scholarly journals Land Use Changes in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua: A Systems Dynamic Model

2007 ◽  
Vol 8 (16) ◽  
pp. 65-89 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergio Peña ◽  
César M. Fuentes
Keyword(s):  
Complex System ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Urban Growth ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Land Development ◽  
Simulation Models ◽  
Ciudad Juarez ◽  
Land Uses ◽  
The City

The objective of this article is to offer a model to simulate land use changes in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, Mexico. The city faces serious challenges posed by accelerated demographic and urban growth. In its struggle to respond to urban land development pressures, governments, planning agencies and social civil organizations are overwhelmed by a multitude of concerns. The analysis of land use change revolves around two central and interrelated questions: What drives/ causes land use change? What are the environmental and socio-demographic impacts of land change? The land use changes are approached as a complex system in which the elements that define the system and how these relate to each are identified. The development of dynamic simulation models that allow for the generation of different scenarios can be an important tool for urban planning. The software used to simulate the land uses changes is Stella®. The results of the model simulated the demand for land among different land uses (commercial, industrial and residential) in the next 10 or 20 years.

scholarly journals Analysis of Akure Urban Land Use Change Detection from Remote Imagery Perspective

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julius Oluranti Owoeye ◽  
Oyewole Amos Ibitoye
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Change Detection ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Urban Land ◽  
Urban Land Use ◽  
Land Uses ◽  
Imagery Perspective ◽  
Urban Land Use Change ◽  
The City

This study presents the analysis of Akure urban land use change detection from remote imagery perspective. Efforts were made to examine the direction that the continuous expansion of the city tends towards since its inception as a state capital in 1976. Using Aerial Imagery Overlay (AIO), the pattern of land use changes in Akure and its environs were determined. This involves imageries interpolation and overlaying to determine the land use changes, direction, and extent of the expansion. Findings revealed unguided expansion in the growth of the city which affects the pattern of land uses within the city and, by extension, into the adjoining settlements. There were incompatible conversions in land uses and undue encroachment into green areas in the adjoining communities. The study suggests effective zoning strategy on unguided nature of urban development whose effects on land use are very prominent in the study area. Adequate monitoring by the Development Control Department and other stakeholders in urban planning is equally suggested to mitigate the incompatible land use changes in the area.

scholarly journals Land Use Development of Vineyards in Goriška Brda, Slovenia

2017 ◽  
Vol 45 (2) ◽  
pp. 611-622 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alenka FIKFAK ◽  
Velibor SPALEVIC ◽  
Saja KOSANOVIC ◽  
Svetislav G. POPOVIC ◽  
Mladen DJUROVIC ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Cultural Landscape ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Land Development ◽  
Chemical Properties ◽  
Cross Tabulation ◽  
The Cross

Land development analyses play a fundamental role in understanding how land use change shapes the land, depending on continuously changing social, economic, and environmental factors that reflect the interests in space. It is especially important to follow land use changes in rural areas due to their role in food security, environmental hazards, cultural landscape preservation, etc. Continuous analyses and monitoring of land use changes allow for the identification and prevention of negative trends in land use (over intensification, land fragmentation, etc.) that might affect biodiversity, change physical and chemical properties of soil, causing soil degradation, change the spatial balance, stability and natural equilibrium in the rural area. The use of the cross-tabulation matrix methodology was suggested for land use change analyses. The methodology, when the cross-tabulation matrix elements are correctly interpreted, allows us to gain as much insight as possible in the process of land use change. This approach enabled a detailed analysis of vineyards in Goriška brda, Slovenia. It was found that the existing methodology fails to analyse the location of change. For this reason, additional analyses of spatial distribution of change and of the locations where changes in space occur were suggested. The study demonstrated that the land use category of vineyards changes systematically, although seemingly randomly. By comparing land use categories over several time periods, the study determined that the size and speed of change varied across different time intervals. The identified land use changes were assessed in the context of their high pressure on agricultural land. The results of the analyses showed different trends shaping the typical agrarian landscape in Goriška brda.

scholarly journals CELLULAR AUTOMATA MODEL – LANDSCAPE DYNAMICS SIMULATION TOOL IN THE PROCESS OF CHANGE IN LAND USE AND COVER IN THE CITY OF GAÚCHA DO NORTE – MT

2020 ◽  
Vol XLII-3/W12-2020 ◽  
pp. 447-451
Author(s):  
E. A. L. Pinheiro ◽  
N. A. Camini ◽  
M. R. S. Soares ◽  
S. S. Sumida
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Cellular Automata ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Environmental Modeling ◽  
Dynamics Simulation ◽  
Cellular Automata Model ◽  
The City ◽  
Land Use And Cover ◽  
Main Factor

