Daily runoff prediction using the linear and non-linear models

2017 ◽  
Vol 76 (4) ◽  
pp. 793-805 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alireza Sharifi ◽  
Yagob Dinpashoh ◽  
Rasoul Mirabbasi

Runoff prediction, as a nonlinear and complex process, is essential for designing canals, water management and planning, flood control and predicting soil erosion. There are a number of techniques for runoff prediction based on the hydro-meteorological and geomorphological variables. In recent years, several soft computing techniques have been developed to predict runoff. There are some challenging issues in runoff modeling including the selection of appropriate inputs and determination of the optimum length of training and testing data sets. In this study, the gamma test (GT), forward selection and factor analysis were used to determine the best input combination. In addition, GT was applied to determine the optimum length of training and testing data sets. Results showed the input combination based on the GT method with five variables has better performance than other combinations. For modeling, among four techniques: artificial neural networks, local linear regression, an adaptive neural-based fuzzy inference system and support vector machine (SVM), results indicated the performance of the SVM model is better than other techniques for runoff prediction in the Amameh watershed.

2020 ◽  
Vol 42 (4) ◽  
pp. 880-889
Author(s):  
Sushmita Deka ◽  
Pallekonda Ramesh Babu ◽  
Maneswar Rahang

The accurate prediction of force is very important in the present scenario of aerodynamic force measurement. The high accuracy of force prediction during calibration facilitates a better accuracy of force measurement in aerodynamic facilities like shock tunnels and wind tunnels. The present study describes the force prediction in an accelerometer force balance system using support vector regression (SVR). The comparison of SVR with the existing force prediction techniques namely, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and artificial neural network (ANN) has also been carried out. The accelerometer force balance used in the current experimentation consists of a tri-axial accelerometer to measure the response on an aluminium hemispherical model on the application of force. The impulse forces were applied along the axial, normal and azimuthal directions. The forces were predicted using the accelerations obtained from the tri-axial accelerometer. SVR method was able to predict the forces quite accurately as compared to ANFIS and ANN. However, SVR has the advantage over ANFIS and ANN in that it is independent of the magnitude of the training and testing data. It is capable of an accurate prediction of forces with any magnitude of training and testing data, unlike ANFIS and ANN.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Adarsh ◽  
R. Dhanya ◽  
G. Krishna ◽  
R. Merlin ◽  
J. Tina

This study examines the potential of two soft computing techniques, namely, support vector machines (SVMs) and genetic programming (GP), to predict ultimate bearing capacity of cohesionless soils beneath shallow foundations. The width of footing (), depth of footing (), the length-to-width ratio () of footings, density of soil ( or ), angle of internal friction (), and so forth were used as model input parameters to predict ultimate bearing capacity (). The results of present models were compared with those obtained by three theoretical approaches, artificial neural networks (ANNs), and fuzzy inference system (FIS) reported in the literature. The statistical evaluation of results shows that the presently applied paradigms are better than the theoretical approaches and are competing well with the other soft computing techniques. The performance evaluation of GP model results based on multiple error criteria confirms that GP is very efficient in accurate prediction of ultimate bearing capacity cohesionless soils when compared with other models considered in this study.


Author(s):  
Rebecca P. Ang ◽  
Dion H. Goh

In this study, the authors compared logistic regression and predictive data mining techniques such as decision trees (DTs), artificial neural networks (ANNs), and support vector machines (SVMs), and examined these methods on whether they could discriminate between adolescents who were charged or not charged for initial juvenile offending in a large Asian sample. Results were validated and tested in independent samples with logistic regression and DT, ANN, and SVM classifiers achieving accuracy rates of 95% and above. Findings from receiver operating characteristic analyses also supported these results. In addition, the authors examined distinct patterns of occurrences within and across classifiers. Proactive aggression and teacher-rated conflict consistently emerged as risk factors across validation and testing data sets of DT and ANN classifiers, and logistic regression. Reactive aggression, narcissistic exploitativeness, being male, and coming from a nonintact family were risk factors that emerged in one or more of these data sets across classifiers, while anxiety and poor peer relationships failed to emerge as predictors.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mosbeh R. Kaloop ◽  
Jong Wan Hu

