Strict supercritical generation-dependent Crump–Mode–Jagers branching processes

1978 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 744-763 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Edler

The general age-dependent branching model of Crump, Mode and Jagers will be generalized towards generation-dependent varying lifespan and reproduction distributions. A system of integral and renewal equations is established for the generating functions and the first two moments of Zi(t) (the number of individuals alive at time t), if the population was initiated at time 0 by one ancestor of age 0 from generation i. Convergence in quadratic mean of Zi(t)/EZi(t) as t tends to infinity is obtained if the generation-dependent reproduction functions converge to a supercritical one. In particular, if this convergence is slow enough tγ exp (αt) is the asymptotic behavior of EZi(t) for t tending to infinity, where γ is a positive real number and α the Malthusian parameter of growth of the limiting reproduction function.

1978 ◽  
Vol 10 (04) ◽  
pp. 744-763 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Edler

The general age-dependent branching model of Crump, Mode and Jagers will be generalized towards generation-dependent varying lifespan and reproduction distributions. A system of integral and renewal equations is established for the generating functions and the first two moments of Zi (t) (the number of individuals alive at time t), if the population was initiated at time 0 by one ancestor of age 0 from generation i. Convergence in quadratic mean of Zi (t)/EZi (t) as t tends to infinity is obtained if the generation-dependent reproduction functions converge to a supercritical one. In particular, if this convergence is slow enough t γ exp (αt) is the asymptotic behavior of EZi (t) for t tending to infinity, where γ is a positive real number and α the Malthusian parameter of growth of the limiting reproduction function.


1976 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 455-465
Author(s):  
D. I. Saunders

For the age-dependent branching process with arbitrary state space let M(x, t, A) be the expected number of individuals alive at time t with states in A given an initial individual at x. Subject to various conditions it is shown that M(x, t, A)e–at converges to a non-trivial limit where α is the Malthusian parameter (α = 0 for the critical case, and is negative in the subcritical case). The method of proof also yields rates of convergence.


Author(s):  
E. Seneta ◽  
N. C. Weber

AbstractA simple technique for obtaining bounds in terms of means and variances for the expectations of certain functions of random variables in a given class is examined. The bounds given are sharp in the sense that they are attainable by at least one random variable in the class. This technique is applied to obtain bounds for moment generating functions, the coefficient of skewness and parameters associated with branching processes. In particular an improved lower bound for the Malthusian parameter in an age-dependent branching process is derived.


1976 ◽  
Vol 13 (03) ◽  
pp. 455-465
Author(s):  
D. I. Saunders

For the age-dependent branching process with arbitrary state space let M(x, t, A) be the expected number of individuals alive at time t with states in A given an initial individual at x. Subject to various conditions it is shown that M(x, t, A)e–at converges to a non-trivial limit where α is the Malthusian parameter (α = 0 for the critical case, and is negative in the subcritical case). The method of proof also yields rates of convergence.


1974 ◽  
Vol 11 (03) ◽  
pp. 471-478 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Jagers

With each individual in a branching population associate a random function of the age. Count the population by the values of these functions. Different choices yield different processes. In the supercritical case a unified treatment of the asymptotics is possible for a wide class, including for example the number of individuals having some random age dependent property or integrals of branching processes. As an application, the demographic concept of average age at childbearing is given a rigorous interpretation.


1994 ◽  
Vol 31 (02) ◽  
pp. 333-347
Author(s):  
Thierry Huillet ◽  
Andrzej Kłopotowski

This paper is concerned with the description of both a deterministic and stochastic branching procedure. The renewal equations for the deterministic branching population are first derived which allow for asymptotic results on the ‘number' and ‘generation' processes. A probabilistic version of these processes is then studied which presents some discrepancy with the standard Harris age-dependent branching processes.


1973 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 739-747 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. J. Brockwell ◽  
W. H. Kuo

A supercritical age-dependent branching process is considered in which the lifespan of each individual is composed of four phases whose durations have joint probability density f(x1, x2, x3, x4). Starting with a single individual of age zero at time zero we consider the asymptotic behaviour as t→ ∞ of the random variable Z(4) (a0,…, an, t) defined as the number of individuals in phase 4 at time t for which the elapsed phase durations Y01,…, Y04,…, Yi1,…, Yi4,…, Yn4 of the individual itself and its first n ancestors satisfy the inequalities Yij ≦ aij, i = 0,…, n, j = 1,…, 4. The application of the results to the analysis of cell-labelling experiments is described. Finally we state an analogous result which defines (conditional on eventual non-extinction of the population) the asymptotic joint distribution of the phase and elapsed phase durations of an individual drawn at random from the population and the phase durations of its ancestors.


1974 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 695-702 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. B. Athreya ◽  
P. R. Parthasarathy ◽  
G. Sankaranarayanan

A branching process with immigration of the following type is considered. For every i, a random number Ni of particles join the system at time . These particles evolve according to a one-dimensional age-dependent branching process with offspring p.g.f. and life time distribution G(t). Assume . Then it is shown that Z(t) e–αt converges in distribution to an extended real-valued random variable Y where a is the Malthusian parameter. We do not require the sequences {τi} or {Ni} to be independent or identically distributed or even mutually independent.


1994 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 333-347 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thierry Huillet ◽  
Andrzej Kłopotowski

This paper is concerned with the description of both a deterministic and stochastic branching procedure. The renewal equations for the deterministic branching population are first derived which allow for asymptotic results on the ‘number' and ‘generation' processes. A probabilistic version of these processes is then studied which presents some discrepancy with the standard Harris age-dependent branching processes.


1974 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 471-478 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Jagers

With each individual in a branching population associate a random function of the age. Count the population by the values of these functions. Different choices yield different processes. In the supercritical case a unified treatment of the asymptotics is possible for a wide class, including for example the number of individuals having some random age dependent property or integrals of branching processes. As an application, the demographic concept of average age at childbearing is given a rigorous interpretation.


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