First-order autoregressive gamma sequences and point processes

1980 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 727-745 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. P. Gaver ◽  
P. A. W. Lewis
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Point Processes ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Innovation Process ◽  
Sums Of Random Variables ◽  
First Order ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Serial Correlations ◽  
Generating Sequences ◽  
Stieltjes Transforms

It is shown that there is an innovation process {∊n} such that the sequence of random variables {Xn} generated by the linear, additive first-order autoregressive scheme Xn = pXn-1 + ∊n are marginally distributed as gamma (λ, k) variables if 0 ≦p ≦ 1. This first-order autoregressive gamma sequence is useful for modelling a wide range of observed phenomena. Properties of sums of random variables from this process are studied, as well as Laplace-Stieltjes transforms of adjacent variables and joint moments of variables with different separations. The process is not time-reversible and has a zero-defect which makes parameter estimation straightforward. Other positive-valued variables generated by the first-order autoregressive scheme are studied, as well as extensions of the scheme for generating sequences with given marginal distributions and negative serial correlations.

First-order autoregressive gamma sequences and point processes

1980 ◽  
Vol 12 (03) ◽  
pp. 727-745 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. P. Gaver ◽  
P. A. W. Lewis
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Point Processes ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Innovation Process ◽  
Sums Of Random Variables ◽  
First Order ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Serial Correlations ◽  
Generating Sequences ◽  
Stieltjes Transforms

It is shown that there is an innovation process {∊ n } such that the sequence of random variables {X n } generated by the linear, additive first-order autoregressive scheme X n = pXn-1 + ∊ n are marginally distributed as gamma (λ, k) variables if 0 ≦p ≦ 1. This first-order autoregressive gamma sequence is useful for modelling a wide range of observed phenomena. Properties of sums of random variables from this process are studied, as well as Laplace-Stieltjes transforms of adjacent variables and joint moments of variables with different separations. The process is not time-reversible and has a zero-defect which makes parameter estimation straightforward. Other positive-valued variables generated by the first-order autoregressive scheme are studied, as well as extensions of the scheme for generating sequences with given marginal distributions and negative serial correlations.

scholarly journals Performance Degradation in Cross-Eye Jamming Due to Amplitude/Phase Instability between Jammer Antennas

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (15) ◽  
pp. 5027
Author(s):  
Je-An Kim ◽  
Joon-Ho Lee
Keyword(s):  
Performance Analysis ◽  
Phase Difference ◽  
Taylor Expansion ◽  
Amplitude Ratio ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Performance Degradation ◽  
Analytical Performance ◽  
Phase Instability ◽  
Gaussian Random Variables ◽  
First Order

Cross-eye gain in cross-eye jamming systems is highly dependent on amplitude ratio and the phase difference between jammer antennas. It is well known that cross-eye jamming is most effective for the amplitude ratio of unity and phase difference of 180 degrees. It is assumed that the instabilities in the amplitude ratio and phase difference can be modeled as zero-mean Gaussian random variables. In this paper, we not only quantitatively analyze the effect of amplitude ratio instability and phase difference instability on performance degradation in terms of reduction in cross-eye gain but also proceed with analytical performance analysis based on the first order and second-order Taylor expansion.

History Matching in Two-Phase Petroleum Reservoirs

1980 ◽  
Vol 20 (06) ◽  
pp. 521-532 ◽  
Author(s):  
A.T. Watson ◽  
J.H. Seinfeld ◽  
G.R. Gavalas ◽  
P.T. Woo
Keyword(s):  
Optimal Control ◽  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Objective Function ◽  
History Matching ◽  
Computing Time ◽  
Absolute Permeability ◽  
Two Phase ◽  
Automatic History Matching ◽  
Control Approach ◽  
First Order

Abstract An automatic history-matching algorithm based onan optimal control approach has been formulated forjoint estimation of spatially varying permeability andporosity and coefficients of relative permeabilityfunctions in two-phase reservoirs. The algorithm usespressure and production rate data simultaneously. The performance of the algorithm for thewaterflooding of one- and two-dimensional hypotheticalreservoirs is examined, and properties associatedwith the parameter estimation problem are discussed. Introduction There has been considerable interest in thedevelopment of automatic history-matchingalgorithms. Most of the published work to date onautomatic history matching has been devoted tosingle-phase reservoirs in which the unknownparameters to be estimated are often the reservoirporosity (or storage) and absolute permeability (ortransmissibility). In the single-phase problem, theobjective function usually consists of the deviationsbetween the predicted and measured reservoirpressures at the wells. Parameter estimation, orhistory matching, in multiphase reservoirs isfundamentally more difficult than in single-phasereservoirs. The multiphase equations are nonlinear, and in addition to the porosity and absolutepermeability, the relative permeabilities of each phasemay be unknown and subject to estimation. Measurements of the relative rates of flow of oil, water, and gas at the wells also may be available forthe objective function. The aspect of the reservoir history-matchingproblem that distinguishes it from other parameterestimation problems in science and engineering is thelarge dimensionality of both the system state and theunknown parameters. As a result of this largedimensionality, computational efficiency becomes aprime consideration in the implementation of anautomatic history-matching method. In all parameterestimation methods, a trade-off exists between theamount of computation performed per iteration andthe speed of convergence of the method. Animportant saving in computing time was realized insingle-phase automatic history matching through theintroduction of optimal control theory as a methodfor calculating the gradient of the objective functionwith respect to the unknown parameters. Thistechnique currently is limited to first-order gradientmethods. First-order gradient methods generallyconverge more slowly than those of higher order.Nevertheless, the amount of computation requiredper iteration is significantly less than that requiredfor higher-order optimization methods; thus, first-order methods are attractive for automatic historymatching. The optimal control algorithm forautomatic history matching has been shown toproduce excellent results when applied to field problems. Therefore, the first approach to thedevelopment of a general automatic history-matchingalgorithm for multiphase reservoirs wouldseem to proceed through the development of anoptimal control approach for calculating the gradientof the objective function with respect to theparameters for use in a first-order method. SPEJ P. 521＾

