scholarly journals Smart model-based governance: Taking decision making to the next level by integrating data analytics with systems thinking and system dynamics

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Armenia
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
System Dynamics ◽  
Systems Thinking ◽  
Data Analytics ◽  
Model Based

scholarly journals Towards Decision Making for Green Projects Assessment and Prioritization, Integration Between System Dynamics and Participatory Modelling

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gerard Olivar-Tost ◽  
Johnny Valencia-Calvo ◽  
Julián Andrés Castrillón-Gómez
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
System Dynamics ◽  
Dynamic Models ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Land Resources ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Post Conflict ◽  
Social Dynamic ◽  
And Control

This research article presents the integration of participatory modeling and system dynamics as a novel methodology for the consolidation of social dynamic models for the subsequent evaluation and prioritization of green projects in Colombian post-conflict communities. In the first instance, through participatory work carried out along with the community, it was possible to identify, evaluate and systematize citizen factors in relation to the problems and needs of the region. Second, based on the results obtained, to calibrate a simulation model based on system dynamics that facilitates decision making with regard to the evaluation of green projects. The proposed methodology leads to the conclusion that, with the participation of the community and with a model based on the dynamics of variables such as supply and demand for natural resources of water and land, it is possible to warn decision makers about the variables that can lead to the maximization of investments and thus prioritize and select the most appropriate environmental, social or economic initiatives, that certainly meet the needs or expectations of the involved community. In the future, the model could be used to facilitate the management, administration and control of water and land resources by creating alerts called reserve margins.

scholarly journals Towards Decision-Making for the Assessment and Prioritization of Green Projects: An Integration between System Dynamics and Participatory Modeling

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (24) ◽  
pp. 10689
Author(s):  
Gerard Olivar-Tost ◽  
Johnny Valencia-Calvo ◽  
Julián Andrés Castrillón-Gómez
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
System Dynamics ◽  
Dynamic Models ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Land Resources ◽  
Participatory Modeling ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Post Conflict ◽  
Social Dynamic ◽  
And Control

This research article presents the integration of participatory modeling and system dynamics as a novel methodology for the consolidation of social dynamic models for the subsequent evaluation and prioritization of green projects in Colombian post-conflict communities. First, through participatory work carried out with a community, the citizen factors were identified, evaluated, and systematized in relation to the problems and needs of the region. Second, based on the results obtained, a simulation model based on system dynamics—which facilitates decision-making with regard to the evaluation of green projects—was calibrated. The proposed methodology lead to the conclusion that, with the participation of the community, and with a model based on the dynamics of the variables—such as supply and demand—for natural water and land resources, it is possible to warn decision-makers about variables that can lead to the maximization of investments, and thus to prioritize and select the most appropriate environmental, social, or economic initiatives that meet the needs or expectations of the involved community. In the future, the model could be used to facilitate the management, administration, and control of water and land resources by creating alerts called reserve margins.

Systems thinking, a consilience of values and logic

2005 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 259-274
Author(s):  
Sameer Kumar ◽  
Thomas Ressler ◽  
Mark Ahrens
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Problem Solving ◽  
Systems Thinking ◽  
Qualitative Reasoning ◽  
Colleges And Universities ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Modern World ◽  
Problem Solving Process ◽  
Problem Solvers

This article is an appeal to incorporate qualitative reasoning into quantitative topics and courses, especially those devoted to decision-making offered in colleges and universities. Students, many of whom join professional workforce, must become more systems thinkers and decision-makers than merely problem-solvers. This will entail discussion of systems thinking, not just reaching “the answer”. Managers will need to formally and forcefully discuss objectives and values at each stage of the problem-solving process – at the start, during the problem-solving stage, and at the interpretation of the results stage – in order to move from problem solving to decision-making. The authors suggest some methods for doing this, and provide examples of why doing so is so important for decision-makers in the modern world.

scholarly journals Extended VIKOR-QUALIFLEX Method Based on Trapezoidal Fuzzy Two-Dimensional Linguistic Information for Multiple Attribute Decision-Making with Unknown Attribute Weight

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 37
Author(s):  
Ye Li ◽  
Yisheng Liu
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Qualitative Evaluation ◽  
Multiple Attribute Decision Making ◽  
Two Dimensional ◽  
Linguistic Variables ◽  
Linguistic Information ◽  
Attribute Weight ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Subjective Weight ◽  
Multiple Attribute

