scholarly journals Volatilité des chocs et degré de flexibilité du taux de change

2007 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 271-301 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Pierre Allegret ◽  
Mohamed Ayadi ◽  
Leila Haouaoui

During the 90s emerging markets have been hit by recurrent exchange rate crises. Almost all these countries shared a common characteristic: they adopted in previous years soft pegs, the so-called intermediate exchange rate regimes. International institutions and academic economists interpreted this intrinsic fragility of soft pegs as a consequence of the increasing international capital mobility. From this perspective, the exchange-rate regime is seen as constrained by the monetary policy trilemma, which imposes a stark trade-off among exchange stability, monetary independence, and capital market openness. Soft pegs seem incompatible with international financial integration. As a result, a new consensus appeared: the choice of domestic authorities is limited to corner solutions: hard pegs on the one side; independent floating on the other side. This paper proposes a contribution to the analysis of exchange rate regimes choice by emerging markets. The new consensus is questioned by considering that emerging countries are confronted not in the choice between extreme solutions, but rather with the choice of the degree of fixity- or the degree of flexibility- of the exchange rate.

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Ebeke ◽  
Armand Fouejieu

Abstract This paper investigates the effects of the adoption of inflation targeting (IT) on the choice of exchange rate regime in emerging markets (EMs), conditional on certain macroeconomic conditions. Using a large sample of EMs and after dampening the endogeneity of the adoption of IT using a selection on observables, we find that IT countries on average have a relatively more flexible exchange rate regime than other EMs. However, the flexibility of the exchange rate regime shows strong heterogeneity among IT countries. IT countries with low trade and financial openness and with a large share of external debt exhibit a lower exchange rate flexibility than others. Moreover, the marginal effect of IT adoption on the exchange rate flexibility increases with the duration of the IT regime in place, and with the propensity scores to adopt it.


2001 ◽  
Vol 01 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Philippon ◽  
Jeromin Zettelmeyer ◽  
Eduardo Borensztein ◽  
◽  
◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 108 ◽  
pp. 499-504 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maurice Obstfeld ◽  
Jonathan D. Ostry ◽  
Mahvash S. Qureshi

This paper examines the claim that exchange rate regimes are of little relevance in the transmission of global financial conditions to domestic financial and macroeconomic conditions. Our findings suggest that exchange rate regimes do matter, at least for emerging market economies. The transmission of global financial shocks to domestic variables is magnified under fixed exchange rate regimes relative to more flexible regimes. For advanced economies, however, the jury is still out, as the recent paucity of truly fixed regimes among these economies poses a challenge for estimating the effect of exchange rate flexibility.


Author(s):  
MAJED S. ALMOZAINI

The aim of this study is to analyze how oil price shocks affect the economic growth of floating exchange rate regimes and fixed exchange rate regimes in oil-exporting countries with a ratio of oil exports to total exports exceeding 70%. Also, this study seeks to determine what monetary and fiscal policies both regimes apply in order to curb business cycles and reduce inflationary and recessionary gaps. The analytical study uses panel data for the period from 1991 to 2019, covering 24 oil-exporting countries, from the World Economic Outlook (WEO) database and World Bank. The econometric model is estimated by applying a panel VECM to examine the short- and long-term interdependencies in the macroeconomic variables. The results demonstrate that when there is a negative shock to the oil price, the exchange rate of the floating exchange rate regimes depreciates, money supply increases, and government spending decreases. In contrast, the exchange rate of the fixed exchange rate regimes fluctuates slightly; the money supply slightly decreases in the near, medium, and long term; and government spending decreases.


2011 ◽  
pp. 21-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Andryushin ◽  
V. Kuznetsova

The article analyzes the emerging markets central banks exchange rate policy, while they choose the exchange rate regime in conditions of financial globalization. The authors present the new IMF exchange rate regimes taxonomy which separates them using historical data about nominal exchange rate developments. They identify some factors which affect the exchange rate regime option from the macroeconomic point of view. The article reviews some national markets safeguard measures from external shocks generated by international capital inflow or outflow.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document