Abstract. The factors that contribute to land use change in the municipality of Gaúcha do Norte - MT, are entirely linked to the economic process and agricultural production. This process has left Brazil in a state of alert due to the process of deforestation and loss of tropical forests. From 2000 to 2010, the forest areas converted into agriculture accounted for 13.3%, the main factor that directly potentiated with deforestation was the cultivation of soybeans, which in turn was occupying places previously occupied by livestock and pushing the livestock forest inside. The phenomena of land use change and land cover start from multidimensional issues in the environmental and economic context. The use of environmental modeling through cellular automata to analyze land use change phenomena and reproduce the trajectory through future land use simulations and evolution establishes an integration associated by mathematical models and flow integration systems. That predict the trajectory of land use change, thus generating a dynamic model capable of predicting future land use changes by replicating possible patterns of landscape evolution and enabling assessments of future ecological implications for the environment.

scholarly journals Temporal Dynamic Analysis of Land-use Change and its Economic Evaluation During a 21-year Period in a Diverse Land-use Configuration

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hossein Talebi Khiavi ◽  
Seyyede Khamsa Asbaghian Namini ◽  
Mohammad Ali Asaadi ◽  
Raoof Mostafazadeh
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Economic Evaluation ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Landsat Imagery ◽  
Land Development ◽  
Rate Of Change ◽  
Economic Effects ◽  
Land Uses ◽  
Total Period

Abstract Investigating the rate and the process of land-use change and its economic effects during the last years are among the main bases of land management in the future. East Meshgin region in Ardabil province is one of the agricultural production centers, where the construction of the Sabalan dam developed the agricultural activities. In this research, the six land uses, including rangeland, orchard, agriculture, bare land, outcrop, and water bodies during the years of 1998–1999, were classified using Landsat imagery. Also, the single and comprehensive dynamic land-use change indices were employed to compute the rate and process of land-use change. The land-use change matrix is developed in three time periods (1998–2003, 2003–2008, and 2013–2019). The economic evaluation of land use has been conducted during this period. The results showed that the highest rate of land-use change was converting the rangeland to bare lands. While in the period of 2008–2013, the highest rate of land-use change was rangeland conversion to agriculture lands that has caused increased net income by 4027,258 $. The collected data relates to the total period also confirms the change of rangeland use to bare lands. Also, the results of the single dynamic land-use change model show that in each period, the most change was related to water body land use. Among other land-uses, the highest rate of change was related to agricultural land use between 2013–2019 in the period of Sabalan dam operation. This study is performed to facilitate policymakers, planners, and other development stakeholders in this sector to adopt the best option for land-use management and sustainable land development.

scholarly journals Land Use/Cover Change Detection and Urban Sprawl Analysis in Bandar Abbas City, Iran

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Dadras ◽  
Helmi Zulhaidi Mohd Shafri ◽  
Noordin Ahmad ◽  
Biswajeet Pradhan ◽  
Sahabeh Safarpour
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Urban Sprawl ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Urban Region ◽  
Aerial Photos ◽  
Bandar Abbas ◽  
The City

The process of land use change and urban sprawl has been considered as a prominent characteristic of urban development. This study aims to investigate urban growth process in Bandar Abbas city, Iran, focusing on urban sprawl and land use change during 1956–2012. To calculate urban sprawl and land use changes, aerial photos and satellite images are utilized in different time spans. The results demonstrate that urban region area has changed from 403.77 to 4959.59 hectares between 1956 and 2012. Moreover, the population has increased more than 30 times in last six decades. The major part of population growth is related to migration from other parts the country to Bandar Abbas city. Considering the speed of urban sprawl growth rate, the scale and the role of the city have changed from medium and regional to large scale and transregional. Due to natural and structural limitations, more than 80% of barren lands, stone cliffs, beach zone, and agricultural lands are occupied by built-up areas. Our results revealed that the irregular expansion of Bandar Abbas city must be controlled so that sustainable development could be achieved.

scholarly journals Assessing human and environmental pressures of global land-use change 2000–2010

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
Author(s):  
Felix Creutzig ◽  
Christopher Bren d'Amour ◽  
Ulf Weddige ◽  
Sabine Fuss ◽  
Tim Beringer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Spatially Explicit ◽  
Agricultural Expansion ◽  
Land Uses ◽  
Environmental Pressures ◽  
World Regions ◽  
Global Land ◽  
Spatially Explicit Data

Non-technical summaryGlobal land is turning into an increasingly scarce resource. We here present a comprehensive assessment of co-occuring land-use change from 2000 until 2010, compiling existing spatially explicit data sources for different land uses, and building on a rich literature addressing specific land-use changes in all world regions. This review systematically categorizes patterns of land use, including regional urbanization and agricultural expansion but also globally telecoupled land-use change for all world regions. Managing land-use change patterns across the globe requires global governance.

scholarly journals Recent Land Use Changes on an Urban Watershed in Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mélanie LeBlanc ◽  
Guillaume Fortin
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Land Uses ◽  
Urban Watershed ◽  
Surface Areas ◽  
Run Off ◽  
Land Use Types ◽  
Natural Land ◽  
The City

