Evaluation of the vulnerability of the Western Mountain aquifer to pollution

2000 ◽  
Vol 42 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 417-421 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Bachmat ◽  
S. H. Wollman

The paper introduces a preliminary physical measure of vulnerability of groundwater to pollution called “mean relative travel time of a pollutant”, which is defined as the time of passage through the unsaturated zone of a front of water containing a conservative pollutant and applied to the ground surface at a unit intensity of supply. A methodology for mapping the mean relative travel time is presented and applied to the recharge area of the Western Mountain, (Yarkon-Taninim) aquifer. The aquifer, which extends from the mountain range west of the Jordan River to the Mediterranean coast line, is subdivided into a set of 5×5 km2 cells, and a mean relative travel time is computed for each cell within the recharge area of the aquifer. The estimated mean travel times are directly proportional to the depth to groundwater and inversely proportional to the ratio between the coefficient of replenishment and the water content of the unsaturated zone. Estimates of the latter are obtained from regression of the rise in well water levels during the winter season on the corresponding seasonal rainfall depth. They show relative travel times in the range of one decade in the outcrops of the lower subaquifer and along the foothills, and relative travel times in the range of two to three decades along the mountain range outcrops of the upper subaquifer.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zi Wu ◽  
Arvind Singh ◽  
Efi Foufoula-Georgiou ◽  
Michele Guala ◽  
Xudong Fu ◽  
...  

<p>Bedload particle hops are defined as successive motions of a particle from start to stop, characterizing one of the most fundamental processes describing bedload sediment transport in rivers. Although two transport regimes have been recently identified for short- and long-hops, respectively <strong>(Wu et al., <em>Water Resour Res</em>, 2020)</strong>, there still lacks a theory explaining how the mean hop distance-travel time scaling may extend to cover the phenomenology of bedload particle motions. Here we propose a velocity-variation based formulation, and for the first time, we obtain analytical solution for the mean hop distance-travel time relation valid for the entire range of travel times, which agrees well with the measured data <strong>(Wu et al., <em>J Fluid Mech</em>, 2021)</strong>. Regarding travel times, we identify three distinct regimes in terms of different scaling exponents: respectively as ~1.5 for an initial regime and ~5/3 for a transition regime, which define the short-hops; and 1 for the so-called Taylor dispersion regime defining long-hops. The corresponding probability density function of the hop distance is also analytically obtained and experimentally verified. </p>


2013 ◽  
Vol 144 (1) ◽  
pp. 138-151 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcelo R. Sousa ◽  
Jon P. Jones ◽  
Emil O. Frind ◽  
David L. Rudolph

Author(s):  
Ernest O. A. Tufuor ◽  
Laurence R. Rilett

The 6th edition of the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM-6) includes the concept of travel time reliability (TTR), which attempts to determine the distribution of average trip travel times over an extended period. TTR is an inherent part of travelers’ route choice decisions and is used by traffic managers to better quantify operations rather than simply using average travel times. The focus of this paper is on the HCM-6 urban street TTR methodology contained in Chapter 17. The approach uses historical data (e.g., weather and volume fluctuations) and simple empirical data (e.g., 1-day volume count) to provide the user with average travel time and reliability predictions for a traffic facility over an extended period (e.g., a year). To the best of the authors’ knowledge, there is no existing literature on validating the HCM-6 methodology with empirical data. The goals of this paper were to validate the HCM-6 urban street reliability methodology by comparing the empirical Bluetooth (BT) travel time distributions with the estimated HCM-6 distribution, and to propose potential HCM-6 augmentation strategies. Archived BT data from a 0.5-mi urban arterial in Lincoln, Nebraska was used for comparison. It was found that there were statistically significant differences, but minimal practical differences, between the mean of the predicted HCM-6 travel time distribution and the mean of the empirical distribution. However, the HCM-6 distribution had a lower variance than the empirical distribution. Not surprisingly, the HCM-6 model underestimated the TTR metrics (buffer index and the planning time index) by approximately 62% and 9%, respectively.