scholarly journals Parameter estimation for energy balance models with memory

2014 ◽  
Vol 470 (2169) ◽  
pp. 20140349 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lionel Roques ◽  
Mickaël D. Chekroun ◽  
Michel Cristofol ◽  
Samuel Soubeyrand ◽  
Michael Ghil
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Energy Balance ◽  
Statistical Model ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Temperature Measurements ◽  
Age Dating ◽  
Observation Process ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Energy Balance Models ◽  
With Memory

We study parameter estimation for one-dimensional energy balance models with memory (EBMMs) given localized and noisy temperature measurements. Our results apply to a wide range of nonlinear, parabolic partial differential equations with integral memory terms. First, we show that a space-dependent parameter can be determined uniquely everywhere in the PDE's domain of definition D , using only temperature information in a small subdomain E ⊂ D . This result is valid only when the data correspond to exact measurements of the temperature. We propose a method for estimating a model parameter of the EBMM using more realistic, error-contaminated temperature data derived, for example, from ice cores or marine-sediment cores. Our approach is based on a so-called mechanistic-statistical model that combines a deterministic EBMM with a statistical model of the observation process. Estimating a parameter in this setting is especially challenging, because the observation process induces a strong loss of information. Aside from the noise contained in past temperature measurements, an additional error is induced by the age-dating method, whose accuracy tends to decrease with a sample's remoteness in time. Using a Bayesian approach, we show that obtaining an accurate parameter estimate is still possible in certain cases.

scholarly journals A Modified NM-PSO Method for Parameter Estimation Problems of Models

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
An Liu ◽  
Erwie Zahara ◽  
Ming-Ta Yang
Keyword(s):  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Parameter Estimation ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Differential Equations ◽  
Ordinary Differential Equations ◽  
Optimization Problems ◽  
Particle Swarm ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Estimation Problems

Ordinary differential equations usefully describe the behavior of a wide range of dynamic physical systems. The particle swarm optimization (PSO) method has been considered an effective tool for solving the engineering optimization problems for ordinary differential equations. This paper proposes a modified hybrid Nelder-Mead simplex search and particle swarm optimization (M-NM-PSO) method for solving parameter estimation problems. The M-NM-PSO method improves the efficiency of the PSO method and the conventional NM-PSO method by rapid convergence and better objective function value. Studies are made for three well-known cases, and the solutions of the M-NM-PSO method are compared with those by other methods published in the literature. The results demonstrate that the proposed M-NM-PSO method yields better estimation results than those obtained by the genetic algorithm, the modified genetic algorithm (real-coded GA (RCGA)), the conventional particle swarm optimization (PSO) method, and the conventional NM-PSO method.

Critical examination of various approaches used for analysing helical cables

1994 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-55 ◽  
Author(s):  
M Raoof ◽  
I Kraincanic
Keyword(s):  
Large Diameter ◽  
Numerical Results ◽  
Hertzian Contact ◽  
Critical Examination ◽  
First Order ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
End Conditions ◽  
Parametric Studies ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Fixed End

Using theoretical parametric studies covering a wide range of cable (and wire) diameters and lay angles, the range of validity of various approaches used for analysing helical cables are critically examined. Numerical results strongly suggest that for multi-layered steel strands with small wire/cable diameter ratios, the bending and torsional stiffnesses of the individual wires may safely be ignored when calculating the 2 × 2 matrix for strand axial/torsional stiffnesses. However, such bending and torsional wire stiffnesses are shown to be first order parameters in analysing the overall axial and torsional stiffnesses of, say, seven wire stands, especially under free-fixed end conditions with respect to torsional movements. Interwire contact deformations are shown to be of great importance in evaluating the axial and torsional stiffnesses of large diameter multi-layered steel strands. Their importance diminishes as the number of wires associated with smaller diameter cables decreases. Using a modified version of a previously reported theoretical model for analysing multilayered instrumentation cables, the importance of allowing for the influence of contact deformations in compliant layers on cable overall characteristics such as axial or torsional stiffnesses is demonstrated by theoretical numerical results. In particular, non-Hertzian contact formulations are used to obtain the interlayer compliances in instrumentation cables in preference to a previously reported model employing Hertzian theory with its associated limitations.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document