Conditional probability distributions for partially observed Markov chains

1974 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 250-251
Author(s):  
M. Rudemo
2005 ◽  
Vol 42 (02) ◽  
pp. 426-445
Author(s):  
Raymond Brummelhuis ◽  
Dominique Guégan

We study the asymptotic tail behavior of the conditional probability distributions of r t+k and r t+1+⋯+r t+k when (r t ) t∈ℕ is a GARCH(1, 1) process. As an application, we examine the relation between the extreme lower quantiles of these random variables.


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