scholarly journals Nonlinearity and fractional integration in the US dollar/euro exchange rate

2012 ◽  
Vol 59 (3) ◽  
pp. 325-334 ◽  
Author(s):  
Burcu Kiran

This paper examines the nonlinear behavior and the fractional integration property of the US dollar/euro exchange rate over the period from January 1999 to August 2010 by extending the procedure of Peter M. Robinson (1994) to the case of nonlinearity. First, using the approach developed by Mehmet Caner and Bruce E. Hansen (2001), we investigate the possible presence of nonlinearity in the series through the estimation of a two-regime threshold autoregressive model. After finding nonlinearity, we also allow for disturbances to be fractionally integrated based on the different versions of Robinson (1994) tests. The findings show that the US dollar/euro exchange rate follows a stationary process with a weak evidence for long memory.

Author(s):  
Atikullah Ibrahim ◽  
Siti Aida Sheikh Hussin ◽  
Zalina Zahid ◽  
SitiShalizaMohd Khairi

This research evaluates the presence of long memory or long-term dependence on the Malaysian exchange rate. Daily, weekly and monthly data are evaluated against the US dollar (USD) covering from January 2005 to March 2018. Evaluation of long memory is based on the Geweke and Porter-Hudak estimation and the Maximum Likelihood Estimation. The result suggests the presence of long memory on all the daily, weekly and monthly data. Results show that shock on the Malaysian exchange rate persist longer than expected. The forecast capability also concludes that addition of the long memory presence from ARIMA model to ARFIMA model could improve the model forecast.


2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (1/2) ◽  
pp. 105-136
Author(s):  
Guglielmo Maria Caporale ◽  
◽  
Luis Gil-Alana ◽  

Author(s):  
A. Polivach

Before the world economic crisis the Chinese government restricted the sphere of the Yuan’s circulation exceptionally by the domestic market. Basically, until that time the Yuan was not freely convertible while the Chinese foreign trade transactions were operated with the help of the US dollar. This is a sufficient reason to state that the issue of Yuan’s underestimated exchange rate has no fundamental relevance. However, the crisis forced China to substantially extend the utilization of its national currency in the international settlements. This is especially true in case of mutual settlements with the neighbor countries. So far, presumably, the issue of Yuan’s underestimated exchange rate will, at last, receive a scientific validity only when the Chinese national currency will become fully convertible and the scales of its utilization will become comparable with those of the traditional hard currencies.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anik Anik ◽  
Iin Emy Prastiwi

This article aims to determine the effect of inflation, the BI Rate, the exchange rate of the rupiah to the US dollar, and the amount of money supply for Third Party Funds (TPF) in Indonesians’ Islamic Banks during 2013-2016. This research method uses multiple regression analysis with time series data; gathering data from 48 samples of which are monthly data on the variables.  The result of this research find that the inflation and exchange rate variables have no significant effect on TPF, while the BI Rate variable and the money supply have a significant effect on TPF. In doing so, Islamic banking can pay serious attention to the BI rate and the money supply and in this study the BI rate on the direction of TPF. Keywords: inflation, BI rate, exchange rate, Third Party Funds


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 125 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pribawa E Pantas ◽  
Muhamad Nafik Hadi Ryandono ◽  
Misbahul Munir ◽  
Rofiul Wahyudi

This study aims to determine the long-term relationship between stock market and exchange rate in Indonesia. The research method used is Johansen cointegration test. The results of this study found no cointegration between the variables tested. Thus the exchange rate, JII, and IHSG have no relationship in the long term. The fluctuation of the rupiah exchange rate in recent years did not generally affect the performance of stock indices especially after the global financial crisis of 2008. This shows the capital market in Indonesia has a good performance so that it is not so sensitive to the sentiment of the decline in the rupiah against the US dollar. This finding is in line with the findings of Syahrer (2010) which states the exchange rate has no effect on the stock market.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 160-170
Author(s):  
Annisa Pujiati ◽  
Fatmi Hadiani

The purpose of this research is to determine the effect of profitability, dividend policy, inflation, and exchange rates on firm value. The population of this study is the property, real estate, and building construction sector companies listed on ISSI for the 2014-2018 period. In determining the sample data, this study used a purposive sampling method and obtained a sample of 9 companies. Research data is taken from secondary data, namely performance summary reports and reports on inflation and the US dollar exchange rate. The analytical method used to solve the problem in this research is path analysis using the WarpPLS 7.0 application. From this research, it is found that the lower profitability (ROE) and dividend policy (DPR) has a positive  and significant effect on firm value (PBV), inflation has a negative and insignificant effect on firm value (PBV) and the exchange rate (US$) has a negative effect. and significant to firm value (PBV).


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