scholarly journals Sensitivity of North American agriculture to ENSO-based climate scenarios and their socio-economic consequences: Modeling in an integrated assessment framework

1997 ◽  
Author(s):  
N.J. Rosenberg ◽  
R.C. Izaurralde ◽  
R.A. Brown ◽  
R.D. Sands ◽  
D. Legler ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North American ◽  
Integrated Assessment ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Climate Scenarios ◽  
Assessment Framework ◽  
American Agriculture

scholarly journals COSTS AND BENEFITS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN SWITZERLAND

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (02) ◽  
pp. 1950005 ◽  
Author(s):  
FRANK VÖHRINGER ◽  
MARC VIELLE ◽  
PHILIPPE THALMANN ◽  
ANITA FREHNER ◽  
WOLFGANG KNOKE ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Computable General Equilibrium ◽  
Heat Waves ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Climate Scenarios ◽  
Costs And Benefits ◽  
Impact Studies ◽  
Summer Temperatures ◽  
Data Constraints

Understanding the economic magnitude of climate change (CC) impacts is a prerequisite for developing adequate adaptation strategies. In Switzerland, despite new climate scenarios and impact studies, only few impacts have been monetized. Our objective is to assess costs and opportunities of CC for Switzerland by 2060, while enhancing the assessment methods. Using inputs from bottom-up impact studies, we simulate the economic consequences of climate scenarios in a computable general equilibrium (CGE) framework. We cover health, buildings/infrastructure, energy, water, agriculture, tourism, the spill-overs to other sectors, and international effects. Due to data constraints, significant impacts have not been quantified, e.g., for heat waves and droughts more extreme than the 2060 average climate. For the considered impacts, welfare decreases by 0.37% to 1.37% in 2060 relative to a reference without CC. Higher summer temperatures increase mortality and decrease productivity. Contrariwise, tourism benefits from extended summer seasons. Regarding energy, increased demand for cooling is overcompensated by savings in heating.

Modelling the spatial distribution of selected North American woodland mammals under future climate scenarios

Mammal Review ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 50 (4) ◽  
pp. 440-452 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiban Chandra Deb ◽  
Graham Forbes ◽  
David A. MacLean
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
North American ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Climate Scenarios

scholarly journals Socially responsible research processes for sustainability transformation: an integrated assessment framework

2016 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katrin Daedlow ◽  
Aranka Podhora ◽  
Markus Winkelmann ◽  
Jürgen Kopfmüller ◽  
Rainer Walz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Integrated Assessment ◽  
Assessment Framework ◽  
Socially Responsible ◽  
Sustainability Transformation ◽  
Responsible Research

scholarly journals From land use to land cover: restoring the afforestation signal in a coupled integrated assessment – earth system model and the implications for CMIP5 RCP simulations

2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 7151-7188 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. V. Di Vittorio ◽  
L. P. Chini ◽  
B. Bond-Lamberty ◽  
J. Mao ◽  
X. Shi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Integrated Assessment ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Forest Growth ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Carbon Gain ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Climate Scenarios

Abstract. Climate projections depend on scenarios of fossil fuel emissions and land use change, and the IPCC AR5 parallel process assumes consistent climate scenarios across Integrated Assessment and Earth System Models (IAMs and ESMs). The CMIP5 project used a novel "land use harmonization" based on the Global Land use Model (GLM) to provide ESMs with consistent 1500–2100 land use trajectories generated by historical data and four IAM projections. A direct coupling of the Global Change Assessment Model (GCAM), GLM, and the Community ESM (CESM) has allowed us to characterize and partially address a major gap in the CMIP5 land coupling design: the lack of a corresponding land cover harmonization. The CMIP5 CESM global afforestation is only 22% of GCAM's 2005 to 2100 RCP4.5 afforestation. Likewise, only 17% of GCAM's 2040 RCP4.5 afforestation, and zero pasture loss, were transmitted to CESM within the directly coupled model. This is a problem because afforestation was relied upon to achieve RCP4.5 climate stabilization. GLM modifications within the directly coupled model did not increase CESM afforestation. Modifying the land use translator in addition to GLM, however, enabled CESM to simulate 66% of GCAM's afforestation in 2040, and 94% of GCAM's pasture loss as grassland and shrubland losses. This additional afforestation increases vegetation carbon gain by 19 PgC and decreases atmospheric CO2 gain by 8 ppmv from 2005 to 2040, implying different RCP4.5 climate scenarios between CMIP5 GCAM and CESM. Although the IAMs and ESMs were not expected to have exactly the same climate forcing, due in part to different terrestrial carbon cycles and atmospheric radiation algorithms, the ESMs were expected to project climates representative of the RCP scenarios. Similar land cover inconsistencies exist in other CMIP5 model results, primarily because land cover information is not shared between models. High RCP4.5 afforestation might also contribute to inconsistencies as some ESMs might impose bioclimatic limits to potential forest area and have different rates of forest growth than projected by RCP4.5. Further work to harmonize land cover among models will be required to address this problem.

scholarly journals Integrated assessment frameworks for evaluating large scale river corridor restoration

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shane Orchard
Keyword(s):  
Integrated Assessment ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Final Report ◽  
Land Uses ◽  
Assessment Framework ◽  
Floodplain Restoration ◽  
The Third ◽  
Specific Objective ◽  
Potential Benefits ◽  
River Corridor

This report is the third and final report in the Ecological Regeneration Options (ERO) project series. Its purpose is to assist in developing integrated assessment methodologies for evaluating ecological regeneration options in the Avon-Ōtākaro Red Zone (AORZ). This is an important topic to ensure that their potential benefits are recognised alongside those of alternative land uses. This report complements the previous two reports in the ERO series. These provide information on floodplain restoration principles (Orchard, 2017) and an assessment of restoration opportunities in the AORZ using a local knowledge approach (Orchard et al., 2017).The focus of this report is on facilitating robust assessments of the ecological regeneration options presented by the AORZ. A specific objective was to develop an integrated assessment framework to support comparison of those options against each other and against alternative land uses. First, the topics of river corridor evaluation and integrated assessment are briefly introduced and examples of integrated assessment in relevant planning contexts identified. A framework for the integrated assessment of ecological regeneration options is then presented.

INTARESE: Integrated Assessment Framework for Estimating the Health Effects of Climate Change

Epidemiology ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 20 ◽  
pp. S264
Author(s):  
R S. Kovats ◽  
F de Donato ◽  
M Pascal ◽  
P Michelozzi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Health Effects ◽  
Integrated Assessment ◽  
Assessment Framework
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