Saddle point approximation for the distribution of the sum of independent random variables

1980 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 475-490 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Lugannani ◽  
Stephen Rice

In the present paper a uniform asymptotic series is derived for the probability distribution of the sum of a large number of independent random variables. In contrast to the usual Edgeworth-type series, the uniform series gives good accuracy throughout its entire domain. Our derivation uses the fact that the major components of the distribution are determined by a saddle point and a singularity at the origin. The analogous series for the probability density, due to Daniels, depends only on the saddle point. Two illustrative examples are presented that show excellent agreement with the exact distributions.

1980 ◽  
Vol 12 (02) ◽  
pp. 475-490 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Lugannani ◽  
Stephen Rice

In the present paper a uniform asymptotic series is derived for the probability distribution of the sum of a large number of independent random variables. In contrast to the usual Edgeworth-type series, the uniform series gives good accuracy throughout its entire domain. Our derivation uses the fact that the major components of the distribution are determined by a saddle point and a singularity at the origin. The analogous series for the probability density, due to Daniels, depends only on the saddle point. Two illustrative examples are presented that show excellent agreement with the exact distributions.


1962 ◽  
Vol 40 (10) ◽  
pp. 1394-1396 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. L. R. Webb

The probability distribution of the product of independent random variables is computed for some particular cases which illustrate the principle that random variables having finite probability density at the origin give rise to products having infinite probability density at the origin.


2020 ◽  
pp. 9-13
Author(s):  
A. V. Lapko ◽  
V. A. Lapko

An original technique has been justified for the fast bandwidths selection of kernel functions in a nonparametric estimate of the multidimensional probability density of the Rosenblatt–Parzen type. The proposed method makes it possible to significantly increase the computational efficiency of the optimization procedure for kernel probability density estimates in the conditions of large-volume statistical data in comparison with traditional approaches. The basis of the proposed approach is the analysis of the optimal parameter formula for the bandwidths of a multidimensional kernel probability density estimate. Dependencies between the nonlinear functional on the probability density and its derivatives up to the second order inclusive of the antikurtosis coefficients of random variables are found. The bandwidths for each random variable are represented as the product of an undefined parameter and their mean square deviation. The influence of the error in restoring the established functional dependencies on the approximation properties of the kernel probability density estimation is determined. The obtained results are implemented as a method of synthesis and analysis of a fast bandwidths selection of the kernel estimation of the two-dimensional probability density of independent random variables. This method uses data on the quantitative characteristics of a family of lognormal distribution laws.


1987 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 632-651 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ushio Sumita ◽  
Yasushi Masuda

We consider a class of functions on [0,∞), denoted by Ω, having Laplace transforms with only negative zeros and poles. Of special interest is the class Ω+ of probability density functions in Ω. Simple and useful conditions are given for necessity and sufficiency of f ∊ Ω to be in Ω+. The class Ω+ contains many classes of great importance such as mixtures of n independent exponential random variables (CMn), sums of n independent exponential random variables (PF∗n), sums of two independent random variables, one in CMr and the other in PF∗1 (CMPFn with n = r + l) and sums of independent random variables in CMn(SCM). Characterization theorems for these classes are given in terms of zeros and poles of Laplace transforms. The prevalence of these classes in applied probability models of practical importance is demonstrated. In particular, sufficient conditions are given for complete monotonicity and unimodality of modified renewal densities.


2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 53-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jagdev Singh ◽  
Devendra Kumar

Abstract In this paper, we obtain the distribution of mixed sum of two independent random variables with different probability density functions. One with probability density function defined in finite range and the other with probability density function defined in infinite range and associated with product of Srivastava's polynomials and H-function. We use the Laplace transform and its inverse to obtain our main result. The result obtained here is quite general in nature and is capable of yielding a large number of corresponding new and known results merely by specializing the parameters involved therein. To illustrate, some special cases of our main result are also given.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seifedine Kadry

We study the periodicity of the solutions of the rational difference equations system of type , (), and then we propose new exact procedure to find the probability density function of the solution, where a, b, and are independent random variables.


10.37236/372 ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eugenijus Manstavičius

The asymptotic density of random permutations with given properties of the $k$th shortest cycle length is examined. The approach is based upon the saddle point method applied for appropriate sums of independent random variables.


Author(s):  
Olesya Martyniuk ◽  
Stepan Popina ◽  
Serhii Martyniuk

Introduction. Mathematical modeling of economic processes is necessary for the unambiguous formulation and solution of the problem. In the economic sphere this is the most important aspect of the activity of any enterprise, for which economic-mathematical modeling is the tool that allows to make adequate decisions. However, economic indicators that are factors of a model are usually random variables. An economic-mathematical model is proposed for calculating the probability distribution function of the result of economic activity on the basis of the known dependence of this result on factors influencing it and density of probability distribution of these factors. Methods. The formula was used to calculate the random variable probability distribution function, which is a function of other independent random variables. The method of estimation of basic numerical characteristics of the investigated functions of random variables is proposed: mathematical expectation that in the probabilistic sense is the average value of the result of functioning of the economic structure, as well as its variance. The upper bound of the variation of the effective feature is indicated. Results. The cases of linear and power functions of two independent variables are investigated. Different cases of two-dimensional domain of possible values of indicators, which are continuous random variables, are considered. The application of research results to production functions is considered. Examples of estimating the probability distribution function of a random variable are offered. Conclusions. The research results allow in the probabilistic sense to estimate the result of the economic structure activity on the basis of the probabilistic distributions of the values of the dependent variables. The prospect of further research is to apply indirect control over economic performance based on economic and mathematical modeling.


2021 ◽  
pp. 14-20
Author(s):  
Aleksandr V. Lapko ◽  
Vasiliy A. Lapko

A method for estimating the nonlinear functional of the probability density of a two-dimensional random variable is proposed. It is relevant when implementing procedures for fast bandwidths selection in the problem of optimization of kernel probability density estimates. The solution of this problem allows to significantly improve the computational efficiency of nonparametric decision rules. The basis of the proposed approach is the analysis of the formula for the optimal bandwidth of the kernel probability density estimation. In this case, the bandwidth of kernel functions is represented as the product of an indeterminate parameter and the average square deviations of random variables. The main component of an undefined parameter is a nonlinear functional of the probability density. The considered functional is determined by the type of probability density and does not depend on the density parameters. For a family of two-dimensional lognormal laws of distribution of independent random variables, the approximation errors of the considered nonlinear functional from the probability density are determined. The possibility of applying the proposed methodology when evaluating nonlinear functionals of probability densities that differ from the lognormal distribution laws is investigated. An analysis is made of the effect of the resulting approximation errors on the root-mean-square criteria for restoring a non-parametric estimate of the probability density of a two-dimensional random variable.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document