scholarly journals Data Enrichment and Developing Reliable Prediction Models for Identifying Mode of Delivery in Healthcare Practice Using Machine Learning Methods (Preprint)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zahid Ullah ◽  
Farrukh Saleem ◽  
Mona Jamjoom

BACKGROUND The use of artificial intelligence (AI) has revolutionized every area of life such as business and trade, social and electronic media, education and learning, manufacturing industries, medical and sciences, and every other sector. The new reforms and advanced technologies of AI have enabled data analysts to transmute raw data generated by these sectors into meaningful insights for an effective decision-making process. Health care is one of the integral sectors where a large amount of data is generated daily, and making effective decisions based on this data is therefore a challenge. In health care, cases related to childbirth either by the traditional method of vaginal delivery or cesarean delivery have been investigated in this study. Cesarean delivery is performed to save both mother and fetal lives when complications arise related to vaginal birth. OBJECTIVE To develop reliable prediction models for a maternity care decision support system to predict mode of delivery before birth. METHODS This study is conducted in two folds for identifying the mode of delivery: firstly, to enrich the existing dataset; secondly, to investigate previous medical records about the mode of delivery using machine learning algorithms and extract meaningful insight into the unseen cases. To achieve this objective, several prediction models were trained such as Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), AdaBoostM1 (AB), Bagging, and k-Nearest Neighbor (k-NN), based on original and enriched datasets. RESULTS To achieve the objective, several prediction models were trained such as Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), AdaBoostM1 (AB), Bagging, and k-Nearest Neighbor (k-NN) based on original and enriched datasets. As an outcome, the prediction models based on enriched data performed well in terms of accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F-measure, and ROC. Specifically, k-NN outperformed with an accuracy of 84.38%, Bagging (83.75%), RF (83.13%), DT (81.25%), and AB (80.63%). In the end, enriching the dataset improves the accuracy of the prediction process, which supports maternity care practitioners in making decisions for critical cases. CONCLUSIONS Enriching the dataset improves the accuracy of the prediction process, which supports maternity care practitioners in making decisions for critical cases. The enriched dataset in its current stage used in this study yields better results, but this could be even better if its records were increased with real clinical data.

10.2196/28856 ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (6) ◽  
pp. e28856
Author(s):  
Zahid Ullah ◽  
Farrukh Saleem ◽  
Mona Jamjoom ◽  
Bahjat Fakieh

Background The use of artificial intelligence has revolutionized every area of life such as business and trade, social and electronic media, education and learning, manufacturing industries, medicine and sciences, and every other sector. The new reforms and advanced technologies of artificial intelligence have enabled data analysts to transmute raw data generated by these sectors into meaningful insights for an effective decision-making process. Health care is one of the integral sectors where a large amount of data is generated daily, and making effective decisions based on these data is therefore a challenge. In this study, cases related to childbirth either by the traditional method of vaginal delivery or cesarean delivery were investigated. Cesarean delivery is performed to save both the mother and the fetus when complications related to vaginal birth arise. Objective The aim of this study was to develop reliable prediction models for a maternity care decision support system to predict the mode of delivery before childbirth. Methods This study was conducted in 2 parts for identifying the mode of childbirth: first, the existing data set was enriched and second, previous medical records about the mode of delivery were investigated using machine learning algorithms and by extracting meaningful insights from unseen cases. Several prediction models were trained to achieve this objective, such as decision tree, random forest, AdaBoostM1, bagging, and k-nearest neighbor, based on original and enriched data sets. Results The prediction models based on enriched data performed well in terms of accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F-measure, and receiver operating characteristic curves in the outcomes. Specifically, the accuracy of k-nearest neighbor was 84.38%, that of bagging was 83.75%, that of random forest was 83.13%, that of decision tree was 81.25%, and that of AdaBoostM1 was 80.63%. Enrichment of the data set had a good impact on improving the accuracy of the prediction process, which supports maternity care practitioners in making decisions in critical cases. Conclusions Our study shows that enriching the data set improves the accuracy of the prediction process, thereby supporting maternity care practitioners in making informed decisions in critical cases. The enriched data set used in this study yields good results, but this data set can become even better if the records are increased with real clinical data.


