The Effect of Grouping on the Variance and Bias of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator of the Poisson Parameter--Some Monte Carlo Results

1974 ◽  
Vol 69 (346) ◽  
pp. 482 ◽  
Author(s):  
Walter H. Carter ◽  
Raymond H. Myers
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Poisson Parameter

A Hybrid Data Cloning Maximum Likelihood Estimator for Stochastic Volatility Models

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 193-229 ◽  
Author(s):  
Márcio Poletti Laurini
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Stochastic Volatility ◽  
Great Accuracy ◽  
Stochastic Volatility Models ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Simulated Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Volatility Models ◽  
Data Cloning

Abstract: In this article, we analyze a maximum likelihood estimator using Data Cloning for Stochastic Volatility models. This estimator is constructed using a hybrid methodology based on Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations to calculate analytically the auxiliary Bayesian estimators with great accuracy and computational efficiency, without requiring the use of simulation methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo. We analyze the performance of this estimator compared to methods based on Monte Carlo simulations (Simulated Maximum Likelihood, MCMC Maximum Likelihood) and approximate maximum likelihood estimators using Laplace Approximations. The results indicate that this data cloning methodology achieves superior results over methods based on MCMC, comparable to results obtained by the Simulated Maximum Likelihood estimator. The methodology is extended to models with leverage effects, continuous time formulations, multifactor and multivariate stochastic volatility.

Semiparametric efficient adaptive estimation of the GJR-GARCH model

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 141-160
Author(s):  
Nicola Ciccarelli
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Adaptive Estimation ◽  
Conditional Variance ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Adaptive Estimator ◽  
Asymptotically Normal ◽  
Semiparametric Estimator ◽  
Quasi Maximum Likelihood

Abstract In this paper we derive a semiparametric efficient adaptive estimator for the GJR-GARCH {(1,1)} model. We first show that the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal for the model used in analysis, and we secondly derive a semiparametric estimator that is more efficient than the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator. Through Monte Carlo simulations, we show that the semiparametric estimator is adaptive for the parameters included in the conditional variance of the GJR-GARCH {(1,1)} model with respect to the unknown distribution of the innovation.

scholarly journals Statistical Inference for the Inverted Scale Family under General Progressive Type-II Censoring

Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 731
Author(s):  
Jing Gao ◽  
Kehan Bai ◽  
Wenhao Gui
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulations ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Interval Estimation ◽  
Bayesian Estimator ◽  
Small Samples ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Scale Family

Two estimation problems are studied based on the general progressively censored samples, and the distributions from the inverted scale family (ISF) are considered as prospective life distributions. One is the exact interval estimation for the unknown parameter θ , which is achieved by constructing the pivotal quantity. Through Monte Carlo simulations, the average 90 % and 95 % confidence intervals are obtained, and the validity of the above interval estimation is illustrated with a numerical example. The other is the estimation of R = P ( Y < X ) in the case of ISF. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) as well as approximate maximum likelihood estimator (AMLE) is obtained, together with the corresponding R-symmetric asymptotic confidence intervals. With Bootstrap methods, we also propose two R-asymmetric confidence intervals, which have a good performance for small samples. Furthermore, assuming the scale parameters follow independent gamma priors, the Bayesian estimator as well as the HPD credible interval of R is thus acquired. Finally, we make an evaluation on the effectiveness of the proposed estimations through Monte Carlo simulations and provide an illustrative example of two real datasets.

scholarly journals When Was Westerhus Churchyard in Use?

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 161-182
Author(s):  
Claes-Henric Siven
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulations ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Raw Data ◽  
Mass Graves ◽  
Point Estimates

The period of use for the Swedish medieval churchyard of Westerhus has been estimated by the maximum likelihood method. Raw data consist of 30 calibrated '4C-dates of some of the skeletons from the site. Bias and other properties of the maximum likelihood estimator are analyzed via a number of Monte Carlo simulations. The point estimates imply that the site was used in the period 1073-1356, that is, a somewhat longer period than previously assumed. The estimated length of the period of use affects the interpretation ofthe great number ofburied children. Population calculations lead to the conclusion that the six agglomerations of children's graves cannot be interpreted as mass graves.

The Comparison Between the Bayes Estimator and the Maximum Likelihood Estimator of the Reliability Function for Negative Exponential Distribution

2018 ◽  
pp. 439
Author(s):  
Hazim Mansour Gorgees ◽  
Bushra Abdualrasool Ali ◽  
Raghad Ibrahim Kathum
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Exponential Distribution ◽  
Reliability Function ◽  
Bayes Estimator ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Technique ◽  
Negative Exponential Distribution ◽  
Negative Exponential ◽  
Better Than

     In this paper, the maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayes estimator of the reliability function for negative exponential distribution has been derived, then a Monte –Carlo simulation technique was employed to compare the performance of such estimators. The integral mean square error (IMSE) was used as a criterion for this comparison. The simulation results displayed that the Bayes estimator performed better than the maximum likelihood estimator for different samples sizes.

scholarly journals Transforming variables to central normality

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jakob Raymaekers ◽  
Peter J. Rousseeuw
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Simulation Study ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Transformation Parameter ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Extensive Simulation ◽  
Highly Sensitive

AbstractMany real data sets contain numerical features (variables) whose distribution is far from normal (Gaussian). Instead, their distribution is often skewed. In order to handle such data it is customary to preprocess the variables to make them more normal. The Box–Cox and Yeo–Johnson transformations are well-known tools for this. However, the standard maximum likelihood estimator of their transformation parameter is highly sensitive to outliers, and will often try to move outliers inward at the expense of the normality of the central part of the data. We propose a modification of these transformations as well as an estimator of the transformation parameter that is robust to outliers, so the transformed data can be approximately normal in the center and a few outliers may deviate from it. It compares favorably to existing techniques in an extensive simulation study and on real data.

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