scholarly journals Study of an evaluation method for water resources carrying capacity based on the projection pursuit technique

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (5) ◽  
pp. 1306-1315
Author(s):  
Hongbo Liu ◽  
Yunfeng Liu ◽  
Lingjun Li ◽  
Hongxia Gao

It is of great significance to establish a scientific and reasonable water resources carrying capacity evaluation system and evaluation method on the basis of studying the interdependence and mutual relations of water resources, society, economy and the ecological environment. This can guide water resources utilization and economic and social development planning, and promote the sustainable development of water resources and the socio-economic system. Projection pursuit technology can achieve automatic index selection and index weight confirmation. When used to assess water resources carrying capacity, the subjectivity and uncertainty of index weights can be avoided. Meanwhile, it can also be used to optimize the index system, and can improve the accuracy of evaluation results and discrimination. In this paper, the projection pursuit grade model of water resources carrying capacity is established. The evaluation criteria are determined by combining the theory with practice. Grades I to IV indicate that the water resources capacity declines gradually. This is the first study of water resources carrying capacity in four municipalities in China. The results show that the water resources carrying capacity of the four municipalities in 2012 belong to the third level, Chongqing is close to the second level and Tianjin is close to the fourth level.

2018 ◽  
Vol 246 ◽  
pp. 02022
Author(s):  
Jing Qin ◽  
Zhi-wang Wu ◽  
Jie Feng ◽  
Wen-long Niu

Based on the analysis and summary of the origin and definition contents of water resources carrying capacity, this paper analyzes the applicability of water resources carrying capacity evaluation method from the view of quantity and quality of Evaluation index selection, index weight ratio, vertical and horizontal comparison of water resources carrying capacity, dynamic prediction, evaluation result form and regulation, and prospects and analyses from the perspectives of the perfections on water resources carrying capacity definition, the researches on applicable method and Its application and so on.


2013 ◽  
Vol 652-654 ◽  
pp. 1710-1716 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Wang ◽  
Yong Jun Feng ◽  
Wei Feng Chen ◽  
Fu Lin Li

It is very important that drawing up a reasonable developing and utilizing plan for water resources and ensuring the sustainable supply of water resources to the socioeconomic development of an area. So that, how to analyze and evaluate water resources carrying capacity is the key issue. In this paper, we proposed an evaluation method for water resources carrying capacity in Yellow River Delta based on projection pursuit evaluation model and particle swarm optimization. First, we regarded economy, social development, ecological environment and water resources as a compound system and established an index system including eighteen indices. Second, we chose the data in 2010 and evaluated water resources carrying capacity in Yellow River Delta utilizing projection pursuit evaluation model and particle swarm optimization. Finally, based on the evaluation above, we can draw a conclude for several areas in Yellow River Delta. The water resources carrying capacity of Dongying district and Kenli County is better and is at level II, and water resources are in week stress-free state. And that the one of Hekou district, Lijin County and Guangrao County is medium and level III, and the development of water resources and social economy is in coordination state.


2010 ◽  
Vol 113-116 ◽  
pp. 442-449 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guang Yang ◽  
Yue Jian Wang ◽  
Xin Lin He ◽  
Jun Feng Li

Because lack of water resources in Manas river basin, the water resources carrying capacity evaluation is important to the water sustainable development. In this paper, we select the main factors of the water resources carrying capacity and separate into water resources subsystem, social subsystem, economic subsystem and ecological subsystem. Then established three evaluation models to evaluate the different years of water resources carrying capacity and made the application comparison. The fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model and matter-element models are adaptable to the water carrying capacity evaluation, but the determination of weights is too subjective; The projection pursuit theory is based on the sample characteristics of their own, and without given weight of each indicator, the results is more objective. The results show that the water resources carrying capacity in Manas River basin was at V1-stage in 2000; it is at V2- stage in 2010 and V3- stage in 2020, and then the water resources carrying capacity in Manas River basin is the ideal carrying capacity status. At the same time, because of saving water technological and industry restructure adjustment, water resources carrying capacity in Manas River Basin is on a benign trend. At last, some measures of improving the water resource carrying capacity were put forward.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Lili Wan ◽  
Qiuping Peng ◽  
Tianci Zhang ◽  
Zhan Wang ◽  
Yong Tian

In order to clarify the comprehensive operational capabilities of the airport and better plan the sustainable development mode of the airport, this paper studies the evaluation method of airport environmental carrying capacity. First, this paper proposes the concept of airport environmental carrying capacity by taking into account the complex characteristics of airports affected by multiple factors and then selects 16 representative evaluation indicators to construct an indicator system based on the Driving Force-Pressure-State-Response (DPSR) framework. Finally, the accelerated genetic algorithm-projection pursuit model is established to model a comprehensive evaluation index, which is used to calculate the airport environmental carrying capacity (AECC). The results of the case study show that the AECC of Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (CAN) decreased year by year from 2008 to 2017, which is in line with the coordinated development level of CAN. By analysing the changing mechanism of AECC and indicators, we get 6 key influencing indicators that led to the continuous decline of AECC and put forward some political suggestions to improve the AECC.


