scholarly journals Statistical analysis of rainfall and streamflow time series in the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 258-273 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tibebe B. Tigabu ◽  
Georg Hörmann ◽  
Paul D. Wagner ◽  
Nicola Fohrer
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Lake Tana ◽  
Agricultural Water Management ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
Rainfall Variation ◽  
Sample Data

Abstract This research focuses on the statistical analyses of hydrometeorological time series in the basin of Lake Tana, the largest freshwater lake in Ethiopia. We used autocorrelation, cross-correlation, Mann–Kendall, and Tukey multiple mean comparison tests to understand the spatiotemporal variation of the hydrometeorological data in the period from 1960 to 2015. Our results show that mean annual streamflow and the lake water level are varying significantly from decade to decade, whereas the mean annual rainfall variation is not significant. The decadal mean of the lake outflow and the lake water level decreased between the 1990s and 2000s by 11.34 m3/s and 0.35 m, respectively. The autocorrelation for both rainfall and streamflow were significantly different from zero, indicating that the sample data are non-random. Changes in streamflow and lake water level are linked to land use changes. Improvements in agricultural water management could contribute to mitigate the decreasing trends.

scholarly journals Stochastic modeling of Lake Van water level time series with jumps and multiple trends

2013 ◽  
Vol 17 (6) ◽  
pp. 2297-2303 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Aksoy ◽  
N. E. Unal ◽  
E. Eris ◽  
M. I. Yuce
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Linear Trend ◽  
Lake Van ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
Trend Model ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Water Level Data ◽  
Surrounding Areas

Abstract. In the 1990s, water level in the closed-basin Lake Van located in the Eastern Anatolia, Turkey, has risen up about 2 m. Analysis of the hydrometeorological data shows that change in the water level is related to the water budget of the lake. In this study, stochastic models are proposed for simulating monthly water level data. Two models considering mono- and multiple-trend time series are developed. The models are derived after removal of trend and periodicity in the dataset. Trend observed in the lake water level time series is fitted by mono- and multiple-trend lines. In the so-called mono-trend model, the time series is treated as a whole under the hypothesis that the lake water level has an increasing trend. In the second model (so-called multiple-trend), the time series is divided into a number of segments to each a linear trend can be fitted separately. Application on the lake water level data shows that four segments, each fitted with a trend line, are meaningful. Both the mono- and multiple-trend models are used for simulation of synthetic lake water level time series under the hypothesis that the observed mono- and multiple-trend structure of the lake water level persist during the simulation period. The multiple-trend model is found better for planning the future infrastructural projects in surrounding areas of the lake as it generates higher maxima for the simulated lake water level.

scholarly journals Investigating the effect of hydroclimatological variables on Urmia Lake water level using wavelet coherence measure

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vahid Nourani ◽  
Mahsa Ghasemzade ◽  
Ali Danande Mehr ◽  
Elnaz Sharghi
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Geographical Location ◽  
Urmia Lake ◽  
Wavelet Coherence ◽  
Water Level Fluctuations ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
North West ◽  
North East

Abstract In this paper, wavelet transform coherence is implemented to examine the impacts of hydroclimatological variables on water level fluctuations in two large saline lakes in the Middle East with a similar geographical location, namely, Urmia Lake in north-west Iran, which has an extremely simple ecological pyramid where water level decrease produces a very sensitive ecosystem, and Van Lake in north-east Turkey. The present study investigates trends in higher order moments of hydrological time series. The aim of this paper is to investigate the complexity of Urmia Lake water level time series which could lead to decrease fluctuations of time series. To this end, the strength and relationships between five hydroclimatological variables, including rainfall, runoff, temperature, relative humidity, as well as evaporation and water level fluctuations in the lakes were determined and discussed in terms of high common power region, phase relationships, and local multi-scale correlations. The results showed that among the hydroclimatological variables, runoff has the most coherencies (0.9–1) with water level fluctuations in the lakes. Although both lakes are located in a similar climatic region, for the recent 15 years, adverse trend in water level fluctuations of Urmia Lake indicates a critical condition for this lake.

Lake water level modeling using newly developed hybrid data intelligence model

2020 ◽  
Vol 141 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 1285-1300 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zaher Mundher Yaseen ◽  
Shabnam Naghshara ◽  
Sinan Q. Salih ◽  
Sungwon Kim ◽  
Anurag Malik ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
Hybrid Data

Groundwater level assessment and prediction in the Nebraska Sand Hills using LIDAR-derived lake water level

2021 ◽  
pp. 126582
Author(s):  
Nawaraj Shrestha ◽  
Aaron Mittelstet ◽  
Aaron R. Young ◽  
Troy E. Gilmore ◽  
David C. Gosselin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Groundwater Level ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
Nebraska Sand Hills ◽  
Sand Hills

scholarly journals Evaluation of historic and operational satellite radar altimetry missions for constructing consistent long-term lake water level records

