scholarly journals A Note on the Analysis of Parity Progression Ratios

Demography ◽  
1979 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 481 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lester R. Curtin ◽  
I. Joel Frockt ◽  
Gary G. Koch
Keyword(s):  
Parity Progression

scholarly journals How many children does Serbia need?

Stanovnistvo ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 42 (1-4) ◽  
pp. 29-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Branislav Djurdjev
Keyword(s):  
Family Planning ◽  
Family Planning Program ◽  
Linear Interpolation ◽  
Parity Progression ◽  
Fertility Rates ◽  
Replacement Level ◽  
Planning Program ◽  
The Third ◽  
Reproductive Life ◽  
Reproductive Life Span

The work is an attempt to determine basic quantities for introducing a family planning program which will be aiming at a replacement level. In order to do that census year 2002 was taken as an example for calculation. Total fertility rate of 2.1 children per woman was considered as necessary level and that means Serbia needs 105.000 newborns each year. In accordance with that level a set of five age specific fertility rates (ASFR) were established in order to find appropriate model of reproductive behavior for Serbia. The sets are established in the following manner: multiplying ASFR by quotient between necessary and real number of newborns, by the data from the last year when fertility was large enough to provide for replacement level (with mortality level from 2002), by linear interpolation between two ASFR models and by Brass fertility polynomial. All five different models of age specific fertility rates suggest that there is no ideal distribution of ASFR. Also parity progression from zero to first, from first to second, and from second to third child is determined. The main reason for below replacement level in Serbia is small parity progression from second to third child. So, rearing the third child should be the most stimulated in every family planning program, as long as every second women have them by the end of her reproductive life span.

scholarly journals Estimation of Cohort Fertility Using Parity Progression Ratio

2020 ◽  
pp. 18-28
Author(s):  
Dhanendra Veer Shakya
Keyword(s):  
Age Groups ◽  
Fertility Level ◽  
Parity Progression ◽  
Birth Cohorts ◽  
Number Of Children ◽  
Parity Progression Ratio ◽  
History Of ◽  
Cohort Fertility ◽  
Children Ever Born ◽  
Using Data

This study attempts to analyze the levels and patterns of cohort fertility in Nepal in 2016 using data on parity progression ratios (PPRs). Simple PPRs, rather than synthetic PPRs or birth history of women, are used in this study from distribution of women by age and children ever born. Data on PPRs are used from 2016 Nepal Demographic and Health Survey to estimate cohort fertility of currently married and all women separately. Fertility is analyzed for different birth cohorts of women, specifically for birth cohorts of age groups 45-49, 20-24, 25-29, and 30-34 years, beside overall span of reproductive ages (15-49) for different purposes. The PPRs data are employed in this study in three different ways such as PPRs itself, proportion of women with at least ‘N’ number of children ever born (CEB), and cohort fertility rates. All three measures are implied to estimate cohort fertility of both currently married and all women separately. Fertility patterns are almost similar in all the three methods and other the measures show that the level of cohort fertility is still a little higher in Nepal, although it is declining gradually over time. The completed cohort fertility is estimated at around 4 in Nepal in 2016. The contribution of this article will be to check fertility level by applying this simple, but less common, method in estimating cohort fertility.

scholarly journals The Association between Conditional Cash Transfer Programmes and Cohort Fertility: Evidence from Brazil

2021 ◽  
Vol 46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Camila Ferreira Soares ◽  
Everton Emanuel Campos de Lima
Keyword(s):  
Social Inequalities ◽  
Conditional Cash Transfer ◽  
Cash Transfer ◽  
Parity Progression ◽  
Monetary Transfers ◽  
Bolsa Familia ◽  
History Of ◽  
Cohort Fertility ◽  
Reproductive Cycles ◽  
The Relationship

Brazil’s Bolsa Família Programme (BFP) aims to combat poverty and social inequalities through monetary transfers to families. A much-discussed indirect effect of the programme was its correlation to the fertility of the beneficiary families. In this paper, we use a cohort fertility approach with parity progression ratios that differs from existing literature, which mainly used period fertility measures, to better understand the relationship between fertility and the BFP. This study analyses the relationship between the BFP and the reproduction of Brazilian women. We use data from the 2010 Brazilian micro-censuses, the only census after the start of the BFP in 2004, to reconstruct the childbirth history of women with incomplete reproductive cycles (women aged 25 to 29), and estimate parity progression ratios (PPRs) and cohort fertility rates (CFR). In addition, we estimate propensity score matching (PSM) models comparing fertility outcomes of beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries of the programme. Our results show distinct differences in CFRs and PPRs. On average, BFP beneficiaries had more children than women not covered by the programme. This finding remained consistent even after controlling for educational gradients and other covariates. Our empirical findings show that women opt for a “rational” strategy, where they tend to have children in more rapid succession up until three children. These findings contradict the recent literature that has not found any correlation between BFP and fertility. The results also suggest that cohort analyses may fill certain gaps left by previous studies of period fertility. This paper is one of a few that have analysed the relationship between a conditional income transfer programme and cohort measures in Brazil.

The Iranian Fertility Decline, 1981-1999: An Application of the Synthetic Parity Progression Ratio Method

2006 ◽  
Vol 61 (5) ◽  
pp. 701 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meimanat Hosseini-Chavoshi ◽  
Peter McDonald ◽  
Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi
Keyword(s):  
Fertility Decline ◽  
Ratio Method ◽  
Parity Progression ◽  
Parity Progression Ratio

scholarly journals Fertility Decline in Rwanda: Is Gender Preference in the Way?

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ignace Habimana Kabano ◽  
Annelet Broekhuis ◽  
Pieter Hooimeijer
Keyword(s):  
Health Surveys ◽  
Gender Composition ◽  
Demographic And Health Surveys ◽  
Gender Preference ◽  
Parity Progression ◽  
Single Gender ◽  
Community Based ◽  
Living Children ◽  
Mixed Gender ◽  
Gender Specific

In 2007 Rwanda launched a campaign to promote 3 children families and a program of community based health services to improve reproductive health. This paper argues that mixed gender offspring is still an important insurance for old age in Rwanda and that to arrive at the desired gender composition women might have to progress beyond parity 3. The analyses are twofold. The first is the parity progression desire given the gender of living children. The second is gender specific replacement intention following the loss of the last or only son or daughter. Using the Demographic and Health Surveys of 2000, 2005, and 2010, we show that child mortality does not lead to extra parity progression beyond three, while having single gender offspring does and even more so when this is the result of the loss of the last son or daughter.

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