scholarly journals What To Do (and Not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data

1995 ◽  
Vol 89 (3) ◽  
pp. 634-647 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nathaniel Beck ◽  
Jonathan N. Katz

We examine some issues in the estimation of time-series cross-section models, calling into question the conclusions of many published studies, particularly in the field of comparative political economy. We show that the generalized least squares approach of Parks produces standard errors that lead to extreme overconfidence, often underestimating variability by 50% or more. We also provide an alternative estimator of the standard errors that is correct when the error structures show complications found in this type of model. Monte Carlo analysis shows that these “panel-corrected standard errors” perform well. The utility of our approach is demonstrated via a reanalysis of one “social democratic corporatist” model.

1996 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 1-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nathaniel Beck ◽  
Jonathan N. Katz

In a previous article we showed that ordinary least squares with panel corrected standard errors is superior to the Parks generalized least squares approach to the estimation of time-series-cross-section models. In this article we compare our proposed method with another leading technique, Kmenta's “cross-sectionally heteroskedastic and timewise autocorrelated” model. This estimator uses generalized least squares to correct for both panel heteroskedasticity and temporally correlated errors. We argue that it is best to model dynamics via a lagged dependent variable rather than via serially correlated errors. The lagged dependent variable approach makes it easier for researchers to examine dynamics and allows for natural generalizations in a manner that the serially correlated errors approach does not. We also show that the generalized least squares correction for panel heteroskedasticity is, in general, no improvement over ordinary least squares and is, in the presence of parameter heterogeneity, inferior to it. In the conclusion we present a unified method for analyzing time-series-cross-section data.


Econometrica ◽  
1969 ◽  
Vol 37 (3) ◽  
pp. 552
Author(s):  
V. K. Chetty

2010 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 293-294 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nathaniel Beck

Carter and Signorino (2010) (hereinafter “CS”) add another arrow, a simple cubic polynomial in time, to the quiver of the binary time series—cross-section data analyst; it is always good to have more arrows in one's quiver. Since comments are meant to be brief, I will discuss here only two important issues where I disagree: are cubic duration polynomials the best way to model duration dependence and whether we can substantively interpret duration dependence.


2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 268-283
Author(s):  
Felix Canitz ◽  
Panagiotis Ballis-Papanastasiou ◽  
Christian Fieberg ◽  
Kerstin Lopatta ◽  
Armin Varmaz ◽  
...  

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to review and evaluate the methods commonly used in accounting literature to correct for cointegrated data and data that are neither stationary nor cointegrated. Design/methodology/approach The authors conducted Monte Carlo simulations according to Baltagi et al. (2011), Petersen (2009) and Gow et al. (2010), to analyze how regression results are affected by the possible nonstationarity of the variables of interest. Findings The results of this study suggest that biases in regression estimates can be reduced and valid inferences can be obtained by using robust standard errors clustered by firm, clustered by firm and time or Fama–MacBeth t-statistics based on the mean and standard errors of the cross section of coefficients from time-series regressions. Originality/value The findings of this study are suited to guide future researchers regarding which estimation methods are the most reliable given the possible nonstationarity of the variables of interest.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 178-187
Author(s):  
Leni Anjarwati ◽  
Whinarko Juliprijanto

This study aims to determine the factors that influence educated unemployment in Java. The data used in this study is secondary data using quantitative methods. Data analysis uses panel data analysis which is a combination of time series and cross-section data. The time-series data uses data for the 2015-2019 period and cross-section data from 6 provinces on the island of Java. The results showed that simultaneously all variables had a significant effect on the level of educated unemployment. While partially shows that the variable level of education and PMDN have a significant positive impact on educated unemployment, and the UMR variable has a significant negative impact on educated unemployment.


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