scholarly journals A comparison of artificial intelligence models for the estimation of daily suspended sediment load: a case study on the Telar and Kasilian rivers in Iran

2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 165-178 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samad Emamgholizadeh ◽  
Razieh Karimi Demneh
Keyword(s):  
Suspended Sediment ◽  
Sediment Load ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Gene Expression Programming ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Suspended Sediment Load ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Sediment Rating Curve ◽  
Intelligence Models ◽  
Better Than

Abstract The estimation of the suspended sediment load in rivers is one of the main issues in hydraulic engineering. Different traditional methods such as the sediment rating curve (SRC) can be used to estimate the suspended sediment load of rivers. The main problem with this method is its low accuracy and uncertainty. In this study, the ability of three intelligence models namely: gene expression programming (GEP), artificial neural networks (ANN) and adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) were compared with the SRC method. The daily flow discharge and sediment discharge at two hydrometric stations of the Kasilian and Telar rivers in the period of 1964–2014 were used to develop intelligence models. The performance of these methods indicated that all intelligence models give reliable results in the estimation of the suspended sediment load and their performance was better than the SRC method. Moreover, results showed that the GEP model with a high coefficient of determination (R2) and a low mean absolute error (MAE) was better than both the ANN and ANFIS models for the estimation of daily suspended sediment load of the two sub-basins of the Kasilian and Telar rivers.

scholarly journals Evaluation of different types of artificial intelligence methods to model the suspended sediment load in Tigris River

2018 ◽  
Vol 162 ◽  
pp. 03003 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Al-Mukhtar
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Suspended Sediment ◽  
Sediment Load ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Efficiency Coefficient ◽  
Suspended Sediment Load ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Tigris River ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Modeling of suspended sediment load in rivers has a major role in a proper management of water resources. Artificial intelligence has been identified as an efficient way to model the complex nonlinear hydrological relationship. In this study, Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), in addition to two different kinds of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) i.e. feedforward and radial basis networks were used and compared to model the suspended sediment load (SSL) in Tigris River-Baghdad using the streamflow discharge as input. To this end, an intermittent data of SSL and streamflow were collected over the period 1962-1981 from Sarai station in Baghdad. 70 % of these data was used to calibrate (train) the networks and the remaining 30% for the validation (test). The coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), and Nash and Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient (NSE) were used to judge whether the observed and modelled data belong to the same distribution. Results revealed that the ANFIS model outperform the other methods. R2, RMSE, and NSE of ANFIS during the calibration phase were equal to 0.58, 75617, and 0.58, respectively and during the validation were 0.72, 27944, and 0.59, respectively. Therefore, ANFIS approach is recommended to estimate the river suspended sediment load.

scholarly journals Modeling and predicting suspended sediment load under climate change conditions: a new hybridization strategy

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saeed Farzin ◽  
Mahdi Valikhan Anaraki
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Suspended Sediment ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Sediment Load ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Suspended Sediment Load ◽  
Inference System ◽  
New Strategy

Abstract In the present study, for the first time, a new strategy based on a combination of the hybrid least-squares support-vector machine (LS-SVM) and flower pollination optimization algorithm (FPA), average 24 general circulation model (GCM) output, and delta change factor method has been developed to achieve the impacts of climate change on runoff and suspended sediment load (SSL) in the Lighvan Basin in the period (2020–2099). Also, the results of modeling were compared to those of LS-SVM and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) methods. The comparison of runoff and SSL modeling results showed that the LS-SVM-FPA algorithm had the best results and the ANFIS algorithm had the worst results. After the acceptable performance of the LS-SVM-FPA algorithm was proved, the algorithm was used to predict runoff and SSL under climate change conditions based on ensemble GCM outputs for periods (2020–2034, 2035–2049, 2070–2084, and 2085–2099) under three scenarios of RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5. The results showed a decrease in the runoff in all periods and scenarios, except for the two near periods under the RCP2.6 scenario for runoff. The predicted runoff and SSL time series also showed that the SSL values were lower than the average observation period, except for 2036–2039 (up to an 8% increase in 2038).

scholarly journals Prediction of Suspended Sediment Load Using Data-Driven Models

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 2060 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adnan ◽  
Liang ◽  
El-Shafie ◽  
Zounemat-Kermani ◽  
Kisi
Keyword(s):  
Suspended Sediment ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Sediment Load ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Resource Planning ◽  
Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines ◽  
Suspended Sediment Load ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Daily Streamflow ◽  
Neural Fuzzy

Estimation of suspended sediments carried by natural rivers is essential for projects related to water resource planning and management. This study proposes a dynamic evolving neural fuzzy inference system (DENFIS) as an alternative tool to estimate the suspended sediment load based on previous values of streamflow and sediment. Several input scenarios of daily streamflow and suspended sediment load measured at two locations of China—Guangyuan and Beibei—were tried to assess the ability of this new method and its results were compared with those of the other two common methods, adaptive neural fuzzy inference system with fuzzy c-means clustering (ANFIS-FCM) and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) based on three commonly utilized statistical indices, root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). The data period covers 01/04/2007–12/31/2015 for the both stations. A comparison of the methods indicated that the DENFIS-based models improved the accuracy of the ANFIS-FCM and MARS-based models with respect to RMSE by 33% (32%) and 31% (36%) for the Guangyuan (Beibei) station, respectively. The NSE accuracy for ANFIS-FCM and MARS-based models were increased by 4% (36%) and 15% (19%) using DENFIS for the Guangyuan (Beibei) station, respectively. It was found that the suspended sediment load can be accurately estimated by DENFIS-based models using only previous streamflow data.

