scholarly journals Prediction and analysis of non-stationary runoff extreme sequence based on ESMD combination prediction model

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 1439-1452
Author(s):  
Yi-zhen Li ◽  
Chun-fang Yue

Abstract With increasingly severe climate changes and intensified human activities, it is more and more difficult to predict the non-stationary extreme runoff series accurately. In this research, based on the ‘decomposition-prediction-reconstruction’ model, an instantaneous frequency distribution map was used to measure the effect of empirical mode decomposition (EMD), ensemble empirical mode decomposition, complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition and extreme-point symmetric mode decomposition (ESMD) in dealing with mode mixing; appropriate prediction methods for each component were selected to form a combined prediction model; and the advantages of a combined prediction model based on ESMD were compared and analyzed with the following results acquired: (1) ESMD can address the mode mixing problem with EMD; (2) particle swarm optimization-least squares support vector machine, autoregressive model (1) and random forest are suitable for high-/medium-/low-frequency components and the residual components R; (3) the results of the combined prediction model are better than those of the single ones; and (4) the prediction effect of the combined prediction model is the best under ESMD decomposition, and the prediction errors of the runoff extreme value sequence can be reduced by about 58–80% compared with the three other decomposition methods. Moreover, as demonstrated in this study, the combined prediction model based on ESMD can effectively predict the non-stationary extreme runoff series, while providing reference for forecasting other non-stationary time series.

2017 ◽  
Vol 09 (02) ◽  
pp. 1750004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pawel Rzeszucinski ◽  
Michal Juraszek ◽  
James R. Ottewill

The paper introduces the concept of exploring the potential of Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) and Sparsity Measurement (SM) in enhancing the diagnostic information contained in the Time Synchronous Averaging (TSA) method used in the field of gearbox diagnostics. EEMD was created as a natural improvement of the Empirical Mode Decomposition which suffered from a so-called mode mixing problem. SM is heavily used in the field of ultrasound signal processing as a tool for assessing the degree of sparsity of a signal. A novel process of automatically finding the optimal parameters of EEMD is proposed by incorporating a Form Factor parameter, known from the field of electrical engineering. All these elements are combined and applied on a set of vibration data generated on a 2-stage gearbox under healthy and faulty conditions. The results suggest that combining these methods may increase the robustness of the condition monitoring routine, when compared to the standard TSA used alone.


2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-16
Author(s):  
Irene Karijadi ◽  
Ig. Jaka Mulyana

Improving accuracy of wind power prediction is important to maintain power system stability. However, wind power prediction is difficult due to randomness and high volatility characteristics. This study applies a hybrid algorithm that combines ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and support vector regression (SVR) to develop a prediction model for wind power prediction. Ensemble empirical mode decomposition is employed to decompose original data into several Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMF). Finally, a prediction model using support vector regression is built for each IMF individually, and the prediction result of all IMFs is combined to obtain an aggregated output of wind power Numerical testing demonstrated that the proposed method can accurately predict the wind power in Belgian.


Penetration of distributed generation (DG) is rapidly increasing but their main issue is islanding. Advanced signal processing methods needs a renewed focus in detecting islanding. The proposed scheme is based on Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) in which Gaussian white noise is added to original signal which solves the mode mixing problem of Empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and Hilbert transform is applied to obtained Intrinsic mode functions(IMF). The proposed method reliably and accurately detects disturbances at different events


2011 ◽  
Vol 314-316 ◽  
pp. 1126-1130
Author(s):  
Pei Guo Hou ◽  
Qian Zhou ◽  
Zhong Dong Wang

Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) can overcome the mode mixing problem in Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) effectively. The Hilbert-Huang transform still exists end effect in applications, in order to improve the end effect, this paper put forward a method of fault feature extraction based on improved EEMD and Hilbert transform which combines support vector regression (SVR) machine with mirror extension to continue the signal. The analysis on simulation experiments results show that the method can restrain the end effect effectively, get a more accurate instantaneous frequency and instantaneous amplitude.


2019 ◽  
Vol 91 (4) ◽  
pp. 582-600
Author(s):  
S. Abolfazl Mokhtari ◽  
Mehdi Sabzehparvar

