Do Relative Prices of Non-Traded Goods Determine Long-Run Real Exchange Rates?

1997 ◽  
Vol 30 (4a) ◽  
pp. 891 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen B. Deloach
2020 ◽  
Vol 130 (630) ◽  
pp. 1715-1728 ◽  
Author(s):  
Torfinn Harding ◽  
Radoslaw Stefanski ◽  
Gerhard Toews

Abstract We estimate the effect of giant oil and gas discoveries on bilateral real exchange rates. A giant discovery with the value of 10% of a country’s GDP appreciates the real exchange rate by 1.5% within ten years following the discovery. The appreciation starts before production begins and the non-traded component of the real exchange rate drives the appreciation. Labour reallocates from the traded goods sector to the non-traded goods sector, leading to changes in labour productivity. These findings provide direct evidence on the channels central to the theories of the Dutch disease and the Balassa–Samuelson effect.


2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (5) ◽  
pp. 921-940 ◽  
Author(s):  
Azmat Gani ◽  
Michael D. Clemes

This study examines the main determinants of international visitor arrivals in New Zealand in light of New Zealand’s major earthquakes in 2010 and 2011 as well as the global financial crisis of 2007. Our results provide strong evidence that visitor origin country per capita incomes, relative prices, real exchange rates, the distance between New Zealand and its main visitor origin countries and New Zealand’s record of good governance are statistically significant determinants of visitor arrivals to New Zealand. Our findings also reveal a negative but statistically insignificant effect of the earthquakes of 2010 and 2011on visitor arrivals to New Zealand. Our findings do not provide any significant regressive effect of the global financial crisis on visitor arrivals to New Zealand.


Author(s):  
Ordean Olson

The evidence for a productivity-based explanation for real exchange rate behavior of East Asian currencies is examined using sectoral output and employment data, relative prices and relative productivities for China, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan, and Thailand. Time series regressions of the real exchange rate on relative productivity ratios indicate significant relationships for the Philippines, Hong Kong, Thailand, Singapore, Taiwan and Korea. Only when augmenting the regressions with real oil prices are significant relationships obtained for Indonesia and Japan. Panel regression results are less supportive of a relative productivity view of real exchange rates except for Hong Kong, China and Thailand. Surprisingly, government spending does not appear to be a determinant of real exchange rates except for the countries of Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Thailand.


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