scholarly journals Does Monetary Policy and Foreign Direct Investment Have an Influence on the Performance of Stock Market: Further Empirical Evidence from Ghana

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 161-176
Author(s):  
Opoku Adabor ◽  
Emmanuel Buabeng

Monetary policy, foreign direct investment, and the stock market continue to dominate in discussions in developing countries. However, the linkage between the three variables in empirical literature remains unclear. This study aims to test two separate hypotheses: Firstly, the study examines the effects of monetary policy on stock market performance in Ghana. Secondly, the study also empirically investigates the effect of foreign direct investment on stock market performance in Ghana. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was employed as an estimation strategy to examine the short and long-run effects using annual time series data from 1990 to 2019. The study revealed that monetary policy rate and money supply exerts a statistically significant negative and a positive effect on stock market performance in both the long and short-run in Ghana, respectively. It was also found that foreign direct investment has significant and a positive effect on stock market performance in Ghana in both the long and short run. Total capital stock and volume traded were also found to exert significant positive and negative impacts on stock market performance both in the short and long run respectively. Based on our findings, we recommend that expansionary monetary policy will be a better option to be carried out to improve the stock market performance in Ghana. Furthermore, government and private partnership may ensure the effective management of the macroeconomic variables to attract foreign direct investment into Ghana to boost stock market performance.

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Regina Septriani Putri ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni

Abstract : This study examined and analysis the effect of remittances, foreigndirect investment, imports, and economic growth in Indonesia in the long run andshort run. This study using Error Correction Model (ECM) method and using theannual time series data from 1989 to 2018. This study found that: (1) remittancehave an insignificant positive effect on economic growth in the long run and shortrun,(2)foreign direct investment have a significant positive impact on economicgrowth in the long run and short run, (3) import have an insignificant positiveimpact on economic growth both in the long run and short run. To increase theeconomic growth in the future, this study suggests the government to decresingimports of consume goods and increasing the inflow of capital goods, rawmaterial goods, remittances and foreign direct investment.Keyword : Remittance, Foreign Direct Investment, Import, Economic Growth andECM


2022 ◽  
pp. 266-282
Author(s):  
Elif Erer ◽  
Deniz Erer

This study analyzes the short-run and long-run effects of interaction between fiscal and monetary policies on stock market performance in four emerging Asian economies, which are China, India, Indonesia, and Malaysia, by using ARDL model. The study covers the period of 2003:Q1-2020:Q1. The findings from this study show monetary and fiscal policies play an important role in determining stock market returns. Also, the results theoretically support Richardian neutrality hypothesis for China and Indonesia, Keynesian positive effect hypothesis for India, and classical crowding out effect hypothesis for Malaysia, and interest channel of monetary transmission mechanism only for China.


TEM Journal ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1184-1189
Author(s):  
Haider Mahmood ◽  
Muhammad Tanveer

This paper has investigated the role of education and Financial Market Development (FMD) on the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows in Pakistan from 1970-2019. In the short run, education has a positive effect on FDI inflows. 1% increasing of government's spending on education would increase 0.361% of FDI inflows in Pakistan. Moreover, the FMD has a positive effect on FDI inflows in the short run. 1% increasing FMD may increase 0.0496% of FDI in the short run. Both education and FMD are supporting the FDI inflows in the short run. Comparatively, education shows a larger effect on FDI than that of FMD in the short run. However, FMD and government spending on education could not affect the FDI inflows in the long run. This paper recommends supporting education and financial markets to attract FDI inflows in Pakistan.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 20-22
Author(s):  
Champa Rupani Rajapakse

This study investigated the impact of exchange rate volatility and stock market performance on the inflow of foreign direct investment to Sri Lanka using quarterly data from 2004 to 2018. The ordinary least square technique and error correction mechanism was used in estimations. Empirical results suggested that FDI is significantly correlated with the exchange rate volatility. Therefore, monetary and fiscal policy measures are required to reduce budget deficit, trade gap and debt ratios in order to maintain a stable exchange rate. Further, findings indicated long run  uni-directional causality from Stock Market to FDI while there is no short term relationship between the two variables. If the stock market is developed and foreigner participation can be increased then that will motivate FDI inflows to the country. This implies that policy makers must aim at developing the stock market for a resulting increment in FDI flows to the country.      


