scholarly journals Towards preparation of design spectra for Serbian national annex to Eurocode 8: Part II. Usage of the UHS approach instead of normalized spectral shapes scaled by a single PSHA parameter

2012 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 259-274
Author(s):  
Borko Bulajic ◽  
Miodrag Manic ◽  
Djordje Ladjinovic

Eurocode 8 spectra are scaled by the peak ground acceleration values that are defined for the given site through a probabilistic seismic hazard analyses (PSHA). However, spectra that are created by combining the empirical shapes with the single PSHA-defined scaling factor will not represent the so-called Uniform Hazard Spectra (UHS). Moreover, the very shape (Type 1 or Type 2) of the Eurocode 8 elastic spectrum is selected with respect to the magnitude of the earthquakes ?that will contribute most to the seismic hazard defined for the purpose of probabilistic hazard assessment??. Such definition is somewhat obscure since these ?most contributing? earthquakes are, even at the same site and for the same probability i.e. for the same ?return period?, different (in a general case) for different vibration periods, while the whole Eurocode 8 spectrum is scaled by using only the PSHA estimate of the peak ground acceleration. In this Paper we present an illustrative example of the Uniform Hazard Spectra for the city of Belgrade and compare the obtained UHS spectra, as well as the scenario empirical spectra scaled for different earthquake parameters, to the corresponding Eurocode 8 spectra, further pointing out the intrinsic ambiguities in the current EC8 suggestions for creation of design spectra.

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 89
Author(s):  
Ercan Işık ◽  
Ehsan Harirchian ◽  
Aydın Büyüksaraç ◽  
Yunus Levent Ekinci

Seismic hazard analysis of the earthquake-prone Eastern Anatolian Region (Turkey) has become more important due to its growing strategic importance as a global energy corridor. Most of the cities in that region have experienced the loss of life and property due to significant earthquakes. Thus, in this study, we attempted to estimate the seismic hazard in that region. Seismic moment variations were obtained using different types of earthquake magnitudes such as Mw, Ms, and Mb. The earthquake parameters were also determined for all provincial centers using the earthquake ground motion levels with some probabilities of exceedance. The spectral acceleration coefficients were compared based on the current and previous seismic design codes of the country. Additionally, structural analyses were performed using different earthquake ground motion levels for the Bingöl province, which has the highest peak ground acceleration values for a sample reinforced concrete building. The highest seismic moment variations were found between the Van and Hakkari provinces. The findings also showed that the peak ground acceleration values varied between 0.2–0.7 g for earthquakes, with a repetition period of 475 years. A comparison of the probabilistic seismic hazard curves of the Bingöl province with the well-known attenuation relationships showed that the current seismic design code indicates a higher earthquake risk than most of the others.


1999 ◽  
Vol 42 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Tavakoli ◽  
M. Ghafory-Ashtiany

The development of the new seismic hazard map of Iran is based on probabilistic seismic hazard computation using the historical earthquakes data, geology, tectonics, fault activity and seismic source models in Iran. These maps have been prepared to indicate the earthquake hazard of Iran in the form of iso-acceleration contour lines, and seismic hazard zoning, by using current probabilistic procedures. They display the probabilistic estimates of Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) for the return periods of 75 and 475 years. The maps have been divided into intervals of 0.25 degrees in both latitudinal and longitudinal directions to calculate the peak ground acceleration values at each grid point and draw the seismic hazard curves. The results presented in this study will provide the basis for the preparation of seismic risk maps, the estimation of earthquake insurance premiums, and the preliminary site evaluation of critical facilities.


2010 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. G. Sitharam ◽  
K. S. Vipin

The local site effects play an important role in the evaluation of seismic hazard. The proper evaluation of the local site effects will help in evaluating the amplification factors for different locations. This article deals with the evaluation of peak ground acceleration and response spectra based on the local site effects for the study area. The seismic hazard analysis was done based on a probabilistic logic tree approach and the peak horizontal acceleration (PHA) values at the bed rock level were evaluated. Different methods of site classification have been reviewed in the present work. The surface level peak ground acceleration (PGA) values were evaluated for the entire study area for four different site classes based on NEHRP site classification. The uniform hazard response spectrum (UHRS) has been developed for the city of Bangalore and the details are presented in this work.


