zero limit is known. The corresponding condition is given for the generalized branching process.


1975 ◽  
Vol 7 (03) ◽  
pp. 468-494
Author(s):  
H. Hering

We construct an immigration-branching process from an inhomogeneous Poisson process, a parameter-dependent probability distribution of populations and a Markov branching process with homogeneous transition function. The set of types is arbitrary, and the parameter is allowed to be discrete or continuous. Assuming a supercritical branching part with primitive first moments and finite second moments, we prove propositions on the mean square convergence and the almost sure convergence of normalized averaging processes associated with the immigration-branching process.


1974 ◽  
Vol 6 (02) ◽  
pp. 291-308 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Fildes

In a branching process with variable lifetime, introduced by Fildes (1972) define Yjk (t) as the number of particles alive in generation k at time t when the initial particle is born in generation j. A limit law similar to that derived in the Bellman-Harris process is proved where it is shown that Yjk (t) suitably normalised converges in mean square to a random variable which is the limit random variable of Znm–n in the Galton-Watson process (m is the mean number of particles born).


1974 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 291-308 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Fildes

In a branching process with variable lifetime, introduced by Fildes (1972) define Yjk(t) as the number of particles alive in generation k at time t when the initial particle is born in generation j. A limit law similar to that derived in the Bellman-Harris process is proved where it is shown that Yjk(t) suitably normalised converges in mean square to a random variable which is the limit random variable of Znm–n in the Galton-Watson process (m is the mean number of particles born).


1976 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 338-344 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Radcliffe

A supercritical position-dependent Markov branching process has been used as an approximation to a model describing the initial geographical spread of a measles epidemic (Bartlett (1956)). Let α be its Malthusian parameter, ß its velocity of propagation, Z(A, t) the number of individuals in the set A at time t, and A√(ßt) = [√(ßt) r: r ∈ A]. The mean square convergence of the random variable W(A, t)= e–αtZ(A√(ßt), t) to a limit variable W(A) is established.


1975 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-59 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norman Kaplan ◽  
Aidan Sudbury ◽  
Trygve S. Nilsen

A population process is considered where particles reproduce according to an age-dependent branching process, and are subjected to disasters which occur at the epochs of an independent renewal process. Each particle alive at the time of a disaster, survives it with probability p and the survival of any particle is assumed independent of the survival of any other particle. The asymptotic behavior of the mean of the process is determined and as a consequence, necessary and sufficient conditions are given for extinction.


1975 ◽  
Vol 12 (01) ◽  
pp. 47-59 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norman Kaplan ◽  
Aidan Sudbury ◽  
Trygve S. Nilsen

A population process is considered where particles reproduce according to an age-dependent branching process, and are subjected to disasters which occur at the epochs of an independent renewal process. Each particle alive at the time of a disaster, survives it with probability p and the survival of any particle is assumed independent of the survival of any other particle. The asymptotic behavior of the mean of the process is determined and as a consequence, necessary and sufficient conditions are given for extinction.


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