scholarly journals A new modified nonlinear Muskingum model and its parameter estimation using the adaptive genetic algorithm

2016 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
Song Zhang ◽  
Ling Kang ◽  
Liwei Zhou ◽  
Xiaoming Guo

First, a novel nonlinear Muskingum flood routing model with a variable exponent parameter and simultaneously considering the lateral flow along the river reach (named VEP-NLMM-L) was developed in this research. Then, an improved real-coded adaptive genetic algorithm (RAGA) with elite strategy was applied for precise parameter estimation of the proposed model. The problem was formulated as a mathematical optimization procedure to minimize the sum of the squared deviations (SSQ) between the observed and the estimated outflows. Finally, the VEP-NLMM-L was validated on three watersheds with different characteristics (Case 1 to 3). Comparisons of the optimal results for the three case studies by traditional Muskingum models and the VEP-NLMM-L show that the modified Muskingum model can produce the most accurate fit to outflow data. Application results in Case 3 also indicate that the VEP-NLMM-L may be suitable for solving river flood routing problems in both model calibration and prediction stages.

10.29007/6r61 ◽  
2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazuhiro Matsumoto ◽  
Mamoru Miyamoto

A mathematical optimization procedure is presented to group multiple hydrographs into a small number of clusters for the purpose of helping to understand various runoff behaviors observed in flood events in a basin. In grouping, the hydrographs belonging to each cluster can be estimated within the specified accuracy by the corresponding parameter set. The effectiveness is demonstrated using twenty-seven hydrographs observed in nine flood events and at three water level stations in the Abe River basin in Japan. The optimization results illustrate that eight sets of parameters are necessary to estimate such hydrographs within the specified accuracy. One parameter set commonly estimates as many as seven out of twenty-seven hydrographs while some other parameter sets estimate the other hydrographs with different characteristics specific to flood events or water level stations. Most of the previous research is based on continuous optimization; however, a presenting procedure such as clustering is based on combinatorial optimization. Thus, new insight into understanding the runoff behaviors is brought by combinatorial optimization which is not often used in previous research.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. 649-656
Author(s):  
Maher Abd Ameer Kadim ◽  
Isam Issa Omran ◽  
Alaa Ali Salman Al-Taai

Flood forecasting and management are one of the most important strategies necessary for water resource and decision planners in combating flood problems. The Muskingum model is one of the most popular and widely used applications for the purpose of predicting flood routing. The particle swarm optimization (PSO) methodology was used to estimate the coefficients of the nonlinear Muskingum model in this study, comparing the results with the methods of genetic algorithm (GA), harmony search (HS), least-squares method (LSM), and Hook-Jeeves (HJ). The average monthly inflow for the Tigris River upstream at the Al-Mosul dam was selected as a case study for estimating the Muskingum model's parameters. The analytical and statistical results showed that the PSO method is the best application and corresponds to the results of the Muskingum model, followed by the genetic algorithm method, according to the following general descending sequence: PSO, GA, LSM, HJ, HS. The PSO method is characterized by its accurate results and does not require many assumptions and conditions for its application, which facilitates its use a lot in the subject of hydrology. Therefore, it is better to recommend further research in the use of this method in the implementation of future studies and applications.


Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 1415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tao Bai ◽  
Jian Wei ◽  
Wangwang Yang ◽  
Qiang Huang

In order to overcome the problems in the parameter estimation of the Muskingum model, this paper introduces a new swarm intelligence optimization algorithm—Wolf Pack Algorithm (WPA). A new multi-objective function is designed by considering the weighted sum of absolute difference (SAD) and determination coefficient of the flood process. The WPA, its solving steps of calibration, and the model parameters are designed emphatically based on the basic principle of the algorithm. The performance of this algorithm is compared to the Trial Algorithm (TA) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). Results of the application of these approaches with actual data from the downstream of Ankang River in Hanjiang River indicate that the WPA has a higher precision than other techniques and, thus, the WPA is an efficient alternative technique to estimate the parameters of the Muskingum model. The research results provide a new method for the parameter estimation of the Muskingum model, which is of great practical significance to improving the accuracy of river channel flood routing.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dawei Gao ◽  
Haotian Liang ◽  
Guijie Shi ◽  
Liqin Cao

Genetic algorithm (GA) is a common optimization technique that has two fatal limitations: low convergence speed and premature convergence to the local optimum. As an effective method to solve these drawbacks, an adaptive genetic algorithm (AGA) considering adaptive crossover and mutation operators is proposed in this paper. Verified by two test functions, AGA shows higher convergence speed and stronger ability to search the global optimal solutions than GA. To meet the crashworthiness and lightweight demands of automotive bumper design, CFRP material is employed in the bumper beam instead of traditional aluminum. Then, a multiobjective optimization procedure incorporating AGA and the Kriging surrogate model is developed to find the optimal stacking angle sequence of CFRP. Compared with the conventional aluminum bumper, the optimized CFRP bumper exhibits better crashworthiness and achieves 43.19% weight reduction.


2016 ◽  
Vol 48 (5) ◽  
pp. 1253-1267 ◽  
Author(s):  
Majid Niazkar ◽  
Seied Hosein Afzali

Although various techniques have been proposed to estimate the parameters of different versions of the Muskingum model, more rigorous techniques and models are still required to improve the computational precision of the calibration process. In this research, a new hybrid technique was proposed for Muskingum parameter estimation. Based on the conducted comprehensive literature review on the Muskingum flood routing models, a new improved Muskingum model with nine constant parameters was presented. Since the inflow-weighted parameter in the proposed model is a function of inflow hydrograph, it varies during the flood period and consequently can also be considered as a variable-parameter Muskingum model. The new hybrid technique was successfully applied for parameter estimation of the new version of Muskingum model for two case studies selected from the literature. Results were compared with those of other methods using several common performance evaluation criteria. The new Muskingum model significantly reduces the sum of the square of the deviations between the observed and routed outflows (SSQ) value for the double-peak case study. Finally, the obtained results indicate that not only the hybrid modified honey bee mating optimization-generalized reduced gradient algorithm somehow overcomes the shortcomings of both zero and first-order optimization techniques, but also the new Muskingum model appears to be the most reliable Muskingum version compared with the other methods considered in this study.


TAPPI Journal ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 119-129 ◽  
Author(s):  
VILJAMI MAAKALA ◽  
PASI MIIKKULAINEN

Capacities of the largest new recovery boilers are steadily rising, and there is every reason to expect this trend to continue. However, the furnace designs for these large boilers have not been optimized and, in general, are based on semiheuristic rules and experience with smaller boilers. We present a multiobjective optimization code suitable for diverse optimization tasks and use it to dimension a high-capacity recovery boiler furnace. The objective was to find the furnace dimensions (width, depth, and height) that optimize eight performance criteria while satisfying additional inequality constraints. The optimization procedure was carried out in a fully automatic manner by means of the code, which is based on a genetic algorithm optimization method and a radial basis function network surrogate model. The code was coupled with a recovery boiler furnace computational fluid dynamics model that was used to obtain performance information on the individual furnace designs considered. The optimization code found numerous furnace geometries that deliver better performance than the base design, which was taken as a starting point. We propose one of these as a better design for the high-capacity recovery boiler. In particular, the proposed design reduces the number of liquor particles landing on the walls by 37%, the average carbon monoxide (CO) content at nose level by 81%, and the regions of high CO content at nose level by 78% from the values obtained with the base design. We show that optimizing the furnace design can significantly improve recovery boiler performance.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document