Author(s):  
Mochammad Agus Afrianto ◽  
Meditya Wasesa

Background: Literature in the peer-to-peer accommodation has put a substantial focus on accommodation listings' price determinants. Developing prediction models related to the demand for accommodation listings is vital in revenue management because accurate price and demand forecasts will help determine the best revenue management responses.Objective: This study aims to develop prediction models to determine the booking likelihood of accommodation listings.Methods: Using an Airbnb dataset, we developed four machine learning models, namely Logistics Regression, Decision Tree, K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and Random Forest Classifiers. We assessed the models using the AUC-ROC score and the model development time by using the ten-fold three-way split and the ten-fold cross-validation procedures.Results: In terms of average AUC-ROC score, the Random Forest Classifiers outperformed other evaluated models. In three-ways split procedure, it had a 15.03% higher AUC-ROC score than Decision Tree, 2.93 % higher than KNN, and 2.38% higher than Logistics Regression. In the cross-validation procedure, it has a 26,99% higher AUC-ROC score than Decision Tree, 4.41 % higher than KNN, and 3.31% higher than Logistics Regression.  It should be noted that the Decision Tree model has the lowest AUC-ROC score, but it has the smallest model development time.Conclusion: The performance of random forest models in predicting booking likelihood of accommodation listings is the most superior. The model can be used by peer-to-peer accommodation owners to improve their revenue management responses. 


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hemalatha N ◽  
Akhil Wilson ◽  
Akhil Thankachan

Plastic pollution is one of the challenging problems in the environment. But a life without plastic we cannot imagine. This paper deals with the prediction of plastic degrading microbes using Machine Learning. Here we have used Decision Tree, Random Forest, Support vector Machine and K Nearest Neighbor algorithms in order to predict the plastic degrading microbes. Among the four classifiers, Random Forest model gave the best accuracy of 99.1%.


MATICS ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-27
Author(s):  
Via Ardianto Nugroho ◽  
Derry Pramono Adi ◽  
Achmad Teguh Wibowo ◽  
MY Teguh Sulistyono ◽  
Agustinus Bimo Gumelar

Pada industri jasa pelayanan peti kemas, Terminal Nilam merupakan pelanggan dari PT. BIMA, yang secara khusus bergerak dibidang jasa perbaikan dan perawatan alat berat. Terminal ini menjadi sentral tempat untuk melakukan aktifitas bongkar muat peti kemas domestik yang memiliki empat buah container crane untuk melayani dua kapal. Proses perawatan alat berat seperti container crane yang selama ini beroperasi, agaknya kurang memperhatikan data pengelompokkan atau klasifikasi jenis perawatan yang dibutuhkan oleh alat berat tersebut. Di kemudian hari, alat berat dapat menunjukkan kinerja yang tidak maksimal bahkan dapat berujung pada kecelakaan kerja. Selain itu, kelalaian perawatan container crane juga dapat menyebabkan pembengkakan biaya perawatan lanjut. Target produksi bongkar muat dapat berkurang dan juga keterlambatan jadwal kapal sandar sangat mungkin terjadi. Metode pembelajaran menggunakan mesin atau biasa disebut dengan Machine Learning (ML), dengan mudah dapat melenyapkan kemungkinan-kemungkinan tersebut. ML dalam penelitian ini, kami rancang agar bekerja dengan mengidentifikasi lalu mengelompokkan jenis perawatan container crane yang sesuai, yaitu ringan atau berat. Metode ML yang pilih untuk digunakan dalam penelitian ini yaitu Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, k-Nearest Neighbor, Naïve Bayes, Logistic Regression, J48, dan Decision Tree. Penelitian ini menunjukkan keberhasilan ML model tree dalam melakukan pembelajaran jenis data perawatan container crane (numerik dan kategoris), dengan J48 menunjukkan performa terbaik dengan nilai akurasi dan nilai ROC-AUC mencapai 99,1%. Pertimbangan klasifikasi kami lakukan dengan mengacu kepada tanggal terakhir perawatan, hour meter, breakdown, shutdown, dan sparepart.