Considering the advantages of trapezoid fuzzy two-dimensional linguistic variables (TrF2DLVs), which can not only accurately describe the qualitative evaluation but also use qualitative linguistic variables (LVs) to describe the confidence level of this evaluation in the second dimension, this paper proposes a novel method based on trapezoidal fuzzy two-dimensional linguistic information to solve multiple attribute decision-making (MADM) problems with unknown attribute weight. First, a combination weight model is constructed, which covers a subjective weight determination model based on the proposed trapezoidal fuzzy two-dimensional linguistic best-worst method (TrF2DL-BWM) and an objective weight determination model based on the proposed CRITIC method. Then, in order to accurately rank the alternatives, an extended VIKOR-QUALIFLEX method is proposed, which can measure the concordance index of each ranking combination by means of group utility and individual maximum regret value of each evaluation alternative. Finally, a practical problem of lean management assessment for industrial residential projects is solved by the proposed method, and the effectiveness and advantages of the method are demonstrated by comparative analysis and discussion.

scholarly journals Ordering Artificial Intelligence Based Recommendations to Tackle the SDGs with a Decision-Making Model Based on Surveys

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 6038
Author(s):  
Sergio Alonso ◽  
Rosana Montes ◽  
Daniel Molina ◽  
Iván Palomares ◽  
Eugenio Martínez-Cámara ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Sustainable Development Goals ◽  
Modern Society ◽  
Agenda 2030 ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Development Goals ◽  
Sustainability Challenges ◽  
New Research ◽  
Decision Making Model

The United Nations Agenda 2030 established 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as a guideline to guarantee a sustainable worldwide development. Recent advances in artificial intelligence and other digital technologies have already changed several areas of modern society, and they could be very useful to reach these sustainable goals. In this paper we propose a novel decision making model based on surveys that ranks recommendations on the use of different artificial intelligence and related technologies to achieve the SDGs. According to the surveys, our decision making method is able to determine which of these technologies are worth investing in to lead new research to successfully tackle with sustainability challenges.

scholarly journals New dilemmas, old problems: advances in data analysis and its geoethical implications in groundwater management

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
César de Oliveira Ferreira Silva ◽  
Mariana Matulovic ◽  
Rodrigo Lilla Manzione
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Data Analytics ◽  
Data Science ◽  
Final Decision ◽  
Aquifer Recharge ◽  
Groundwater Governance ◽  
Ethical Attitude ◽  
New Information ◽  
Modeling Experiment ◽  
Using Data

Abstract Groundwater governance uses modeling to support decision making. Therefore, data science techniques are essential. Specific difficulties arise because variables must be used that cannot be directly measured, such as aquifer recharge and groundwater flow. However, such techniques involve dealing with (often not very explicitly stated) ethical questions. To support groundwater governance, these ethical questions cannot be solved straightforward. In this study, we propose an approach called “open-minded roadmap” to guide data analytics and modeling for groundwater governance decision making. To frame the ethical questions, we use the concept of geoethical thinking, a method to combine geoscience-expertise and societal responsibility of the geoscientist. We present a case study in groundwater monitoring modeling experiment using data analytics methods in southeast Brazil. A model based on fuzzy logic (with high expert intervention) and three data-driven models (with low expert intervention) are tested and evaluated for aquifer recharge in watersheds. The roadmap approach consists of three issues: (a) data acquisition, (b) modeling and (c) the open-minded (geo)ethical attitude. The level of expert intervention in the modeling stage and model validation are discussed. A search for gaps in the model use is made, anticipating issues through the development of application scenarios, to reach a final decision. When the model is validated in one watershed and then extrapolated to neighboring watersheds, we found large asymmetries in the recharge estimatives. Hence, we can show that more information (data, expertise etc.) is needed to improve the models’ predictability-skill. In the resulting iterative approach, new questions will arise (as new information comes available), and therefore, steady recourse to the open-minded roadmap is recommended. Graphic abstract

A decision making model based on fuzzy inference to predict the impact of SCOR® indicators on customer perceived value

2020 ◽  
Vol 223 ◽  
pp. 107520
Author(s):  
Lucas Gabriel Zanon ◽  
Rafael Ferro Munhoz Arantes ◽  
Lucas Daniel Del Rosso Calache ◽  
Luiz Cesar Ribeiro Carpinetti
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Perceived Value ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Customer Perceived Value ◽  
Decision Making Model ◽  
The Impact
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