2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 1643-1670
Author(s):  
Song Shu ◽  
Hongxing Liu ◽  
Richard A. Beck ◽  
Frédéric Frappart ◽  
Johanna Korhonen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Small Lakes ◽  
Radar Altimetry ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
Systematic Biases ◽  
Data Missing ◽  
Satellite Radar ◽  
Satellite Radar Altimetry

Abstract. A total of 13 satellite missions have been launched since 1985, with different types of radar altimeters on board. This study intends to make a comprehensive evaluation of historic and currently operational satellite radar altimetry missions for lake water level retrieval over the same set of lakes and to develop a strategy for constructing consistent long-term water level records for inland lakes at global scale. The lake water level estimates produced by different retracking algorithms (retrackers) of the satellite missions were compared with the gauge measurements over 12 lakes in four countries. The performance of each retracker was assessed in terms of the data missing rate, the correlation coefficient r, the bias, and the root mean square error (RMSE) between the altimetry-derived lake water level estimates and the concurrent gauge measurements. The results show that the model-free retrackers (e.g., OCOG/Ice-1/Ice) outperform the model-based retrackers for most of the missions, particularly over small lakes. Among the satellite altimetry missions, Sentinel-3 gave the best results, followed by SARAL. ENVISAT has slightly better lake water level estimates than Jason-1 and Jason-2, but its data missing rate is higher. For small lakes, ERS-1 and ERS-2 missions provided more accurate lake water level estimates than the TOPEX/Poseidon mission. In contrast, for large lakes, TOPEX/Poseidon is a better option due to its lower data missing rate and shorter repeat cycle. GeoSat and GeoSat Follow-On (GFO) both have an extremely high data missing rate of lake water level estimates. Although several contemporary radar altimetry missions provide more accurate lake level estimates than GFO, GeoSat was the sole radar altimetry mission, between 1985 and 1990, that provided the lake water level estimates. With a full consideration of the performance and the operational duration, the best strategy for constructing long-term lake water level records should be a two-step bias correction and normalization procedure. In the first step, use Jason-2 as the initial reference to estimate the systematic biases with TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, and Jason-3 and then normalize them to form a consistent TOPEX/Poseidon–Jason series. Then, use the TOPEX/Poseidon–Jason series as the reference to estimate and remove systematic biases with other radar altimetry missions to construct consistent long-term lake water level series for ungauged lakes.

Lake water level response to drought in a lake-rich region explained by lake and landscape characteristics

2020 ◽  
Vol 77 (11) ◽  
pp. 1836-1845
Author(s):  
K. Martin Perales ◽  
Catherine L. Hein ◽  
Noah R. Lottig ◽  
M. Jake Vander Zanden
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Water Level Fluctuations ◽  
Lake Area ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
Landscape Characteristics ◽  
Lake Ecology ◽  
Coarse Woody Habitat

Climate change is altering hydrologic regimes, with implications for lake water levels. While lakes within lake districts experience the same climate, lakes may exhibit differential climate vulnerability regarding water level response to drought. We took advantage of a recent drought (∼2005–2010) and estimated changes in lake area, water level, and shoreline position on 47 lakes in northern Wisconsin using high-resolution orthoimagery and hypsographic curves. We developed a model predicting water level response to drought to identify characteristics of the most vulnerable lakes in the region, which indicated that low-conductivity seepage lakes found high in the landscape, with little surrounding wetland and highly permeable soils, showed the greatest water level declines. To explore potential changes in the littoral zone, we estimated coarse woody habitat (CWH) loss during the drought and found that drainage lakes lost 0.8% CWH while seepage lakes were disproportionately impacted, with a mean loss of 40% CWH. Characterizing how lakes and lake districts respond to drought will further our understanding of how climate change may alter lake ecology via water level fluctuations.

scholarly journals Bathymetry Development and Flow Analyses Using Two-Dimensional Numerical Modeling Approach for Lake Victoria

Fluids ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 182 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seema Paul ◽  
Jesper Oppelstrup ◽  
Roger Thunvik ◽  
John Mango Magero ◽  
David Ddumba Walakira ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Level ◽  
Lake Water ◽  
Lake Victoria ◽  
State Level ◽  
Linear Measurement ◽  
Two Dimensional ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Lake Water Level ◽  
Outflow Boundary Condition ◽  
Outflow Boundary

This study explored two-dimensional (2D) numerical hydrodynamic model simulations of Lake Victoria. Several methods were developed in Matlab to build the lake topography. Old depth soundings taken in smaller parts of the lake were combined with more recent extensive data to produce a smooth topographical model. The lake free surface numerical model in the COMSOL Multiphysics (CM) software was implemented using bathymetry and vertically integrated 2D shallow water equations. Validated by measurements of mean lake water level, the model predicted very low mean flow speeds and was thus close to being linear and time invariant, allowing long-time simulations with low-pass filtered inflow data. An outflow boundary condition allowed an accurate simulation to achieve the lake’s steady state level. The numerical accuracy of the linear measurement of lake water level was excellent.

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