scholarly journals Prediction of groundwater flow in shallow aquifers using artificial neural networks in the northern basins of Algeria

Author(s):  
N. Guezgouz ◽  
D. Boutoutaou ◽  
A. Hani

Abstract Prediction of groundwater flow fluctuations is considered an important step in understanding groundwater systems at this scale and facilitating sustainable groundwater management. The objective of this study is to determine the factors that influence and control groundwater flow fluctuations in a specific geomorphologic situation, by developing a forecasting model and examining its potential for predicting groundwater flow using limited data. Models for prediction of groundwater flow are developed based on artificial neural networks (ANNs). Neural networks with different numbers of hidden layer neurons were developed using climatic and geomorphological characteristics as input variables, giving predicted groundwater flow as the output. To evaluate enhanced performance models, several regression statistical parameters are compared. As an example, relative mean square error in groundwater flow prediction by ANN and correlation coefficient are 0.015 and 97%, respectively. The results of the study clearly show that ANNs can be used to predict groundwater flow in shallow aquifers of northern Algeria with reasonable accuracy even in the case of limited data.

Entropy ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (7) ◽  
pp. 689 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arianna Parrales ◽  
José Hernández-Pérez ◽  
Oliver Flores ◽  
Horacio Hernandez ◽  
José Gómez-Aguilar ◽  
...  

In this study, two empirical correlations of the Nusselt number, based on two artificial neural networks (ANN), were developed to determine the heat transfer coefficients for each section of a vertical helical double-pipe evaporator with water as the working fluid. Each ANN was obtained using an experimental database of 1109 values obtained from an evaporator coupled to an absorption heat transformer with energy recycling. The Nusselt number in the annular section was estimated based on the modified Wilson plot method solved by an ANN. This model included the Reynolds and Prandtl numbers as input variables and three neurons in their hidden layer. The Nusselt number in the inner section was estimated based on the Rohsenow equation, solved by an ANN. This ANN model included the numbers of the Prandtl and Jackob liquids as input variables and one neuron in their hidden layer. The coefficients of determination were R 2 > 0.99 for both models. Both ANN models satisfied the dimensionless condition of the Nusselt number. The Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm was chosen to determine the optimum values of the weights and biases. The transfer functions used for the learning process were the hyperbolic tangent sigmoid in the hidden layer and the linear function in the output layer. The Nusselt numbers, determined by the ANNs, proved adequate to predict the values of the heat transfer coefficients of a vertical helical double-pipe evaporator that considered biphasic flow with an accuracy of ±0.2 for the annular Nusselt and ±4 for the inner Nusselt.


2019 ◽  
Vol 113 (1) ◽  
pp. 50-54
Author(s):  
Daiane das Graças Carmo ◽  
Elizeu de Sá Farias ◽  
Thiago Leandro Costa ◽  
Elenir Aparecida Queiroz ◽  
Moysés Nascimento ◽  
...  

Abstract Blaptostethus pallescens Poppius is an important predator of vegetable pests in tropical regions. The correct identification of the stages of the life cycle of predatory species is crucial, since different stages may present different rates of pest consumption. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are computational tools with a structure based on the human brain. With applications in several fields, ANNs have been applied in pest management for identification of pest species, spatial distribution modeling, and insect forecasting. The objective of this study was to apply ANNs as a method for the instar determination of B. pallescens using three morphometric measures (head width, body width, and body length). Cluster analysis was performed to categorize the insects in instars according to the morphometric variables. Subsequently, the ANNs were trained for instar determination using the morphometric measures as input variables. The ANNs tested (with 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, and 12 hidden neurons) provided proper data fitting (R2 > 98%). However, due to the parsimony principle, the network with hidden layer size 6 was selected. This study shows the successful application of ANNs in the instar determination of B. pallescens, which would not be possible using classical methods.


2015 ◽  
Vol 781 ◽  
pp. 628-631 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rati Wongsathan ◽  
Issaravuth Seedadan ◽  
Metawat Kavilkrue

A mathematical prediction model has been developed in order to detect particles with a diameter of 10 micrometers or less (PM-10) that are responsible for adverse health effects because of their ability to cause serious respiratory conditions in areas of high pollution such as Chiang Mai City moat area. The prediction model is based on 3 types of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), including Multi-layer perceptron (MLP-NN), Radial basis function (RBF-NN), and hybrid of RBF and Genetic algorithm (RBF-NN-GA). The model uses 8 input variables to predict PM-10, consisting of 4 air pollution substances ( CO, O3, NO2 and SO2) and 4 meteorological variables related PM-10 (wind speed, temperature, atmospheric pressure and relative humidity). These 3 types of ANN have proved efficient instrument in predicting the PM-10. However, the performance of RBF-NN was superior in comparison with MLP-NN and RBF-NN-GA respectively.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 2332
Author(s):  
Cecilia Martinez-Castillo ◽  
Gonzalo Astray ◽  
Juan Carlos Mejuto

