scholarly journals A chaotic economic growth model and the agricultural share of an output

2005 ◽  
Vol 50 (2) ◽  
pp. 207-216 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vesna Jablanovic

The agricultural share of a total output generally declines in the process of economic growth. The major reason for this is that consumer demand for food increases only slightly with rising incomes. However, a small, open economy can overcome this constraint to the growth of agricultural production by expanding its net exports. The basic aim of this paper is to set up a chaotic growth model of the gross domestic product that is capable of generating stable equilibria, cycles, or chaos depending on parameter values.

2018 ◽  
pp. 65-86
Author(s):  
Wei-Bin Zhang

This paper constructs an economic growth model of a small open economy with tourism and imported goods in a perfectly competitive economy. The study focuses on the effects of changes in terms of trade, with a preference for imported goods, on the dynamic paths of trade balance and economic growth. The basic framework for modelling a national economy is based on the Solow-Uzawa neoclassical growth model with Zhang’s alternative approach to household behaviour. We build a nonlinear dynamic model with interdependence between economic growth, economic structure, tourism, prices, wealth and income. We provide a computational process to follow the motion of the economic system. Simulation is used to carry out a comparative dynamic analysis of the terms of trade, the propensity to consume imported goods, the rate of interest, the price elasticity of tourism, and the total productivity of the service sector. The comparative dynamic analysis provides some insights into the complexity of the tourism economy.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 7-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei-Bin Zhang

This paper generalizes an economic growth model proposed by Zhang (2017) by allowing all constant coefficients to be time-dependent. This paper shows existence of business cycles in the generalized model due to periodic shocks. Zhang’s original model is developed for a small open economy with imported energy and imported goods. The economy is composed of two sectors and all markets are perfectly competitive. The economy has fixed land and population. Production side is the same as in neoclassical growth theory, while demand side is modelling with Zhang’s utility and concept of disposable income. We generalize and simulate the model. We demonstrate existence of business cycles due to different exogenous periodic shocks.


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 247-270 ◽  
Author(s):  
MARION LABOURÉ

AbstractThe pension system brings challenges in many high-income countries. While the system was set up at the time of economic growth, policymakers are facing both economic slowdown and aging population. Moreover, there is an incentive mis-match between short to medium term popularity and re-election versus taking necessary decisions to affect long-term sustainability of the system. In a small open economy, the situation is further accentuated by high volatility driven by migrations and cross-borders workers. This paper aims to address the policymakers’ challenges and develops an innovative model, whose main contribution is the way it reflects the cross-border workers’ contribution and impact. Therefore, it allows to not only assess the state liabilities, but also the evolution of the age pyramid with a significant portion of new migrants and cross-border workers, considering the high volatility of workers. It also provides an approach to analyze issues at stake and remove decision biases faced by politicians through policy options and their impact under various economic scenarios. With the model in hand, we analyze three different scenarios for the future evolution of Luxembourg's pension system. In all three scenarios, the results reflect a significant imbalance of the pension system over time (to 2060), going from 1.6% of gross domestic product (GDP) surplus in the best scenario to 14.2% of GDP deficit in the worst scenario. The probability of this worst scenario is related with a worsening of the economic situation, with job destruction and a drop in economic growth impacting cross-border commuters and net migrations.


2010 ◽  
Vol 48 (4) ◽  
pp. 1041-1043

Kent P. Kimbrough of Duke University reviews “Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth in a Small Open Economy” by Stephen J. Turnovsky,. The EconLit Abstract of the reviewed work begins “Investigates the process of economic growth in a small open economy and considers whether it is sensitive to the economy’s productive structure. Discusses a basic growth model with fixed labor supply; a basic growth model with endogenous labor supply; transitional dynamics and endogenous growth in one-sector models; two-sector growth models; nonscale growth models; a basic model of foreign aid; and foreign aid, capital accumulation, and economic growth--some extensions. Turnovsky is Castor Chair of Economics at the University of Washington. Index.”


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Wei-Bin Zhang

The purpose of this study is to introduce social status, conspicuous consumption, and spirit of capitalism into neoclassical growth model. This paper studies a dynamic interdependence between economic growth, economic structural change, income and wealth distribution, social status, conspicuous consumption, and spirit of capitalism in a small-open economy. We build a heterogeneous-households growth model with endogenous wealth accumulation and social status. The dynamics of J-households economy is described by J differential equations. We simulate the motion of the model with three groups of households. We carry out comparative dynamic analysis with regard to some parameters.


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