Modeling response of structures under seismic loads is an important factor in Civil Engineering as it crucially affects the design and management of structures, especially for the high-risk areas. In this study, novel applications of advanced soft computing techniques are utilized for predicting the behavior of centrically braced frame (CBF) buildings with lead-rubber bearing (LRB) isolation system under ground motion effects. These techniques include least square support vector machine (LSSVM), wavelet neural networks (WNN), and adaptive neurofuzzy inference system (ANFIS) along with wavelet denoising. The simulation of a 2D frame model and eight ground motions are considered in this study to evaluate the prediction models. The comparison results indicate that the least square support vector machine is superior to other techniques in estimating the behavior of smart structures.


2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (8) ◽  
pp. 805-813
Author(s):  
Ai Jiang ◽  
Peng Xu ◽  
Zhenda Zhao ◽  
Qizhao Tan ◽  
Shang Sun ◽  
...  

Background: Osteoarthritis (OA) is a joint disease that leads to a high disability rate and a low quality of life. With the development of modern molecular biology techniques, some key genes and diagnostic markers have been reported. However, the etiology and pathogenesis of OA are still unknown. Objective: To develop a gene signature in OA. Method: In this study, five microarray data sets were integrated to conduct a comprehensive network and pathway analysis of the biological functions of OA related genes, which can provide valuable information and further explore the etiology and pathogenesis of OA. Results and Discussion: Differential expression analysis identified 180 genes with significantly expressed expression in OA. Functional enrichment analysis showed that the up-regulated genes were associated with rheumatoid arthritis (p < 0.01). Down-regulated genes regulate the biological processes of negative regulation of kinase activity and some signaling pathways such as MAPK signaling pathway (p < 0.001) and IL-17 signaling pathway (p < 0.001). In addition, the OA specific protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed based on the differentially expressed genes. The analysis of network topological attributes showed that differentially upregulated VEGFA, MYC, ATF3 and JUN genes were hub genes of the network, which may influence the occurrence and development of OA through regulating cell cycle or apoptosis, and were potential biomarkers of OA. Finally, the support vector machine (SVM) method was used to establish the diagnosis model of OA, which not only had excellent predictive power in internal and external data sets (AUC > 0.9), but also had high predictive performance in different chip platforms (AUC > 0.9) and also had effective ability in blood samples (AUC > 0.8). Conclusion: The 4-genes diagnostic model may be of great help to the early diagnosis and prediction of OA.


Author(s):  
Kyungkoo Jun

Background & Objective: This paper proposes a Fourier transform inspired method to classify human activities from time series sensor data. Methods: Our method begins by decomposing 1D input signal into 2D patterns, which is motivated by the Fourier conversion. The decomposition is helped by Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) which captures the temporal dependency from the signal and then produces encoded sequences. The sequences, once arranged into the 2D array, can represent the fingerprints of the signals. The benefit of such transformation is that we can exploit the recent advances of the deep learning models for the image classification such as Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). Results: The proposed model, as a result, is the combination of LSTM and CNN. We evaluate the model over two data sets. For the first data set, which is more standardized than the other, our model outperforms previous works or at least equal. In the case of the second data set, we devise the schemes to generate training and testing data by changing the parameters of the window size, the sliding size, and the labeling scheme. Conclusion: The evaluation results show that the accuracy is over 95% for some cases. We also analyze the effect of the parameters on the performance.