Purpose The paper aims to present an innovative method for identification of flight modes in the spin maneuver, which is highly nonlinear and coupled dynamic. Design/methodology/approach To fix the mode mixing problem which is mostly happen in the EMD algorithm, the authors focused on the proposal of an optimized ensemble empirical mode decomposition (OEEMD) algorithm for processing of the flight complex signals that originate from FDR. There are two improvements with the OEEMD respect to the EEMD. First, this algorithm is able to make a precise reconstruction of the original signal. The second improvement is that the OEEMD performs the task of signal decomposition with fewer iterations and so with less complexity order rather than the competitor approaches. Findings By applying the OEEMD algorithm to the spin flight parameter signals, flight modes extracted, then with using systematic technique, flight modes characteristics are obtained. The results indicate that there are some non-standard modes in the nonlinear region due to couplings between the longitudinal and lateral motions. Practical implications Application of the proposed method to the spin flight test data may result accurate identification of nonlinear dynamics with high coupling in this regime. Originality/value First, to fix the mode mixing problem in EMD, an optimized ensemble empirical mode decomposition algorithm is introduced, which disturbed the original signal with a sort of white Gaussian noise, and by using white noise statistical characteristics the OEEMD fix the mode mixing problem with high precision and fewer calculations. Second, by applying the OEEMD to the flight output signals and with using the systematic method, flight mode characteristics which is very important in the simulation and controller designing are obtained.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Guangda Liu ◽  
Xinlei Hu ◽  
Enhui Wang ◽  
Ge Zhou ◽  
Jing Cai ◽  
...  

Photoplethysmography (PPG) has been widely used in noninvasive blood volume and blood flow detection since its first appearance. However, its noninvasiveness also makes the PPG signals vulnerable to noise interference and thus exhibits nonlinear and nonstationary characteristics, which have brought difficulties for the denoising of PPG signals. Ensemble empirical mode decomposition known as EEMD, which has made great progress in noise processing, is a noise-assisted nonlinear and nonstationary time series analysis method based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD). The EEMD method solves the “mode mixing” problem in EMD effectively, but it can do nothing about the “end effect,” another problem in the decomposition process. In response to this problem, an improved EEMD method based on support vector regression extension (SVR-EEMD) is proposed and verified by simulated data and real-world PPG data. Experiments show that the SVR-EEMD method can solve the “end effect” efficiently to get a better decomposition performance than the traditional EEMD method and bring more benefits to the noise processing of PPG signals.


2017 ◽  
Vol 139 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shi-Chang Du ◽  
Tao Liu ◽  
De-Lin Huang ◽  
Gui-Long Li

The vibration signal decomposition is a critical step in the assessment of machine health condition. Though ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method outperforms fast Fourier transform (FFT), wavelet transform, and empirical mode decomposition (EMD) on nonstationary signal decomposition, there exists a mode mixing problem if the two critical parameters (i.e., the amplitude of added white noise and the number of ensemble trials) are not selected appropriately. A novel EEMD method with optimized two parameters is proposed to solve the mode mixing problem in vibration signal decomposition in this paper. In the proposed optimal EEMD, the initial values of the two critical parameters are selected based on an adaptive algorithm. Then, a multimode search algorithm is explored to optimize the critical two parameters by its good performance in global and local search. The performances of the proposed method are demonstrated by means of a simulated signal, two bearing vibration signals, and a vibration signal in a milling process. The results show that compared with the traditional EEMD method and other improved EEMD method, the proposed optimal EEMD method automatically obtains the appropriate parameters of EEMD and achieves higher decomposition accuracy and faster computational efficiency.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Licheng Zhu ◽  
Abdollah Malekjafarian

In this paper, ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and empirical mode decomposition (EMD) methods are used for the effective identification of bridge natural frequencies from drive-by measurements. A vehicle bridge interaction (VBI) model is created using the finite element (FE) method in Matlab. The EMD is employed to decompose the signals measured on the vehicle to their main components. It is shown that the bridge component of the response measured on the vehicle can be extracted using the EMD method. The influence of some factors, such as the road roughness profile and measurement noise, on the results are investigated. The results suggest that the EMD shows good performance under those conditions, but the accuracy of the results may still need to be improved. It is shown that in some cases, the EMD may not be able to decompose the signal effectively and includes mode mixing. This results in inaccuracies in the identification of bridge frequencies. The use of the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method is proposed to overcome the mode mixing problem. The influence of factors such as road profile, measurement noise and vehicle velocity are investigated. It is numerically demonstrated that employing the EEMD improves the results compared to the EMD.


Author(s):  
Y Lei ◽  
M J Zuo ◽  
M Hoseini

Empirical mode decomposition (EMD) has been widely applied to analyse signals for the detection of faults in rotating machinery. However, sometimes, it cannot reveal signal characteristics accurately because of the mode mixing problem. Ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) was developed recently to alleviate the mode mixing problem of EMD. With EEMD, components that are physically meaningful can be extracted from the signals. Bispectrum, a third-order statistic, helps identify phase coupling effects, which are useful for detecting faults in rotating machinery. Utilizing the advantages of EEMD and bispectrum, this article proposes a joint method for detecting such faults. First, original vibration signals collected from rotating machinery are decomposed by EEMD and a set of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) is produced. Then, the IMFs are reconstructed into new signals using the weighted reconstruction algorithm developed in this article. Finally, the reconstructed signals are analysed via bispectrum to detect faults. The simulation experiments and the physical experiments of two gears with a chipped tooth and a cracked tooth, respectively, demonstrate that the proposed method can detect faults more clearly than can directly performing bispectrum on the original vibration signals.


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