The Effects of Decision Making on Futures Price Volatility

1996 ◽  
Vol 78 (3) ◽  
pp. 591-603 ◽  
Author(s):  
David A. Hennessy ◽  
Thomas I. Wahl
2016 ◽  
Vol 53 (10) ◽  
pp. 2361-2376 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rodrigo Lanna F. da Silveira ◽  
Fabio L. Mattos ◽  
Maria Sylvia M. Saes

2021 ◽  
Vol 72 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-20
Author(s):  
Mingtao He ◽  
Wenying Li ◽  
Brian K. Via ◽  
Yaoqi Zhang

Abstract Firms engaged in producing, processing, marketing, or using lumber and lumber products always invest in futures markets to reduce the risk of lumber price volatility. The accurate prediction of real-time prices can help companies and investors hedge risks and make correct market decisions. This paper explores whether Internet browsing habits can accurately nowcast the lumber futures price. The predictors are Google Trends index data related to lumber prices. This study offers a fresh perspective on nowcasting the lumber price accurately. The novel outlook of employing both machine learning and deep learning methods shows that despite the high predictive power of both the methods, on average, deep learning models can better capture trends and provide more accurate predictions than machine learning models. The artificial neural network model is the most competitive, followed by the recurrent neural network model.


2018 ◽  
Vol 72 ◽  
pp. 321-330 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Liu ◽  
Feng Ma ◽  
Ke Yang ◽  
Yaojie Zhang

2018 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 1016-1034 ◽  
Author(s):  
Said Elbanna ◽  
Tamer H. Elsharnouby

Purpose The purpose of this study is to address a timely research question by clarifying whether formal planning is a worthy approach for hotels. In so doing, the authors developed a theoretical model that extends prior research by exploring how the formal planning process influences organizational capabilities and decision-making style. The model also examines the impact of the three identified factors on planning effectiveness. Design/methodology/approach Data were collected from 175 hotels located in United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Qatar and hypotheses were tested using structural equation modeling (SEM). Findings The study concludes that the practice of formal planning in the tourism sector does matter and both organizational capabilities and decision-making style are important factors in predicting planning effectiveness. Research limitations/implications Generalizations to organizations operating in other sectors, such as manufacturing or government sectors, should be drawn cautiously. Practical implications Taking into account oil price volatility and serious political crises in the region, this study provides several insights to hotel managers into how the formal planning process can influence planning effectiveness. Originality/value The findings enrich the debate on the role of formal planning in the tourism sector, which has been relatively devoid of similar studies.


1986 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anand K. Bhattacharya ◽  
Anju Ramjee ◽  
Balasubramani Ramjee

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