scholarly journals Time series modeling of biochemical oxygen demand at the upstream catchment of Feitsui Reservoir, Taiwan

2016 ◽  
Vol 47 (5) ◽  
pp. 1069-1085 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yung-Chia Chiu ◽  
Chih-Wei Chiang ◽  
Tsung-Yu Lee

The adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) has been proposed to model the time series of water quality data in this study. The biochemical oxygen demand data collected at the upstream catchment of Feitsui Reservoir in Taiwan for more than 20 years are selected as the target water quality variable. The classical statistical technique of the Box-Jenkins method is applied for the selection of appropriate input variables and data pre-processing of using differencing is implemented during the model development. The time series data obtained by ANFIS models are compared to those obtained by autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and artificial neural networks (ANNs). The results show that the ANFIS model identified at each sampling station is superior to the respective ARIMA and ANN models. The R values at all sampling stations of the training and testing datasets are 0.83–0.98 and 0.81–0.89, respectively, except at Huang-ju-pi-liao station. ANFIS models can provide accurate predictions for complex hydrological processes, and can be extended to other areas to improve the understanding of river pollution trends. The procedure of input selection and the pre-processing of input data proposed in this study can stimulate the usage of ANFIS in other related studies.

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sri Aditya ◽  
Dasapta Erwin Irawan

Complete file thesis is available on Overleaf platform https://www.overleaf.com/read/wqqfskwyhjyk data while all data and R codes are available on Github https://github.com/dasaptaerwin/Pola-dan-distribusi-temperatur-dan-TDS-air-sungai-di-Bandung << Bahasa Indonesia >> Variasi harian data kualitas air dapat dianalisis untuk mengetahui proses yang terjadi pada air sungai itu sendiri juga interaksinya dengan air tanah, khusus pada zona hyporheic. Observasi dilakukan di tiga lokasi anak Sungai Cikapundung di tahun 2017 (periode Maret-November 2017). Pengukuran dilakukan pada tiga lokasi di DAS S. Cikapundung (diurutkan dari utara-selatan): S. Ciawitali lokasi Curug Panganten (CP) dan Grand Royal Pancanaka (GRP), S. Cibeureum lokasi Pondok Hijau Indah (PHI). Tata guna lahan berevolusi dari lahan terbuka berupa hutan dan lahan perkebunan/pertanian di lokasi CP dan GRP, ke perumahan di PHI. Sungai di ketiga lokasi itu menjadi muara dari saluran-saluran air yang melewati kawasan di tepi kiri dan kanannya.Pengukuran debit (meter/detik), temperatur air sungai (derajat Celcius), temperatur udara (derajat Celcius), dan TDS (total dissolved solids) (ppm). Pengukuran dilakukan dengan alat portabel merk Lutron, masing-masing dengan ketelitian 0.01 pada masing-masing satuan yang berkaitan. Pengukuran dilakukan empat kali di masing-masing lokasi: pukul 10.00, 12.00, 14.00, dan 16.00. Data kemudian dianalisis menggunakan piranti lunak open source R untuk teknik time series.Hasil pengukuran di ketiga lokasi tersebut menunjukkan variasi mingguan dan bulanan. Untuk variasi minggu, nilai TDS naik mulai hari Jumat dan turun pada hari Senin. Lokasi yang paling konsisten menunjukkan gejala ini adalah PHI. Variasi bulanan menunjukkan peningkatan di bulan Juni dan turun di bulan Juli. Pola ini terjadi di tiga lokasi tersebut. Pada titik ini, kami berpendapat bahwa pola tersebut diduga berkaitan dengan aktivitas manusia yang meningkat di akhir minggu. Untuk pola bulanan, ada indikasi bahwa peningkatan TDS bersamaan dengan liburan Lebaran 2017. Dugaan tersebut perlu diklarifikasi lebih lanjut dengan pengukuran kandungan nutrien (nitrat, nitrit, fosfat, klorin, dan sulfat) secara time series. Dari riset ini, dapat kami sampaikan bahwa data time series sangat berperan dalam analisis lingkungan, sehingga layak untuk dikembangkan. <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< In English >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Many processes can influence river water and groundwater to its current form. Daily variation of water quality data can be analyzed to understand such processes. This research mainly analyzed time series data of TDS from river water to under- stand the processes. We suspect that local drainage has a strong influence to the increasing values of TDS in the river water. We collected the data from March to November 2017 at three locations (from north to south): S. Ciawitali located at Curug Panganten (CP) and at Grand Royal Pancanaka (GRP), and S. Cibeureum located at Pondok Hijau Indah (PHI). At each locations we measured air temper- ature, river water temperature, and TDS. The measurements were conducted four times/day, 3 days/week in eight months. To support our claims, we also analyzed 310 water quality dataset that were available to classify the samples. We used open source applications, R, to produce the calculation and the plots. From the three locations, we find that TDs values on CP and PHI show a cyclic weekly pattern, with the values from PHI are averagely 20% higher than values from CP at given period. We don’t find the same pattern at GRP. The values from that location show a random pattern. Interestingly, we find an increasing trend from June to July. We argue that the cyclic pattern at CP and PHI are brought by many drainage outlets in the river bank. Such drainage collects domestic waste from housings and nearby accommodations (hotels) and tourist objects. Both locations are known as part of tourist object area at northern Bandung. GRP does not show the same situation because the TDS most likely only from the nearby GRP housing. The observation site is located at a man made channel that connect two natural channel through GRP housing complex. We argue that the TDS values at the channel capture a closed system drainage, compare to the open system at CP and PHI. Based on the multi- variable analysis, we also see a close interaction between groundwater and river water at various places in Bandung area. This phenomenon should add our under- standing on the patterns of TDS value. Such close interactions between groundwater and river water, should be the focus of the Bandung authorities. In this such close interactions, the contamination present in the river environment could come both from the river and the groundwater system. Both water have the same chance to send out man-made pollution in the environment.