Changes in land use, which threaten ecosystems and habitats, have an impact on run-off and water quality on urban areas. Using a GIS program we have classified the land use of the Humphreys Brook watershed and quantified the changes that have occurred using landscape metrics. A rapid growth of the city emerges from our results. All land use types of urban nature have seen an increase in surface areas to the detriment of natural land uses. Moreover the landscape indices are showing signs of rectangularity, where humans have introduced straight edges, and other common processes of transformation to the landscape.

scholarly journals Analysis of landslide potential due to changes of land use/land cover at the Kuranji watershed, Padang using normalized difference built-up index (NDBI)

2021 ◽  
Vol 331 ◽  
pp. 03007
Author(s):  
Andriani Andriani ◽  
Geri Despita Putra ◽  
Salsabila Ramadhani ◽  
Ismael ◽  
Hendri Gusti Putra
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Runoff Coefficient ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
Vegetation Density ◽  
Geospatial Information ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The City

The earthquake and tsunami predictions in the city of Padang have caused very rapid land-use changes, especially in the Kuranji watershed, where people tend to seek locations that are safe from tsunamis and liquefaction. Changes in environmental characteristics such as slope geometry conditions, vegetation density, and changes in land use will affect runoff coefficient and rainwater filtration, triggering a potential for landslides. This study aims to analyze the potential for landslides due to changes in land use in the Kuranji Watershed. The identification of land-use change is carried out using a remote sensing approach, namely the Normalized Difference Built-Up Index (NDBI). Landslide potential is determined based on the relationship between land use and runoff coefficient from 2007 to 2019. The results showed there had been an increase in the built-up area in the Kuranji watershed from 1602.212 ha (2007) to 2897.513 ha (2019). In contrast, the vegetation area has decreased. An increase in the runoff coefficient of 3.9% from 2007 to 2019. The final results of this study are thematic geospatial information obtained in the form of the relationship between changes in land use and the potential for landslides that occurred in the Kuranji watershed during the period 2007 to 2019.

scholarly journals The Impact of Land Use Change on Disaster Risk from the Perspective of Efficiency

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 3151
Author(s):  
Qingmu Su ◽  
Kaida Chen ◽  
Lingyun Liao
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Land Development ◽  
Quantitative Relationship ◽  
Disaster Risk ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact

The increasing demand of humankind has caused a large number of land use changes, which pose a direct or indirect threat to the environment while promoting economic growth. The lack of risk-oriented land use changes may increase the disaster risk in the region. Therefore, how to study the relationship between land use change and disaster risk deserves attention. In this study, a research framework with quantitative relationship between land use change and disaster risk was constructed from the perspective of efficiency. The framework integrated land use change, disaster losses and environment variable (runoff increment) into a three-stage data envelopment analysis (DEA) assessment model to dynamically evaluate the impact of land use changes on disasters. The main conclusions include: (I) after the influence of runoff increment and random error was excluded, the overall risk score of counties and cities in Taiwan is 0.643, which represents a relatively high level, indicating that land use changes have caused high disaster risk; and (II) the vulnerability of land development in each county and city can be obtained through the comprehensive score of disaster risk the amount of unused input. The results of this study can help government agencies to rank various types of land development and then determine the acceptable risk level and incorporate disaster risk into land development.

scholarly journals Spatiotemporal Patterns of Land-Use Changes in Lithuania

Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 619
Author(s):  
Daiva Juknelienė ◽  
Vaiva Kazanavičiūtė ◽  
Jolanta Valčiukienė ◽  
Virginija Atkocevičienė ◽  
Gintautas Mozgeris
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Land Management ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Primary Objective ◽  
Moran’S I ◽  
Land Uses ◽  
Moran's I ◽  
Management Policies

The spatially explicit assessment of land use and land-use change patterns can identify critical areas and provide insights to improve land management policies and associated decisions. This study mapped the land uses and land-use changes in Lithuanian municipalities since 1971. Additionally, an analysis was conducted of three shorter periods, corresponding to major national land-use policy epochs. Data on land uses, available from the Lithuanian National Forest Inventory (NFI) and collected on an annual basis with the primary objective of conducting greenhouse gas (GHG) accounting and reporting for the land use, land-use change, and forestry (LULUCF) sectors, were explored. The overall trend in Lithuania during the last five decades has been an increase in the area of forest and built-up land and decrease in the area of producing land, meadow/pasture, wetlands, and other land uses. Nevertheless, the development trends for the proportions of producing land and meadow/pasture changed trajectories several times, and the breakpoints were linked with important dates in Lithuanian history and associated with the reorganization of land management and land-use relations. Global Moran’s I statistic and Anselin Local Moran’s I were used to check for global and local patterns in the distribution of land use in Lithuanian municipalities. The proportions of producing land and pasture/meadow remained spatially autocorrelated during the whole period analysed. Local spatial clusters and outliers were identified for all land-use types used in GHG inventories in the LULUCF sector at all the time points analysed. Ordinary least squares (OLS) regression was used to explain the land-use change trends during several historical periods due to differing land management policies, utilizing data from freely available databases as the regressors. The percentage of variance explained by the models ranged from 37 to 65, depending on the land-use type and the period in question.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document