2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Duduzile Ngobe ◽  
◽  
Emenike Kalu ◽  

This paper investigates the relationship between foreign direct investment and stock market development in a small southern African economy. Specifically, the paper analyses long-run, short-run and causal relationships between foreign direct investment and stock market development in Eswatini for the 1990 to 2018 periods. Results of preliminary analyses of the variable show existence of positive skewness, fat-tailed, non-normal distribution, and I(1) order of integration for the foreign direct investment and stock market return series. Estimates from the ARDL model indicate evidence of a positive and statistically insignificant long-run relationship between foreign direct investment and stock market development in the kingdom of Eswatini. But in the short-run, there exist no relationship between foreign direct investment and stock market development in Eswatini. Estimates from Granger causality test do not show any evidence of causal relationship between foreign direct investment and stock market development in Eswatini. We recommend amongst others that capital market authorities should establish measures to increase the number of listings in the market so as boost investment options. In addition, there should be massive domestic investor-education on benefits of financing projects with a combination capital market funds, which has long-term tenor, and money market funds, which are of short-term nature.


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 142
Author(s):  
Yeoh Kai Qing ◽  
Suhal Kusairi

The stock market has become a significant role in the economy and has attracted investor's attention, as it is to generate funds and make an investment decision for companies and investors as well. Therefore, the objective of this study is to study the effect of the money supply, exchange rate, interest spread and stock market in the short and long run and volatility issue. The study employed monthly data, from January 1997 to August 2018. Method analysis is the Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and GARCH model. The findings stated that the money supply, real effective exchange rate, interest spread, had a long-run effect on the performance of the stock market. Money supply and the real effective exchange rate had a positive effect on the stock market performance in the short run. Conversely, the interest spread showed a negative influent on the stock market performance in the short run. The volatility indicated a high persistence between the money supply, real effective exchange rate, interest spread and stock market (KLCI). The implication of the study is the investors or policymakers should take account the changes of interest rate and exchange rate before making stock investment or policy to stabilize the stock market performance.Keywords: Performance, Money Supply, Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER), Interest Spread


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 69-80
Author(s):  
Aref Emamian ◽  
Nur Syazwani Mazlan

Objective – To explore the impacts of monetary and fiscal policies, the appropriateness of both policies and how the stock market is affected by their adoption and implementation in the United States (US). Hence, this study aims to determine the short and long run relationships between monetary and fiscal policies and stock market performance as well as establish potential factors and policies contributing to the highs and lows. Methodology/Technique – We use autoregressive distribution lag (ARDL) developed by Pesaran et al. (2001) to achieve the objective. In this study, annual time series data from the Federal Reserve, World Bank, and International Monetary Fund, from 1986 to 2017 pertaining to the American economy, was used. Findings – The results show that both policies play a significant role in the stock market. We find a significant positive effect of real gross domestic product (RGDP) and the interest rate on the US stock market in the long run and significant negative relationship effect of the consumer price index (CPI) and broad money on the US stock market both in the short run and long run. On the other hand, this study only could support the significant positive impact of tax revenue and significant negative impact of real effective exchange rate on the US stock market in the short run while in the long run are insignificant. Novelty – As the US stock market heavily depends on the Tax Revenue in the short run, any changes in TR can impact on the US stock market considerably. Thus, shareholders can benefit from these results when they look at macroeconomic data in order to enhance their investment strategy. Type of Paper: Empirical. JEL Classification: E52; E62; G18 Keywords: ARDL; Monetary Policy; Fiscal Policy; The Stock Market in The United States. Reference to this paper should be made as follows: Emamian, A; Mazlan, N.S. 2021. Monetary-Fiscal policies and stock market performance: Evidence from linear ARDL framework, Journal of Business and Economics Review, 5(4), 69–80. https://doi.org/10.35609/jber.2021.5.4(7)


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 130
Author(s):  
Nawal Hussein Abbas Elhussein ◽  
Elzibeer Fath Elrahman Hamed Warag

This paper is an attempt to empirically investigate the determinants of the stock market performance in Sudan. It aims at identifying the short and long run relationships between the Khartoum Stock Exchange all- share price index (KSI) as an indicator of market performance and some selected micro and macro-economic factors. The inflation rate, cost of capital, foreign exchange rate, broad money supply, and crude oil price are chosen as proxies for macroeconomic factors. The market oriented indicators used include market capitalization, market trading system, and market trading volume. The study covers the period 2003-2017. The paper employs the Multivariate Time Series Regression Analysis to estimate the short run relationship between the selected independent variables and the KSE price index. Soren Johansen’s Cointegration Test and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) have been employed to identify the long run equilibrium relationship among the variables. To estimate the causal relationship between the selected variables Toda-Yamamoto (T-Y) Granger Causality Test has been utilized. The study documents that the Khartoum Stock Exchange performance is significantly affected both by micro and macroeconomic factors. In the long run, all the independent variables with the exception of the cost of capital, have a significant positive relationship with KSI. However, in the short run the determinants of the stock market performance are market capitalization, market trading volume, money Supply, and cost of capital.


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