Author(s):  
M. Ilayaraja ◽  
S. Hemalatha ◽  
P. Manickam ◽  
K. Sathesh Kumar ◽  
K. Shankar

Cloud computing is characterized as the arrangement of assets or administrations accessible through the web to the clients on their request by cloud providers. It communicates everything as administrations over the web in view of the client request, for example operating system, organize equipment, storage, assets, and software. Nowadays, Intrusion Detection System (IDS) plays a powerful system, which deals with the influence of experts to get actions when the system is hacked under some intrusions. Most intrusion detection frameworks are created in light of machine learning strategies. Since the datasets, this utilized as a part of intrusion detection is Knowledge Discovery in Database (KDD). In this paper detect or classify the intruded data utilizing Machine Learning (ML) with the MapReduce model. The primary face considers Hadoop MapReduce model to reduce the extent of database ideal weight decided for reducer model and second stage utilizing Decision Tree (DT) classifier to detect the data. This DT classifier comprises utilizing an appropriate classifier to decide the class labels for the non-homogeneous leaf nodes. The decision tree fragment gives a coarse section profile while the leaf level classifier can give data about the qualities that influence the label inside a portion. From the proposed result accuracy for detection is 96.21% contrasted with existing classifiers, for example, Neural Network (NN), Naive Bayes (NB) and K Nearest Neighbor (KNN).


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 1021
Author(s):  
Hu Ding ◽  
Jiaming Na ◽  
Shangjing Jiang ◽  
Jie Zhu ◽  
Kai Liu ◽  
...  

Artificial terraces are of great importance for agricultural production and soil and water conservation. Automatic high-accuracy mapping of artificial terraces is the basis of monitoring and related studies. Previous research achieved artificial terrace mapping based on high-resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) or imagery. As a result of the importance of the contextual information for terrace mapping, object-based image analysis (OBIA) combined with machine learning (ML) technologies are widely used. However, the selection of an appropriate classifier is of great importance for the terrace mapping task. In this study, the performance of an integrated framework using OBIA and ML for terrace mapping was tested. A catchment, Zhifanggou, in the Loess Plateau, China, was used as the study area. First, optimized image segmentation was conducted. Then, features from the DEMs and imagery were extracted, and the correlations between the features were analyzed and ranked for classification. Finally, three different commonly-used ML classifiers, namely, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF), and k-nearest neighbor (KNN), were used for terrace mapping. The comparison with the ground truth, as delineated by field survey, indicated that random forest performed best, with a 95.60% overall accuracy (followed by 94.16% and 92.33% for XGBoost and KNN, respectively). The influence of class imbalance and feature selection is discussed. This work provides a credible framework for mapping artificial terraces.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 268-269
Author(s):  
Jaime Speiser ◽  
Kathryn Callahan ◽  
Jason Fanning ◽  
Thomas Gill ◽  
Anne Newman ◽  
...  

Abstract Advances in computational algorithms and the availability of large datasets with clinically relevant characteristics provide an opportunity to develop machine learning prediction models to aid in diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment of older adults. Some studies have employed machine learning methods for prediction modeling, but skepticism of these methods remains due to lack of reproducibility and difficulty understanding the complex algorithms behind models. We aim to provide an overview of two common machine learning methods: decision tree and random forest. We focus on these methods because they provide a high degree of interpretability. We discuss the underlying algorithms of decision tree and random forest methods and present a tutorial for developing prediction models for serious fall injury using data from the Lifestyle Interventions and Independence for Elders (LIFE) study. Decision tree is a machine learning method that produces a model resembling a flow chart. Random forest consists of a collection of many decision trees whose results are aggregated. In the tutorial example, we discuss evaluation metrics and interpretation for these models. Illustrated in data from the LIFE study, prediction models for serious fall injury were moderate at best (area under the receiver operating curve of 0.54 for decision tree and 0.66 for random forest). Machine learning methods may offer improved performance compared to traditional models for modeling outcomes in aging, but their use should be justified and output should be carefully described. Models should be assessed by clinical experts to ensure compatibility with clinical practice.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 976
Author(s):  
Nicholas M. Enwright ◽  
Lei Wang ◽  
Hongqing Wang ◽  
Michael J. Osland ◽  
Laura C. Feher ◽  
...  