Author(s):  
Jianfeng Jiang

Objective: In order to diagnose the analog circuit fault correctly, an analog circuit fault diagnosis approach on basis of wavelet-based fractal analysis and multiple kernel support vector machine (MKSVM) is presented in the paper. Methods: Time responses of the circuit under different faults are measured, and then wavelet-based fractal analysis is used to process the collected time responses for the purpose of generating features for the signals. Kernel principal component analysis (KPCA) is applied to reduce the features’ dimensionality. Afterwards, features are divided into training data and testing data. MKSVM with its multiple parameters optimized by chaos particle swarm optimization (CPSO) algorithm is utilized to construct an analog circuit fault diagnosis model based on the testing data. Results: The proposed analog diagnosis approach is revealed by a four opamp biquad high-pass filter fault diagnosis simulation. Conclusion: The approach outperforms other commonly used methods in the comparisons.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 998
Author(s):  
Roozbeh Sadeghian Broujeny ◽  
Kurosh Madani ◽  
Abdennasser Chebira ◽  
Veronique Amarger ◽  
Laurent Hurtard

Most already advanced developed heating control systems remain either in a prototype state (because of their relatively complex implementation requirements) or require very specific technologies not implementable in most existing buildings. On the other hand, the above-mentioned analysis has also pointed out that most smart building energy management systems deploy quite very basic heating control strategies limited to quite simplistic predesigned use-case scenarios. In the present paper, we propose a heating control strategy taking advantage of the overall identification of the living space by taking advantage of the consideration of the living space users’ presence as additional thermal sources. To handle this, an adaptive controller for the operation of heating transmitters on the basis of soft computing techniques by taking into account the diverse range of occupants in the heating chain is introduced. The strategy of the controller is constructed on a basis of the modeling heating dynamics of living spaces by considering occupants as an additional heating source. The proposed approach for modeling the heating dynamics of living spaces is on the basis of time series prediction by a multilayer perceptron neural network, and the controlling strategy regarding the heating controller takes advantage of a Fuzzy Inference System with the Takagi-Sugeno model. The proposed approach has been implemented for facing the dynamic heating conduct of a real five-floor building’s living spaces located at Senart Campus of University Paris-Est Créteil, taking into account the occupants of spaces in the control chain. The obtained results assessing the efficiency and adaptive functionality of the investigated fuzzy controller designed model-based approach are reported and discussed.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Itziar Irigoien ◽  
Basilio Sierra ◽  
Concepción Arenas

In the problem of one-class classification (OCC) one of the classes, the target class, has to be distinguished from all other possible objects, considered as nontargets. In many biomedical problems this situation arises, for example, in diagnosis, image based tumor recognition or analysis of electrocardiogram data. In this paper an approach to OCC based on a typicality test is experimentally compared with reference state-of-the-art OCC techniques—Gaussian, mixture of Gaussians, naive Parzen, Parzen, and support vector data description—using biomedical data sets. We evaluate the ability of the procedures using twelve experimental data sets with not necessarily continuous data. As there are few benchmark data sets for one-class classification, all data sets considered in the evaluation have multiple classes. Each class in turn is considered as the target class and the units in the other classes are considered as new units to be classified. The results of the comparison show the good performance of the typicality approach, which is available for high dimensional data; it is worth mentioning that it can be used for any kind of data (continuous, discrete, or nominal), whereas state-of-the-art approaches application is not straightforward when nominal variables are present.


2003 ◽  
Vol 15 (9) ◽  
pp. 2227-2254 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Chu ◽  
S. Sathiya Keerthi ◽  
Chong Jin Ong

This letter describes Bayesian techniques for support vector classification. In particular, we propose a novel differentiable loss function, called the trigonometric loss function, which has the desirable characteristic of natural normalization in the likelihood function, and then follow standard gaussian processes techniques to set up a Bayesian framework. In this framework, Bayesian inference is used to implement model adaptation, while keeping the merits of support vector classifier, such as sparseness and convex programming. This differs from standard gaussian processes for classification. Moreover, we put forward class probability in making predictions. Experimental results on benchmark data sets indicate the usefulness of this approach.


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