2002 ◽  
Vol 1802 (1) ◽  
pp. 233-238
Author(s):  
Fabien M. Leurent

A model of disaggregate interactions between individual vehicles was developed that makes explicit the vehicle classes, the class trip rates, and their kinematic parameters (free speed, acceleration rate, length, safety margin). Assuming exponential gaps between vehicles, analytic formulas were derived for the mean value and the variance of the path travel times within each class. The model was successively applied to one-lane roads; two-way, two-lane roads; one-way, two-lane roads; and two-way, three-lane roads.


1994 ◽  
Vol 353 ◽  
Author(s):  
William M Murphy

AbstractConstraints on groundwater flow and groundwater travel time (GWTT) at the proposed HLW repository site at Yucca Mountain, Nevada, U.S.A., can be provided through thermodynamic modeling of relations between gas, liquid, and solid phases, and mass transport modeling. In the unsaturated zone at Yucca Mountain the observed distribution of 14C can be reasonably represented by a mass transport and mass transfer model representing diffusion of 14C02 in the gas phase from the ground surface and equilibrium between aqueous and gas phases, in the absence of net advective flow. This mechanism could also account for aqueous phase 14C activities in the unsaturated zone. Thermodynamic interpretations indicate that groundwaters extracted from boreholes in the water saturated tuffaceous aquifer at Yucca Mountain are undersaturated with respect to calcite, providing evidence that groundwater flow bypasses zones of rock containing calcite and therefore must be channelized. This conclusion is supported by published isotopic data for calcites and groundwaters.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adnan Moussa ◽  
Julian Klaus ◽  
Mauro Sulis

<p>How water and solute are transported in catchments is the foundation for sustainable water management. The flow and transport processes can be described through the travel time of water summarizing the catchment functions of storage, mixing, and release. For a catchment scale, travel time is defined as the time a water particle needs to travel from when it hits the ground surface until it leaves the catchment as discharge or evapotranspiration. Recent studies treated travel time distributions as time-variant in order to reflect the temporal and spatial variability of atmospheric forcing and corresponding hydrologic dynamics through the Master Equation and StorAge selection functions (SAS functions). A challenge is that travel times cannot be directly estimated from data but are inferred from either conceptual or physically based hydrological models. In our study, we employ the integrated surface-subsurface hydrological model Parflow to simulate water fluxes in the forested Weierbach catchment in Luxembourg. However, there are challenges on model parametrization and optimization to build a robust model that is representative of the catchments processes. Our objective here is to setup a robust model for Weierbach catchment based on available catchment parameters. We will evaluate the model against observed streamflow at several sites and soil moisture data. Nevertheless, such model can be used to reveal the spatio-temporal heterogeneity of the hydrological processes at our catchment once it is constrained with the available field data. Future work will consist of directly estimating the travel time of both discharge and evapotranspiration using Parflow and particle tracking (such as EcoSLIM) and will be constrained with the observed stable isotope data.</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. e004318
Author(s):  
Aduragbemi Banke-Thomas ◽  
Kerry L M Wong ◽  
Francis Ifeanyi Ayomoh ◽  
Rokibat Olabisi Giwa-Ayedun ◽  
Lenka Benova

BackgroundTravel time to comprehensive emergency obstetric care (CEmOC) facilities in low-resource settings is commonly estimated using modelling approaches. Our objective was to derive and compare estimates of travel time to reach CEmOC in an African megacity using models and web-based platforms against actual replication of travel.MethodsWe extracted data from patient files of all 732 pregnant women who presented in emergency in the four publicly owned tertiary CEmOC facilities in Lagos, Nigeria, between August 2018 and August 2019. For a systematically selected subsample of 385, we estimated travel time from their homes to the facility using the cost-friction surface approach, Open Source Routing Machine (OSRM) and Google Maps, and compared them to travel time by two independent drivers replicating women’s journeys. We estimated the percentage of women who reached the facilities within 60 and 120 min.ResultsThe median travel time for 385 women from the cost-friction surface approach, OSRM and Google Maps was 5, 11 and 40 min, respectively. The median actual drive time was 50–52 min. The mean errors were >45 min for the cost-friction surface approach and OSRM, and 14 min for Google Maps. The smallest differences between replicated and estimated travel times were seen for night-time journeys at weekends; largest errors were found for night-time journeys at weekdays and journeys above 120 min. Modelled estimates indicated that all participants were within 60 min of the destination CEmOC facility, yet journey replication showed that only 57% were, and 92% were within 120 min.ConclusionsExisting modelling methods underestimate actual travel time in low-resource megacities. Significant gaps in geographical access to life-saving health services like CEmOC must be urgently addressed, including in urban areas. Leveraging tools that generate ‘closer-to-reality’ estimates will be vital for service planning if universal health coverage targets are to be realised by 2030.


