scholarly journals Dynamics of a stochastic SIQR epidemic model with saturated incidence rate

Filomat ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 32 (15) ◽  
pp. 5239-5253 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li-Li Wang ◽  
Nan-Jing Huang ◽  
Donal O’Regan

The purpose of this paper is to propose and investigate a stochastic SIQR epidemic model with saturated incidence rate. Firstly, we give some conditions to guarantee the stochastic SIQR epidemic model has a unique global positive solution. Then we verify that the disease in this model will die out exponentially if Rs 0 < 1, while the disease will be persistent in the mean if Rs 0 > 1. Moreover, by constructing suitable Lyapunov functions, we establish some sufficient conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution for the model. Finally, we provide some numerical simulations to illustrate the analytical results.

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Panpan Wang ◽  
Jianwen Jia

Abstract In this paper, a stochastic SIRD model of Ebola with double saturated incidence rates and vaccination is considered. Firstly, the existence and uniqueness of a global positive solution are obtained. Secondly, by constructing suitable Lyapunov functions and using Khasminskii’s theory, we show that the stochastic model has a unique stationary distribution. Moreover, the extinction of the disease is also analyzed. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to portray the analytical results.


Author(s):  
Khadija Akdim ◽  
Adil Ez-Zetouni ◽  
Mehdi Zahid

In this paper, we investigate a stochastic vaccinated epidemic model with a general awareness-induced incidence perturbed by Lévy noise. First, we show that this model has a unique global positive solution. Therefore, we establish the dynamic behavior of the solution around both disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. Furthermore, when [Formula: see text], we give sufficient conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution to the model when the jump part in the Lévy noise is null. Finally, we present some examples to illustrate the analytical results by numerical simulations.


Author(s):  
Hao Peng ◽  
Xinhong Zhang ◽  
Daqing Jiang

In this paper, we analyze a stochastic rabies epidemic model which is perturbed by both white noise and telegraph noise. First, we prove the existence of the unique global positive solution. Second, by constructing an appropriate Lyapunov function, we establish a sufficient condition for the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solutions to the model. Then we establish sufficient conditions for the extinction of diseases. Finally, numerical simulations are introduced to illustrate our theoretical results.


Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 745 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tongqian Zhang ◽  
Tingting Ding ◽  
Ning Gao ◽  
Yi Song

In this paper, a stochastic SIRC epidemic model for Influenza A is proposed and investigated. First, we prove that the system exists a unique global positive solution. Second, the extinction of the disease is explored and the sufficient conditions for extinction of the disease are derived. And then the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solutions for the system is discussed by constructing stochastic Lyapunov function. Furthermore, numerical simulations are employed to illustrate the theoretical results. Finally, we give some further discussions about the system.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (08) ◽  
pp. 1850102 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuqi Gan ◽  
Fengying Wei

A susceptible–infected–vaccinated epidemic model with proportional vaccination and generalized nonlinear rate is formulated and investigated in the paper. We show that the stochastic epidemic model admits a unique and global positive solution with probability one when constructing a proper [Formula: see text]-function therewith. Then a sufficient condition that guarantees the disappearances of diseases is derived when the indicator [Formula: see text]. Further, if [Formula: see text], then we obtain that the solution is weakly permanent with probability one. We also derived the sufficient conditions of the persistence in the mean for the susceptible and infected when another indicator [Formula: see text].


2014 ◽  
Vol 24 (05) ◽  
pp. 1450060 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yakui Xue ◽  
Xiaoming Tang ◽  
Xinpeng Yuan

In this paper, an SIV epidemic model with the saturated incidence rate is investigated, considering the factors of population dynamics such as the constant recruitment of population, the natural morality and vaccination strategy. By carrying out the bifurcation analysis of the model, it is shown that numerous kinds of bifurcation occur for the model, such as Hopf bifurcation and Bogdanov–Takens bifurcation. The main results are illustrated by numerical simulations.


Author(s):  
C. Gokila ◽  
M. Sambath

This paper deals with stochastic Chikungunya (CHIKV) virus model along with saturated incidence rate. We show that there exists a unique global positive solution and also we obtain the conditions for the disease to be extinct. We also discuss about the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution of the model, through a suitable Lyapunov function. The stationary distribution validates the occurrence of disease; through that, we find the threshold value for prevail and disappear of disease within host. With the help of numerical simulations, we validate the stochastic reproduction number [Formula: see text] as stated in our theoretical findings.


2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 235-245 ◽  
Author(s):  
Modeste N’zi ◽  
Ilimidi Yattara

AbstractWe treat a delayed SIR (susceptible, infected, recovered) epidemic model with a saturated incidence rate and its perturbation through the contact rate using a white noise. We start with a deterministic model and then add a perturbation on the contact rate using a white noise to obtain a stochastic model. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution for both deterministic and stochastic delayed differential equations. Under suitable conditions on the parameters, we study the global asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium of the deterministic model and the almost sure stability of the disease-free equilibrium of the stochastic model.


Author(s):  
Laid Chahrazed

In this work, we consider a nonlinear epidemic model with temporary immunity and saturated incidence rate. Size N(t) at time t, is divided into three sub classes, with N(t)=S(t)+I(t)+Q(t); where S(t), I(t) and Q(t) denote the sizes of the population susceptible to disease, infectious and quarantine members with the possibility of infection through temporary immunity, respectively. We have made the following contributions: The local stabilities of the infection-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium are; analyzed, respectively. The stability of a disease-free equilibrium and the existence of other nontrivial equilibria can be determine by the ratio called the basic reproductive number, This paper study the reduce model with replace S with N, which does not have non-trivial periodic orbits with conditions. The endemic -disease point is globally asymptotically stable if R0 ˃1; and study some proprieties of equilibrium with theorems under some conditions. Finally the stochastic stabilities with the proof of some theorems. In this work, we have used the different references cited in different studies and especially the writing of the non-linear epidemic mathematical model with [1-7]. We have used the other references for the study the different stability and other sections with [8-26]; and sometimes the previous references.


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