Probabilistic evaluation of ammonia toxicity in Milwaukee's Outer Harbor

2006 ◽  
Vol 53 (1) ◽  
pp. 109-116
Author(s):  
C.S. Melching ◽  
V. Novotny ◽  
J.B. Schilling

Water-quality models that are simple yet sound and reliable and that correspond to water-quality criteria that include magnitude, frequency, and duration components are needed. Monte Carlo models are developed on the basis of available flow and water-quality data and a deterministic water-quality model appropriate for the problem at hand and the data available. Monte Carlo models yield time series and probability distributions of constituents of interest in conformance with water-quality criteria. The application of a Monte Carlo model to the probabilistic evaluation of ammonia toxicity in Milwaukee's Outer Harbor is presented here. Under typical operating conditions for the Jones Island Wastewater Treatment Plant, ammonia toxicity was found to not be a problem for the Outer Harbor. The Monte Carlo model then was used to determine effluent limits that would meet the ammonia toxicity criteria.

1993 ◽  
Vol 65 (5) ◽  
pp. 674-678 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jim Bumgardner ◽  
Christopher Malone ◽  
Larry F. Walker ◽  
Robert F. Shanks

2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (7) ◽  
pp. 2253-2266 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Khalil ◽  
J. Adamowski

Abstract. In many situations the extension of hydrological or water quality time series at short-gauged stations is required. Ordinary least squares regression (OLS) of any hydrological or water quality variable is a traditional and commonly used record extension technique. However, OLS tends to underestimate the variance in the extended records, which leads to underestimation of high percentiles and overestimation of low percentiles, given that the data are normally distributed. The development of the line of organic correlation (LOC) technique is aimed at correcting this bias. On the other hand, the Kendall-Theil robust line (KTRL) method has been proposed as an analogue of OLS with the advantage of being robust in the presence of outliers. Given that water quality data are characterised by the presence of outliers, positive skewness and non-normal distribution of data, a robust record extension technique is more appropriate. In this paper, four record-extension techniques are described, and their properties are explored. These techniques are OLS, LOC, KTRL and a new technique proposed in this paper, the robust line of organic correlation technique (RLOC). RLOC includes the advantage of the LOC in reducing the bias in estimating the variance, but at the same time it is also robust in the presence of outliers. A Monte Carlo study and empirical experiment were conducted to examine the four techniques for the accuracy and precision of the estimate of statistical moments and over the full range of percentiles. Results of the Monte Carlo study showed that the OLS and KTRL techniques have serious deficiencies as record-extension techniques, while the LOC and RLOC techniques are nearly similar. However, RLOC outperforms OLS, KTRL and LOC when using real water quality records.


1986 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 171-177
Author(s):  
Brian Olding

Environment Canada has for over 15 years operated a network of water quality stations in the NWT. The objectives of the network were to provide a baseline of water quality data against which future changes could be measured. Contemporary monitoring must now address the biological component of the aquatic environment, the effects of development on the aquatic environment, and the formulation and application of in-stream water quality objectives. Interjurisdictional water quality at the Territorial-Provincial border, and issues associated with precious metals, base metals, hydrocarbons, uranium exploration and long-range air pollution constitute new challenges for water quality monitoring programs. The paper considers aspects of an updated monitoring program, focusing on the delineation of ambient variability and the needs for particular research in the development of aquatic water quality criteria, guidelines and use-specific water quality objectives for northern watercourses.


2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 4667-4702 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Khalil ◽  
J. Adamowski

Abstract. In many situations the extension of hydrological or water quality time series at short-gauged stations is required. Ordinary least squares regression (OLS) of any hydrological or water quality variable is a traditional and commonly used record extension technique. However, OLS tends to underestimate the variance in the extended records, which leads to underestimation of high percentiles and overestimation of low percentiles, given that the data is normally distributed. The development of the line of organic correlation (LOC) technique is aimed at correcting this bias. On the other hand, the Kendall-Theil robust line (KTRL) method has been proposed as an analogue of OLS with the advantage of being robust in the presence of outliers. Given that water quality data are characterised by the presence of outliers, positive skewness and non-normal distribution of data, a robust record extension technique is more appropriate. In this paper, four record-extension techniques are described, and their properties are explored. These techniques are OLS, LOC, KTRL and a new technique proposed in this paper, the robust line of organic correlation technique (RLOC). RLOC includes the advantage of the LOC in reducing the bias in estimating the variance, but at the same time it is also robust to the presence of outliers. A Monte Carlo study and empirical experiment were conducted to examine the four techniques for the accuracy and precision of the estimate of statistical moments and over the full range of percentiles. Results of the Monte Carlo study showed that the OLS and KTRL techniques have serious deficiencies as record-extension techniques, while the LOC and RLOC techniques are nearly similar. However, RLOC outperforms OLS, KTRL and LOC when using real water quality records.


Author(s):  
Ping Wang ◽  
Lewis Linker ◽  
James Collier ◽  
Gary Shenk ◽  
Robert Koroncai ◽  
...  

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