Author(s):  
Monika Filipovska ◽  
Hani S. Mahmassani ◽  
Archak Mittal

Transportation research has increasingly focused on the modeling of travel time uncertainty in transportation networks. From a user’s perspective, the performance of the network is experienced at the level of a path, and, as such, knowledge of variability of travel times along paths contemplated by the user is necessary. This paper focuses on developing approaches for the estimation of path travel time distributions in stochastic time-varying networks so as to capture generalized correlations between link travel times. Specifically, the goal is to develop methods to estimate path travel time distributions for any path in the networks by synthesizing available trajectory data from various portions of the path, and this paper addresses that problem in a two-fold manner. Firstly, a Monte Carlo simulation (MCS)-based approach is presented for the convolution of time-varying random variables with general correlation structures and distribution shapes. Secondly, a combinatorial data-mining approach is developed, which aims to utilize sparse trajectory data for the estimation of path travel time distributions by implicitly capturing the complex correlation structure in the network travel times. Numerical results indicate that the MCS approach allowing for time-dependence and a time-varying correlation structure outperforms other approaches, and that its performance is robust with respect to different path travel time distributions. Additionally, using the path segmentations from the segment search approach with a MCS approach with time-dependence also produces accurate and robust estimates of the path travel time distributions with the added benefit of shorter computation times.


1970 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
T Farjana ◽  
KR Islam ◽  
MMH Mondal

 A study was conducted to investigate the population density of helminth parasites in domestic ducks (Anas boschas domesticus) in relation to host's age, sex, breed and seasons of the year from March 2002 to May 2003. A total of 300 ducks were collected from different villages of Netrokona and Mymensingh districts of Bangladesh and autopsied to collect the parasites and counted to determine the population density of parasites. Off 300 ducks examined, 290 (96.66%) were infected with 17 species of helminth parasites in which 11 species were trematodes, 4 were cestodes and 2 nematodes. Among the parasites, density of cestodes was the highest (33.15±5.26), followed by trematodes (5.98±1.32); and nematodes (2.95±0.68). Mean density of parasites increased with the increase of age (young: 21.23±1.09, adult: 26.18±2.14 and old: 27.87±2.98) while the mean density of most of the helminth parasites was higher in female ducks (31.35±4.72) than in males (27.52±3.32). Indigenous ducks (33.72±3.61) were infected with the highest load of helminths than Khaki Campbell breed (29.61±4.32) of ducks. Mean density of most trematodes (5.42±0.80) were highest in winter season whereas mean density of all cestodes (48.43±4.85) and nematodes (4.13±1.76) were highest in summer.  The present study suggests that age, sex, breed of ducks and seasons of the year influence the parasitic infection to a greater extend. Key words: Population density, helminths, duck, Bangladesh DOI = 10.3329/bjvm.v6i1.1338 Bangl. J. Vet. Med. (2008). 6 (1): 45-51


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cong Bai ◽  
Zhong-Ren Peng ◽  
Qing-Chang Lu ◽  
Jian Sun

Accurate and real-time travel time information for buses can help passengers better plan their trips and minimize waiting times. A dynamic travel time prediction model for buses addressing the cases on road with multiple bus routes is proposed in this paper, based on support vector machines (SVMs) and Kalman filtering-based algorithm. In the proposed model, the well-trained SVM model predicts the baseline bus travel times from the historical bus trip data; the Kalman filtering-based dynamic algorithm can adjust bus travel times with the latest bus operation information and the estimated baseline travel times. The performance of the proposed dynamic model is validated with the real-world data on road with multiple bus routes in Shenzhen, China. The results show that the proposed dynamic model is feasible and applicable for bus travel time prediction and has the best prediction performance among all the five models proposed in the study in terms of prediction accuracy on road with multiple bus routes.


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