scholarly journals Investigation on the Potential to Integrate Different Artificial Intelligence Models with Metaheuristic Algorithms for Improving River Suspended Sediment Predictions

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (19) ◽  
pp. 4149 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ehteram ◽  
Ghotbi ◽  
Kisi ◽  
Najah Ahmed ◽  
Hayder ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Uncertainty Analysis ◽  
Suspended Sediment ◽  
Sediment Load ◽  
Bat Algorithm ◽  
Suspended Sediment Load ◽  
Feed Forward Neural Network ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Intelligence Models ◽  
Reliable Performance ◽  
Artificial Intelligence Models

Suspended sediment load (SLL) prediction is a significant field in hydrology and hydraulic sciences, as sedimentation processes change the soil quality. Although the adaptive neuro fuzzy system (ANFIS) and multilayer feed-forward neural network (MFNN) have been widely used to simulate hydrological variables, improving the accuracy of the above models is an important issue for hydrologists. In this article, the ANFIS and MFNN models were improved by the bat algorithm (BA) and weed algorithm (WA). Thus, the current paper introduces improved ANFIS and MFNN models: ANFIS–BA, ANFIS–WA, MFNN–BA, and MFNN–WA. The models were validated by applying river discharge, rainfall, and monthly suspended sediment load (SSL) for the Atrek basin in Iran. In addition, seven input groups were used to predict monthly SSL. The best models were identified through root-mean-square error (RMSE), Nash–Sutcliff efficiency (NSE), standard deviation ratio (RSR), percent bias (PBIAS) indices, and uncertainty analysis. For the ANFIS–BA model, RMSE and RSR varied from 1.5 to 2.5 ton/d and from 5% to 25%, respectively. In addition, a variation range of NSE was between very good and good performance (0. 75 to 0.85 and 0.85 to 1). The uncertainty analysis showed that the ANFIS–BA had more reliable performance compared to other models. Thus, the ANFIS–BA model has high potential for predicting SSL.

scholarly journals Evaluation of different data management scenarios for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration

2013 ◽  
Vol 44 (6) ◽  
pp. 1058-1070 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jalal Shiri ◽  
Ali Ashraf Sadraddini ◽  
Amir Hossein Nazemi ◽  
Ozgur Kisi ◽  
Pau Marti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Data Management ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Gene Expression Programming ◽  
Local Data ◽  
Management Scenarios ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Pooled Data ◽  
Temperature Radiation ◽  
Better Than

Temperature and solar radiation-based modeling procedures are reported in this study for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration (ET0) by using gene expression programming (GEP) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). A comparison is also made among these techniques and the corresponding traditional temperature/radiation-based ET0 estimation equations. Two data management scenarios were evaluated for estimating ET0: (1) the models were trained and tested using the local data of each studied weather station; and (2) the models were trained using the pooled data from all the stations and tested in each individual station. The GEP and ANFIS models were found to be better than the Hargreaves–Samani, Makkink and Turc ET0 equations in the first scenario. Comparison of GEP and ANFIS models trained with pooled data and tested for each station showed that the ANFIS models generally performed better than the GEP models. However, the comparison of GEP and ANFIS models trained and tested with pooled data revealed that the GEP models performed better than the ANFIS models in the second scenario.

scholarly journals Comparison of neural networks and neuro-fuzzy computing techniques for prediction of peak breach outflow

2016 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 724-740 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hasan G. Elmazoghi ◽  
Vail Karakale (Waiel Mowrtage) ◽  
Lubna S. Bentaher
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Gene Expression Programming ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Embankment Dams ◽  
Small Dams ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

Accurate prediction of peak outflows from breached embankment dams is a key parameter in dam risk assessment. In this study, efficient models were developed to predict peak breach outflows utilizing artificial neural network (ANN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). Historical data from 93 embankment dam failures were used to train and evaluate the applicability of these models. Two scenarios were applied with each model by either considering the whole data set without classification or classifying the set into small dams (48 dams) and large dams (45 dams). In this way, nine models were developed and their results were compared to each other and to the results of the best available regression equations and recent gene expression programming. Among the different models, the ANFIS model of the first scenario exhibited better performance based on its higher efficiency (E = 0.98), higher coefficient of determination (R2 = 0.98) and lower mean absolute error (MAE = 840.9). Moreover, models based on classified data enhanced the prediction of peak outflows particularly for small dams. Finally, this study indicated the potential of the developed ANFIS and ANN models to be used as predictive tools of peak outflow rates of embankment dams.

Understanding watershed suspended sediment transport

2008 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 243-263 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Gao
Keyword(s):  
Sediment Transport ◽  
Suspended Sediment ◽  
Sediment Load ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
Suspended Sediment Transport ◽  
Suspended Sediment Load ◽  
Watershed Scale ◽  
Rating Curve ◽  
Sediment Rating Curve ◽  
Sediment Monitoring

Suspended sediment at the watershed scale has played a critical role in sediment pollution, water-quality degradation, and the impairment of riparian ecosystems, and thus has been widely studied in many disciplines. This paper synthesizes a variety of methods adopted in suspended sediment monitoring, estimation and modelling for understanding sediment transport processes and determining the suspended sediment load. Methods for sediment monitoring are described in terms of direct and indirect approaches. Estimation of suspended sediment load is commonly achieved by establishing a sediment rating curve. Different approaches toward the establishment of a sediment rating curve are examined thoroughly. Techniques of sediment modelling are summarized via depiction of various hydrological and sediment models at the watershed scale. The paper ends with the discussion of future developments in suspended sediment studies at the watershed scale.

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