Author(s):  
Girish Chandra Joshi ◽  
Mukat Lal Sharma

In the present study the authors evaluate uncertainties in the seismic hazard assessment for the Northern Indian region, based on the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA). The newly compiled earthquake data has been treated for the quality, consistency, and homogeneity in a systematic manner to find out the uncertainties in every step of calculations. Based on the geological and tectonic setup, seismicity and other geophysical anomalies, a seismotectonic model of the region has been developed. The seismic hazard parameters are calculated based on giving proper weight to specific region. The peak ground acceleration (PGA) is estimated for various return periods for the Northern Indian region using a logic tree approach. The variation at the input level in terms of the source models and different Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs) is used. To examine into the effect of source modelling and GMPEs, the Coefficient of Variation (COV) maps have been generated. To encompass the region and for better resolution, the peak ground acceleration (PGA) is estimated at 15 minute intervals. The COV values due to all branch points in the logic tree decrease with distance from the source and conspicuous increase toward fault boundaries are observed.


2018 ◽  
Vol 195 ◽  
pp. 03019
Author(s):  
Rian Mahendra Taruna ◽  
Vrieslend Haris Banyunegoro ◽  
Gatut Daniarsyad

The Lombok region especially Mataram city, is situated in a very active seismic zone because of the existence of subduction zones and the Flores back arc thrust. Hence, the peak ground acceleration (PGA) at the surface is necessary for seismic design regulation referring to SNI 1726:2012. In this research we conduct a probabilistic seismic hazard analysis to estimate the PGA at the bedrock with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years corresponding to the return period of 2500 years. These results are then multiplied by the amplification factor referred from shear wave velocity at 30 m depth (Vs30) and the microtremor method. The result of the analysis may describe the seismic hazard in Mataram city which is important for building codes.


2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 865-878 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. S. Vipin ◽  
P. Anbazhagan ◽  
T. G. Sitharam

Abstract. In this work an attempt has been made to evaluate the seismic hazard of South India (8.0° N–20° N; 72° E–88° E) based on the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA). The earthquake data obtained from different sources were declustered to remove the dependent events. A total of 598 earthquakes of moment magnitude 4 and above were obtained from the study area after declustering, and were considered for further hazard analysis. The seismotectonic map of the study area was prepared by considering the faults, lineaments and the shear zones in the study area which are associated with earthquakes of magnitude 4 and above. For assessing the seismic hazard, the study area was divided into small grids of size 0.1°×0.1°, and the hazard parameters were calculated at the centre of each of these grid cells by considering all the seismic sources with in a radius of 300 km. Rock level peak horizontal acceleration (PHA) and spectral acceleration (SA) values at 1 s corresponding to 10% and 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years have been calculated for all the grid points. The contour maps showing the spatial variation of these values are presented here. Uniform hazard response spectrum (UHRS) at rock level for 5% damping and 10% and 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years were also developed for all the grid points. The peak ground acceleration (PGA) at surface level was calculated for the entire South India for four different site classes. These values can be used to find the PGA values at any site in South India based on site class at that location. Thus, this method can be viewed as a simplified method to evaluate the PGA values at any site in the study area.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anand Joshi ◽  
Ashvini Kumar ◽  
Heriberta Castanos ◽  
Cinna Lomnitz

This paper presents use of semiempirical method for seismic hazard zonation. The seismotectonically important region of Uttarakhand Himalaya has been considered in this work. Ruptures along the lineaments in the area identified from tectonic map are modeled deterministically using semi empirical approach given by Midorikawa (1993). This approach makes use of attenuation relation of peak ground acceleration for simulating strong ground motion at any site. Strong motion data collected over a span of three years in this region have been used to develop attenuation relation of peak ground acceleration of limited magnitude and distance applicability. The developed attenuation relation is used in the semi empirical method to predict peak ground acceleration from the modeled rupture planes in the area. A set of values of peak ground acceleration from possible ruptures in the area at the point of investigation is further used to compute probability of exceedance of peak ground acceleration of values 100 and 200 gals. The prepared map shows that regions like Tehri, Chamoli, Almora, Srinagar, Devprayag, Bageshwar, and Pauri fall in a zone of 10% probability of exceedence of peak ground acceleration of value 200 gals.