2014 ◽  
Vol 501-504 ◽  
pp. 2040-2044 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guan Yu Hou ◽  
De Shan Tang

China is a water resource-poor country, in recent years, rapid population growth resulting in water issues have become increasingly prominent. Taking Anhui Province as an example, using fuzzy synthetic evaluation method and combining the analytic hierarchy process evaluation analysis of water resources carrying capacity. Firstly, establishing the evaluation criteria of the index system of regional water resources carrying capacity and individual indicators, calculating evaluation index weight,establishing the weight fuzzy matrix, using Vague set and analytic hierarchy process method to determine the weight vector.Secondly, compositing a fuzzy matrix of weight values after obtaining the value of the weights of the various indicators, calculating the degree of membership, establishing the fuzzy relation matrix, fuzzy subset into a comprehensive evaluation model, and seeking the comprehensive evaluation value .Finally, determining the level of sustainable use of water resources in the specific area based on the principle of maximum degree of membership . After the evaluation are analyzed and compared in order to elaborate the evaluation method is feasible and effective.


Author(s):  
Yanqiu Wang ◽  
Xiaorong Huang ◽  
Linyun Gao ◽  
Biying Guo ◽  
Kai Ma

Abstract. Water resources are not only basic natural resources, but also strategic economic resources and ecological control factors. Water resources carrying capacity constrains the sustainable development of regional economy and society. Studies of water resources carrying capacity can provide helpful information about how the socioeconomic system is both supported and restrained by the water resources system. Based on the research of different scholars, major problems in the study of water resources carrying capacity were summarized as follows: the definition of water resources carrying capacity is not yet unified; the methods of carrying capacity quantification based on the definition of inconsistency are poor in operability; the current quantitative research methods of water resources carrying capacity did not fully reflect the principles of sustainable development; it is difficult to quantify the relationship among the water resources, economic society and ecological environment. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a better quantitative evaluation method to determine the regional water resources carrying capacity. This paper proposes a new approach to quantifying water resources carrying capacity (that is, through the compilation of the water resources balance sheet) to get a grasp of the regional water resources depletion and water environmental degradation (as well as regional water resources stock assets and liabilities), figure out the squeeze of socioeconomic activities on the environment, and discuss the quantitative calculation methods and technical route of water resources carrying capacity which are able to embody the substance of sustainable development.


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 796-805 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Bo ◽  
Wu Qiang ◽  
Chen Li-xia

The uneven temporal and spatial distributions and the unreasonable development and utilization of water resources have caused increasingly severe water resources shortage around the world. Studying on regional water carrying capacity is beneficial for the optimal management of water resources, and can provide assistance for the sustainable utilization of water resources. The typical karst area in China – Guizhou province was applied as the research area in the paper. Meanwhile, twelve indexes were selected from three perspectives including water supply, water demand and social economy to establish the evaluation index system of regional water carrying capacity. Afterwards, the analysis hierarchy process was utilized to construct the evaluation model of regional water resources carrying capacity, so as to evaluate, compare and analyze the regional water carrying capacity in each city of Guizhou province, China. This model verified the feasibility of the evaluation method. Relevant studies can provide certain theory evidence and method support for the investigation on regional water carrying capacity.


2014 ◽  
Vol 905 ◽  
pp. 357-361
Author(s):  
Huan Huan Jia ◽  
Guang Ming Yu

The carrying capacity of water resources is one of the focuses in water resources research, and it has an important significance in measuring the effects of water resources on regional development. Wuhan City is selected as an example in this study. Eight indexes are selected to assess the carrying capacity of water resources in Wuhan City in recent three years based on the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. The results show that the degree of exploitation and utilization of water resources is relative high, and the potential of carrying capacity is relatively small. In addition, the contradiction between supply and demand of water resources is outstanding, and it tends to overload. The fundamental measures are put forward to improve water resources carrying capacity such as improving the utilization efficiency of water resources and enhancing the capacity of water saving from the perspective of promoting economic and social development


2014 ◽  
Vol 675-677 ◽  
pp. 787-793
Author(s):  
Yan Li Wang ◽  
Rui Ping Zhou ◽  
Min Zhang ◽  
Min Ning Zhao

In the construction plan of the Xi'an-Xianyang Integration, water resources carrying capacity (WRBC) plays an important role in construction planning. Establish a comprehensive evaluation model of water resources carrying capacity in Xianyang City. 10 indexes of 5 categories, which were selected the analysis of relevant indexes including socio-economic indexes, water supply and demand indicators and water quality indicators, etc., were used to composing evaluation system. Using Cluster Analysis, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Fuzzy Matrix. The sum of insecurity and less security coefficient of Xianyang City Water Resources Carrying Capacity is at about 0.7. The sum of more security and security coefficient is at about 0.3. And the safety coefficient of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Xianyang City shows increasing trend. In Xi'an-Xianyang integration, through economic development, focusing on the construction of water and water pollution control, water resources carrying capacity is expected to increase in Xianyang City.


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