Different prediction models (multiple linear regression, vector support machines, artificial neural networks and random forests) are applied to model the monthly global irradiation (MGI) from different input variables (latitude, longitude and altitude of meteorological station, month, average temperatures, among others) of different areas of Galicia (Spain). The models were trained, validated and queried using data from three stations, and each best model was checked in two independent stations. The results obtained confirmed that the best methodology is the ANN model which presents the lowest RMSE value in the validation and querying phases 1226 kJ/(m2∙day) and 1136 kJ/(m2∙day), respectively, and predict conveniently for independent stations, 2013 kJ/(m2∙day) and 2094 kJ/(m2∙day), respectively. Given the good results obtained, it is convenient to continue with the design of artificial neural networks applied to the analysis of monthly global irradiation.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (5) ◽  
pp. 1770
Author(s):  
Javier González-Enrique ◽  
Juan Jesús Ruiz-Aguilar ◽  
José Antonio Moscoso-López ◽  
Daniel Urda ◽  
Lipika Deka ◽  
...  

This study aims to produce accurate predictions of the NO2 concentrations at a specific station of a monitoring network located in the Bay of Algeciras (Spain). Artificial neural networks (ANNs) and sequence-to-sequence long short-term memory networks (LSTMs) were used to create the forecasting models. Additionally, a new prediction method was proposed combining LSTMs using a rolling window scheme with a cross-validation procedure for time series (LSTM-CVT). Two different strategies were followed regarding the input variables: using NO2 from the station or employing NO2 and other pollutants data from any station of the network plus meteorological variables. The ANN and LSTM-CVT exogenous models used lagged datasets of different window sizes. Several feature ranking methods were used to select the top lagged variables and include them in the final exogenous datasets. Prediction horizons of t + 1, t + 4 and t + 8 were employed. The exogenous variables inclusion enhanced the model’s performance, especially for t + 4 (ρ ≈ 0.68 to ρ ≈ 0.74) and t + 8 (ρ ≈ 0.59 to ρ ≈ 0.66). The proposed LSTM-CVT method delivered promising results as the best performing models per prediction horizon employed this new methodology. Additionally, per each parameter combination, it obtained lower error values than ANNs in 85% of the cases.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 469
Author(s):  
I Gusti Ngurah Alit Indrawan ◽  
I Made Widiartha

Artificial Neural Networks or commonly abbreviated as ANN is one branch of science from the field of artificial intelligence which is often used to solve various problems in fields that involve grouping and pattern recognition. This research aims to classify Letter Recognition datasets using Artificial Neural Networks which are weighted optimally using the Artificial Bee Colony algorithm. The best classification accuracy results from this study were 92.85% using a combination of 4 hidden layers with each hidden layer containing 10 neurons.


Author(s):  
Yevgeniy Bodyanskiy ◽  
Olena Vynokurova ◽  
Oleksii Tyshchenko

This work is devoted to synthesis of adaptive hybrid systems based on the Computational Intelligence (CI) methods (especially artificial neural networks (ANNs)) and the Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) ideas to get new qualitative results in Data Mining, Intelligent Control and other scientific areas. The GMDH-artificial neural networks (GMDH-ANNs) are currently well-known. Their nodes are two-input N-Adalines. On the other hand, these ANNs can require a considerable number of hidden layers for a necessary approximation quality. Introduced Q-neurons can provide a higher quality using the quadratic approximation. Their main advantage is a high learning rate. Universal approximating properties of the GMDH-ANNs can be achieved with the help of compartmental R-neurons representing a two-input RBFN with the grid partitioning of the input variables' space. An adjustment procedure of synaptic weights as well as both centers and receptive fields is provided. At the same time, Epanechnikov kernels (their derivatives are linear to adjusted parameters) can be used instead of conventional Gauss functions in order to increase a learning process rate. More complex tasks deal with stochastic time series processing. This kind of tasks can be solved with the help of the introduced adaptive W-neurons (wavelets). Learning algorithms are characterized by both tracking and smoothing properties based on the quadratic learning criterion. Robust algorithms which eliminate an influence of abnormal outliers on the learning process are introduced too. Theoretical results are illustrated by multiple experiments that confirm the proposed approach's effectiveness.


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