1989 ◽  
Vol 40 (3) ◽  
pp. 241 ◽  
Author(s):  
DR Welsh ◽  
DB Stewart

Intervention analysis is a rigorous statistical modelling technique used to measure the effect of a shift in the mean level of a time series, caused by an intervention. A general formulation of an intervention model is applied to water-quality data for two streams in north-eastern Victoria, measuring the effect of drought on the electrical conductivity of one stream, and the effect of bushfires on the flow and turbidity of the other. The nature of the intervention is revealed using exploratory data-analysis techniques, such as smoothing and boxplots, on the time-series data. Intervention analysis is then used to confirm the identified changes and estimate their magnitude. The increased level of electrical conductivity due to drought is determined by three techniques of estimation and the results compared. The best of these techniques is then used to model changes in stream flow and turbidity following bushfires in the catchment.


2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 1175-1192 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Zhang ◽  
Ciaran J. Harman ◽  
James W. Kirchner

Abstract. River water-quality time series often exhibit fractal scaling, which here refers to autocorrelation that decays as a power law over some range of scales. Fractal scaling presents challenges to the identification of deterministic trends because (1) fractal scaling has the potential to lead to false inference about the statistical significance of trends and (2) the abundance of irregularly spaced data in water-quality monitoring networks complicates efforts to quantify fractal scaling. Traditional methods for estimating fractal scaling – in the form of spectral slope (β) or other equivalent scaling parameters (e.g., Hurst exponent) – are generally inapplicable to irregularly sampled data. Here we consider two types of estimation approaches for irregularly sampled data and evaluate their performance using synthetic time series. These time series were generated such that (1) they exhibit a wide range of prescribed fractal scaling behaviors, ranging from white noise (β  =  0) to Brown noise (β  =  2) and (2) their sampling gap intervals mimic the sampling irregularity (as quantified by both the skewness and mean of gap-interval lengths) in real water-quality data. The results suggest that none of the existing methods fully account for the effects of sampling irregularity on β estimation. First, the results illustrate the danger of using interpolation for gap filling when examining autocorrelation, as the interpolation methods consistently underestimate or overestimate β under a wide range of prescribed β values and gap distributions. Second, the widely used Lomb–Scargle spectral method also consistently underestimates β. A previously published modified form, using only the lowest 5 % of the frequencies for spectral slope estimation, has very poor precision, although the overall bias is small. Third, a recent wavelet-based method, coupled with an aliasing filter, generally has the smallest bias and root-mean-squared error among all methods for a wide range of prescribed β values and gap distributions. The aliasing method, however, does not itself account for sampling irregularity, and this introduces some bias in the result. Nonetheless, the wavelet method is recommended for estimating β in irregular time series until improved methods are developed. Finally, all methods' performances depend strongly on the sampling irregularity, highlighting that the accuracy and precision of each method are data specific. Accurately quantifying the strength of fractal scaling in irregular water-quality time series remains an unresolved challenge for the hydrologic community and for other disciplines that must grapple with irregular sampling.


