scholarly journals How are interbank and sovereign debt markets linked? Evidence from 14 OECD countries, the Euro area and Russia

2014 ◽  
Vol 61 (3) ◽  
pp. 331-348 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mikhail Stolbov
Keyword(s):  
Euro Area ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Oecd Countries ◽  
Financial Contagion ◽  
International Banking ◽  
Volatility Spillovers ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Sovereign Bond Markets

The paper explores causal linkages between interbank and sovereign bond markets in 14 OECD countries, the Euro area and Russia during the 2008-2009 crisis and post-crisis period. The analysis has been carried out for individual countries and in a multivariate framework. It enables to identify systemically important countries in both markets. The USA, Switzerland, Australia, South Korea and Russia are of particular significance in the interbank lending market. Switzerland, the UK, Poland, Australia and Canada play a pivotal role in the public debt market. The analysis under the multivariate framework reveals substantial heterogeneity in the network structure of both markets. Only 12% of causal relationships coincide, which may fuel financial contagion. Volatility spillovers underlie the causal linkages. They are estimated by means of dynamic volatility indices based on rolling correlation matrices and help identify the transformation of the international banking turmoil into the sovereign debt crisis.

scholarly journals Givers or Recipients? Co-Movements between Stock Markets of CEE-3 and Developed Countries

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (22) ◽  
pp. 6495 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grabowski
Keyword(s):  
Czech Republic ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Sovereign Debt Crisis ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Volatility Spillovers ◽  
The Us

In this paper, time-varying co-movements between the stock markets of Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, and the capital markets of developed countries in stable and crisis periods are studied. The parameters of the VAR-AGDCC-GARCH (Vector Autoregressive- Asymmetric Generalized Dynamic Conditional Correlation-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) model are estimated, and volatility spillovers are calculated. The evidence suggests that the level of correlation between stock return shocks of Central and Eastern European countries increased significantly in the period of financial turmoil and was high in the period of the US sub-prime crisis, as well as during the euro area sovereign debt crisis. After the announcement of the OMT (Outright Monetary Transactions) program, the evolution of the stock market indices in Central and Eastern Europe countries (CEECs) have followed different paths. An analysis of the volatility spillovers indicates that CEECs are the recipients of volatility. In the period of 2004–2019, they received much volatility—from Germany and the US, in particular. They also received much volatility from Spain during the euro area sovereign debt crisis. After 2012, volatility transmission to Poland, the Czech Republic, and Hungary dropped significantly.

Prospects for the UK Economy

2011 ◽  
Vol 218 ◽  
pp. F54-F76
Author(s):  
Simon Kirby ◽  
Rachel Whitworth
Keyword(s):  
Euro Area ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Domestic Activity ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Balance Sheets ◽  
The Public ◽  
Economic News ◽  
The First World War ◽  
The Uk

The economic news flow since the publication of our July Review has been predominately negative, focusing on the deteriorating Euro Area sovereign debt crisis. This has added to further disappointing data on UK domestic activity. Quarterly economic growth has averaged just 0.3 per cent in the first three quarters of 2011 (see figure 1). Anaemic GDP growth is due to both the public and private sectors simultaneously consolidating their balance sheets. Looking ahead, the crisis in the Euro Area will play a central role. We expect the UK economy to expand by 0.9 per cent this year and 0.8 per cent in 2012, before increasing by 2.6 per cent in 2013. This will be the most protracted recovery since the end of the First World War (see figure 2).

Eurobonds: Three Lessons from China’s “Debt Centralization/Decentralization” Experience

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiyong An
Keyword(s):  
Moral Hazard ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Budget Constraint ◽  
Sovereign Debt Crisis ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Member States ◽  
Institutional Mechanism ◽  
Previous Series

Abstract Eurobonds, dubbed as Coronabonds in the context of the current coronavirus crisis, are being hotly debated among the euro area member states amid the COVID-19 pandemic. The debate is in many ways a retread of the euro area sovereign debt crisis of 2011–2012. As China’s “debt centralization/decentralization” experience is comparable with the introduction of Eurobonds in the European Union (EU) in terms of institutional mechanism design, we review our previous series of studies of China’s “debt centralization/decentralization” experience to shed some light on the Eurobonds debate. We obtain three key lessons. First, the introduction of Eurobonds in EU is likely to soften the budget constraint of the governments of the euro area member states. Second, it is also likely to strengthen the moral hazard incentives of the governments of the euro area member states to intentionally overstate their budget problems. Finally, the magnitudes of the moral hazard effects generated by the introduction of Eurobonds in EU are likely larger than their respective counterparts in China.

On Financial Contagion Through ETFs

2020 ◽  
pp. 82-101
Author(s):  
Alexia Thomaidou ◽  
Dimitris Kenourgios
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Financial Contagion ◽  
Sovereign Debt Crisis ◽  
European Sovereign Debt Crisis ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

This chapter investigates the impact of the Global Financial Crisis and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis in ETFs across regions and segments. In particular, two tests are taking place, with the first one to examine if there is evidence of contagion effect and the second one to test the affection of risks in each pair of ETFs. The evidence across the stable period and the two crisis periods suggests the existence of the transmission of shocks from the Global Financial ETF to regional and sectoral ETFs. However, there is evidence that some of the ETFs remain less unaffected during both crises and some of them are immune. Moreover, the authors examine the impact of several control variables, which represent various risks, to the correlation of each pair of ETFs and the results show the influence of the interest rate risk and interbank liquidity risk during the Global Financial Crisis and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis.

The Legacy of Economic Recession in Terms of Over-Indebtedness: A Framework and Review of the Evidence

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 111-124
Author(s):  
Heikki Hiilamo
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Economic Crisis ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Housing Price ◽  
Economic Recession ◽  
Oecd Countries ◽  
Mortgage Lending ◽  
Global Economic Crisis ◽  
Run Up ◽  
The Uk

With the expansion of credit, low interest rates and overly optimistic expectations about future economic and housing price developments, mortgage lending soared in most OECD countries in the run-up to the 2008 global economic crisis. The crisis revealed the hidden epidemic of over-indebtedness, which continues to overshadow the lives of millions in rich countries. In the wake of the global economic crisis, the household debt crisis led to worsening economic conditions and put pressure on government finances, which caused further income shocks in the form of austerity measures such as social welfare cuts and higher taxes. This article is based on a scoping review aimed at summarising and reflecting on the available literature. It analyses the effects of over-indebtedness on individuals and societies across six OECD countries: Finland, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, the UK and the US.

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