Barrier islands are dynamic environments because of their position along the marine–estuarine interface. Geomorphology influences habitat distribution on barrier islands by regulating exposure to harsh abiotic conditions. Researchers have identified linkages between habitat and landscape position, such as elevation and distance from shore, yet these linkages have not been fully leveraged to develop predictive models. Our aim was to evaluate the performance of commonly used machine learning algorithms, including K-nearest neighbor, support vector machine, and random forest, for predicting barrier island habitats using landscape position for Dauphin Island, Alabama, USA. Landscape position predictors were extracted from topobathymetric data. Models were developed for three tidal zones: subtidal, intertidal, and supratidal/upland. We used a contemporary habitat map to identify landscape position linkages for habitats, such as beach, dune, woody vegetation, and marsh. Deterministic accuracy, fuzzy accuracy, and hindcasting were used for validation. The random forest algorithm performed best for intertidal and supratidal/upland habitats, while the K-nearest neighbor algorithm performed best for subtidal habitats. A posteriori application of expert rules based on theoretical understanding of barrier island habitats enhanced model results. For the contemporary model, deterministic overall accuracy was nearly 70%, and fuzzy overall accuracy was over 80%. For the hindcast model, deterministic overall accuracy was nearly 80%, and fuzzy overall accuracy was over 90%. We found machine learning algorithms were well-suited for predicting barrier island habitats using landscape position. Our model framework could be coupled with hydrodynamic geomorphologic models for forecasting habitats with accelerated sea-level rise, simulated storms, and restoration actions.


Witheverypassingsecondsocialnetworkcommunityisgrowingrapidly,becauseofthat,attackershaveshownkeeninterestinthesekindsofplatformsandwanttodistributemischievouscontentsontheseplatforms.Withthefocus on introducing new set of characteristics and features forcounteractivemeasures,agreatdealofstudieshasresearchedthe possibility of lessening the malicious activities on social medianetworks. This research was to highlight features for identifyingspammers on Instagram and additional features were presentedto improve the performance of different machine learning algorithms. Performance of different machine learning algorithmsnamely, Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Random Forest (RF), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM)were evaluated on machine learning tools named, RapidMinerand WEKA. The results from this research tells us that RandomForest (RF) outperformed all other selected machine learningalgorithmsonbothselectedmachinelearningtools.OverallRandom Forest (RF) provided best results on RapidMiner. Theseresultsareusefulfortheresearcherswhoarekeentobuildmachine learning models to find out the spamming activities onsocialnetworkcommunities.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xueyuan Huang ◽  
Yongjun Wang ◽  
Bingyu Chen ◽  
Yuanshuai Huang ◽  
Xinhua Wang ◽  
...  

Background: Predicting the perioperative requirement for red blood cells (RBCs) transfusion in patients with the pelvic fracture may be challenging. In this study, we constructed a perioperative RBCs transfusion predictive model (ternary classifications) based on a machine learning algorithm.Materials and Methods: This study included perioperative adult patients with pelvic trauma hospitalized across six Chinese centers between September 2012 and June 2019. An extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm was used to predict the need for perioperative RBCs transfusion, with data being split into training test (80%), which was subjected to 5-fold cross-validation, and test set (20%). The ability of the predictive transfusion model was compared with blood preparation based on surgeons' experience and other predictive models, including random forest, gradient boosting decision tree, K-nearest neighbor, logistic regression, and Gaussian naïve Bayes classifier models. Data of 33 patients from one of the hospitals were prospectively collected for model validation.Results: Among 510 patients, 192 (37.65%) have not received any perioperative RBCs transfusion, 127 (24.90%) received less-transfusion (RBCs < 4U), and 191 (37.45%) received more-transfusion (RBCs ≥ 4U). Machine learning-based transfusion predictive model produced the best performance with the accuracy of 83.34%, and Kappa coefficient of 0.7967 compared with other methods (blood preparation based on surgeons' experience with the accuracy of 65.94%, and Kappa coefficient of 0.5704; the random forest method with an accuracy of 82.35%, and Kappa coefficient of 0.7858; the gradient boosting decision tree with an accuracy of 79.41%, and Kappa coefficient of 0.7742; the K-nearest neighbor with an accuracy of 53.92%, and Kappa coefficient of 0.3341). In the prospective dataset, it also had a food performance with accuracy 81.82%.Conclusion: This multicenter retrospective cohort study described the construction of an accurate model that could predict perioperative RBCs transfusion in patients with pelvic fractures.


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