Author(s):  
Nandu Giri ◽  
O. P. Singh

Detailed study was undertaken in 2008 and 2009 on assessment of water quality of River Wang Chhu which flows through Thimphu urban area, the capital city of Bhutan. The water samples were examined at upstream of urban area, within the urban area and its downstream. The water samples were analyzed by studying the physico-chemical, biological and benthic macro-invertebrates. The water quality data obtained during present study are discussed in relation to land use/land cover changes(LULC) and various ongoing human activities at upstream, within the each activity areas and it’s downstream. Analyses of satellite imagery of 1990 and 2008 using GIS revealed that over a period of eighteen years the forest, scrub and agricultural areas have decreased whereas urban area and road network have increased considerably. The forest cover, agriculture area and scrub decreased from 43.3% to 42.57%, 6.88% to 5.33% and 42.55% to 29.42%, respectively. The LULC changes effect water quality in many ways. The water temperature, pH, conductivity, total dissolved solids, turbidity, nitrate, phosphate, chloride, total coliform, and biological oxygen demand were lower at upstream and higher in urban area. On the other hand dissolved oxygen was found higher at upstream and lower in urban area. The pollution sensitive benthic macro-invertebrates population were dominant at upstream sampling sites whereas pollution tolerant benthic macro-invertebrates were found abundant in urban area and its immediate downstream. The rapid development of urban infrastructure in Thimphu city may be posing serious threats to water regime in terms of its quality. Though the deterioration of water quality is restricted to a few localized areas, the trend is serious and needs proper attention of policy planners and decision makers. Proper treatment of effluents from urban areas is urgently needed to reduce water pollution in such affected areas to check further deterioration of water quality. This present study which is based on upstream, within urban area and downstream of Thimphu city can be considered as an eye opener.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Mochamad A. Pratama ◽  
Yan D. Immanuel ◽  
Dwinanti R. Marthanty

The efficacy of a water quality management strategy highly depends on the analysis of water quality data, which must be intensively analyzed from both spatial and temporal perspectives. This study aims to analyze spatial and temporal trends in water quality in Code River in Indonesia and correlate these with land use and land cover changes over a particular period. Water quality data consisting of 15 parameters and Landsat image data taken from 2011 to 2017 were collected and analyzed. We found that the concentrations of total dissolved solid, nitrite, nitrate, and zinc had increasing trends from upstream to downstream over time, whereas concentrations of parameter biological oxygen demand, cuprum, and fecal coliform consistently undermined water quality standards. This study also found that the proportion of natural vegetation land cover had a positive correlation with the quality of Code River’s water, whereas agricultural land and built-up areas were the most sensitive to water pollution in the river. Moreover, the principal component analysis of water quality data suggested that organic matter, metals, and domestic wastewater were the most important factors for explaining the total variability of water quality in Code River. This study demonstrates the application of a GIS-based multivariate analysis to the interpretation of water quality monitoring data, which could aid watershed stakeholders in developing data-driven intervention strategies for improving the water quality in rivers and streams.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Holger Virro ◽  
Giuseppe Amatulli ◽  
Alexander Kmoch ◽  
Longzhu Shen ◽  
Evelyn Uuemaa

Abstract. A major problem related to global water quality analysis and modelling has been the lack of available good quality and consistent water quality measurement datasets with a global spatial coverage. Current study aims to contribute into improving the global datasets on water quality by aggregating and harmonizing five national, continental and global datasets: CESI, GEMSTAT, GLORICH, WATERBASE and WQP. The GRQA compilation involved converting observation data from the five sources into a common format and harmonizing the corresponding metadata, flagging outliers, calculating time series characteristics and detecting duplicate observations from sources with a spatial overlap. The final dataset extends the spatial and temporal coverage of previously available water quality data and contains 42 parameters and over 16 million measurements around the globe covering the 1898–2020 time period. Metadata in the form of statistical tables, maps and figures are provided along with observation time series. The GRQA dataset, supplementary metadata and figures are available for download on the DataCite and OpenAire enabled repository of the University of Tartu, DataDOI, http://dx.doi.org/10.23673/re-273 (Virro et al., 2021).


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Zakaullah ◽  
Naeem Ejaz

Evaluating the quality of river water is a critical process due to pollution and variations of natural or anthropogenic origin. For the Soan River (Pakistan), seven sampling sites were selected in the urban area of Rawalpindi/Islamabad, and 18 major chemical parameters were examined over two seasons, i.e., premonsoon and postmonsoon 2019. Multivariate statistical approaches such as the Spearman correlation coefficient, cluster analysis (CA), and principal component analysis (PCA) were used to evaluate the water quality of the Soan River based on temporal and spatial patterns. Analytical results obtained by PCA show that 92.46% of the total variation in the premonsoon season and 93.11% in the postmonsoon season were observed by only two loading factors in both seasons. The PCA and CA made it possible to extract and recognize the origins of the factors responsible for water quality variations during the year 2019. The sampling stations were grouped into specific clusters on the basis of the spatiotemporal pattern of water quality data. The parameters dissolved oxygen (DO), biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), chemical oxygen demand (COD), turbidity, and total suspended solids (TSS) are among the prominent contributing variations in water quality, indicating that the water quality of the Soan River deteriorates gradually as it passes through the urban areas, receiving domestic and industrial wastewater from the outfalls. This study indicates that the adopted methodology can be utilized effectively for effective river water quality management.


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