Author(s):  
A. K. Ghosh ◽  
H. S. Kushwaha

The various uncertainties and randomness associated with the occurrence of earthquakes and the consequences of their effects on the NPP components and structures call for a probabilistic seismic risk assessment (PSRA). However, traditionally, the seismic design basis ground motion has been specified by normalised response spectral shapes and peak ground acceleration (PGA). The mean recurrence interval (MRI) used to be computed for PGA only. The present work develops uniform hazard response spectra i.e. spectra having the same MRI at all frequencies for Kakrapar Atomic Power Station site. Sensitivity of the results to the changes in various parameters has also been presented. These results determine the seismic hazard at the given site and the associated uncertainties. The paper also presents some results of the seismic fragility for an existing containment structure. The various parameters that could affect the seismic structural response include material strength of concrete, structural damping available within the structure and the normalized ground motion response spectral shape. Based on this limited case study the seismic fragility of the structure is developed. The results are presented as families of conditional probability curves plotted against the peak ground acceleration (PGA). The procedure adopted incorporates the various randomness and uncertainty associated with the parameters under consideration.


2021 ◽  
Vol 331 ◽  
pp. 07002
Author(s):  
Afnindar Fakhrurrozi ◽  
Anggun Mayang Sari ◽  
Arifan Jaya Syahbana ◽  
Dwi Sarah ◽  
Bambang Setiadi ◽  
...  

An important key to determining the disaster risk is exposure. It is truly dynamic in space and time due to the expansion and change of the settlements. A seismic hazard is an earthquake disaster that can deliver damage to the physical environment. Hence, it is required to analyse the objects exposed by an active earthquake source in the Bandung Basin. The exposed objects that experience the most impact due to the shock of the earthquake are residential buildings. The West Bandung Regency was opted as our study area due to the high-risk zone for earthquake waves based on seismic hazard calculation. This paper tried to analyse the seismic exposure as the impact of earthquake waves around the Bandung Basin on physical buildings in the West Bandung Regency using a geospatial analytics approach. The result shows that the location area with many damaged buildings correlates with the spatial distribution of surface peak ground acceleration.


2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (4B) ◽  
pp. 82-95
Author(s):  
Nguyen Anh Duong ◽  
Pham Dinh Nguyen ◽  
Vu Minh Tuan ◽  
Bui Van Duan ◽  
Nguyen Thuy Linh

In this study, we have carried out the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in Hanoi based on the latest seismotectonic data. The seismic hazard map shows peak ground acceleration values on rock corresponding to the 10% probability of exceedance in a 50-year time period (approximately return periods of 500 years). The calculated results reveal that the maximum ground acceleration can occur on rock in Hanoi is about 0.13 g corresponding to the shaking intensity level of VIII on the MSK-64 scale. The ground motion values calculated on rock vary according to the local site conditions. We have evaluated and corrected the local site effects on ground motion in Ha Dong district, Hanoi by using microtremor and borehole data. The Nakamura’s H/V spectral ratio method has been applied to establish a map of ground dominant periods in Ha Dong with a TS range of 0.6 - 1.2 seconds. The relatively high values of periods indicate that Ha Dong has soft soil and thick Quaternary sediments. The sediment thickness in Ha Dong is calculated to vary between 30 - 75 m based on ground dominant periods and shear wave velocity VS30 = 171 - 254 m/s. The results of local site effect on ground motion show that the 500-year return period peak ground acceleration in Ha Dong ranges from 0.13 g to 0.17 g. It is once again asserted that the seismic hazard in Hanoi is a matter of great concern, due not only to the relatively high ground acceleration, but also to the seismic characteristics of soil (low shear wave velocity, ground dominant period of approximately 1 second).


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