Armington Models and Terms-of-Trade Effects: Some Econometric Evidence for North America

1993 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 299 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clinton R. Shiells ◽  
Kenneth A. Reinert
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Terms Of Trade ◽  
Trade Effects ◽  
Econometric Evidence

Do terms-of-trade effects matter for trade agreements? Theory and evidence from WTO Countries*

2013 ◽  
Vol 128 (4) ◽  
pp. 1837-1893 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rodney D. Ludema ◽  
Anna Maria Mayda
Keyword(s):  
Strong Support ◽  
Trade Agreements ◽  
Terms Of Trade ◽  
Most Favored Nation ◽  
International Trade Agreements ◽  
Trade Effects ◽  
Export Supply ◽  
Export Shares ◽  
World Economic ◽  
Using Data

Abstract International trade agreements are an important element of the world economic system, but questions remain as to their purpose. The terms-of-trade hypothesis posits that countries use tariffs in part to improve their terms of trade and that trade agreements cause them to internalize the costs that such terms-of-trade shifts impose on other countries. This article investigates whether the most-favored-nation (MFN) tariffs set by World Trade Organization (WTO) members in the Uruguay Round are consistent with the terms-of-trade hypothesis. We present a model of multilateral trade negotiations featuring endogenous participation that leads the resulting tariff schedules to display terms-of-trade effects. Specifically, the model predicts that the level of the importer’s tariff resulting from negotiations should be negatively related to the product of two terms: exporter concentration, as measured by the Herfindahl-Hirschman index (sum of squared export shares), and the importer’s market power, as measured by the inverse elasticity of export supply, on a product-by-product basis. We test this hypothesis using data on tariffs, trade, and production across more than 30 WTO countries and find strong support. We estimate that the internalization of terms of trade effects through WTO negotiations has lowered the average tariff of these countries by 22% to 27% compared to its noncooperative level.

Free trade: what are the terms-of-trade effects?

2008 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 147-161 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carsten Kowalczyk ◽  
Raymond Riezman
Keyword(s):  
Free Trade ◽  
Terms Of Trade ◽  
Trade Effects
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