scholarly journals Can multi-objective calibration of streamflow guarantee better hydrological model accuracy?

2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 687-698 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruqiang Zhang ◽  
Junguo Liu ◽  
Hongkai Gao ◽  
Ganquan Mao

Abstract Hydrological models often require calibration. Multi-objective calibration has been more widely used than single-objective calibration. However, it has not been fully ascertained that multi-objective calibration will necessarily guarantee better model accuracy. To test whether multi-calibration was effective in comparison to single-calibration in terms of model accuracy, two strategies were tested out. For these strategies, the objective functions used included the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency and its logarithmic form, which highlight high flow and low flow, respectively. These two indexes were first used for multi-objective calibration, and then they were separately employed for single-objective calibration. To assess the calibration strategies' accuracy, the simulated streamflow was compared with observed streamflow, particularly high flow and low flow. This study was conducted in the upper stream of the Heihe River basin in northwest China using the FLEX-Topo model and MOSCEM-UA algorithm. The results show that the simulation based on the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency performed best both in modelling the dynamics and simulating the high flow of the observed streamflow. Thus, it seems that multi-objective calibration does not necessarily lead to better model accuracy. This conclusion might provide useful information for hydrologists in calibrating their models, making their simulations more reliable.

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 4684
Author(s):  
Yuntong Guo ◽  
Jingli Shao ◽  
Qiulan Zhang ◽  
Yali Cui

Qingtu Lake is located between Tengger Desert and Badain Jilin Desert, Gansu Province, Northwest China. It is the terminal lake of Shiyang River. In recent years, Qingtu lake has maintained a certain area of water surface and vegetation by artificial water conveyance. It is of great significance in preventing the convergence of the two deserts and restraining the trend of ecological deterioration of Shiyang River Basin. The relationship between the water surface area and the ecological water conveyance have not been thoroughly investigated. This study analyzed the spatial and temporal distribution of water surface area of Qingtu Lake and surrounding reeds by interpreting remote sensing data; the change of water surface area under the influence of meteorological factors and water conveyance by linear regression; the water conveyance to maintain current water surface area by water balance method, as well as the reasonable ecological water delivery in high flow year, normal flow year and low flow year by the means of analyzing the upstream inflow and water consumption in Minqin Basin. The results showed that there is a significant correlation between the water surface area of Qingtu Lake, evaporation and ecological water conveyance, and the minimum and maximum water surface areas generally appear before and after water delivery, indicating that the ecological water delivery and evaporation are the two main factors affecting the water surface area change of Qingtu Lake. The result calculated by linear regression indicated that the ecological water delivery volume to maintain current water surface area of Qingtu Lake is 3.146 × 107 m3/yr, while the value was 3.136 × 107 m3/yr calculated by water balance method. These two results are similar and can be verified with each other. Reasonable ecological water conveyance of Qingtu Lake in high flow year, normal flow year and low flow years were 4 × 107 m3/yr, 3.2 × 107 m3/yr and 2.3 × 107 m3/yr, respectively.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fuqiang Tian ◽  
Yu Sun ◽  
Hongchang Hu ◽  
Hongyi Li

Abstract. In the calibration of hydrological models, evaluation criteria are explicitly and quantitatively defined as single- or multi-objective functions when utilizing automatic calibration approaches. In most previous studies, there is a general opinion that no single-objective function can represent all of the important characteristics of even one specific kind of hydrological variable (e.g., streamflow). Thus hydrologists must turn to multi-objective calibration. In this study, we demonstrated that an optimized single-objective function can compromise multi-response modes (i.e., multi-objective functions) of the hydrograph, which is defined as summation of a power function of the absolute error between observed and simulated streamflow with the exponent of power function optimized for specific watersheds. The new objective function was applied to 196 model parameter estimation experiment (MOPEX) watersheds across the eastern United States using the semi-distributed Xinanjiang hydrological model. The optimized exponent value for each watershed was obtained by targeting four popular objective functions focusing on peak flows, low flows, water balance, and flashiness, respectively. The results showed that the optimized single-objective function can achieve a better hydrograph simulation compared to the traditional single-objective function Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient for most watersheds, and balance high flow part and low flow part of the hydrograph without substantial differences compared to multi-objective calibration. The proposed optimal single-objective function can be practically adopted in the hydrological modeling if the optimal exponent value could be determined a priori according to hydrological/climatic/landscape characteristics in a specific watershed. This is, however, left for future study.


Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 1841 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suli Pan ◽  
Li Liu ◽  
Zhixu Bai ◽  
Yue-Ping Xu

This study presents an approach that integrates remote sensing evapotranspiration into multi-objective calibration (i.e., runoff and evapotranspiration) of a fully distributed hydrological model, namely a distributed hydrology–soil–vegetation model (DHSVM). Because of the lack of a calibration module in the DHSVM, a multi-objective calibration module using ε-dominance non-dominated sorted genetic algorithm II (ε-NSGAII) and based on parallel computing of a Linux cluster for the DHSVM (εP-DHSVM) is developed. The module with DHSVM is applied to a humid river basin located in the mid-west of Zhejiang Province, east China. The results show that runoff is simulated well in single objective calibration, whereas evapotranspiration is not. By considering more variables in multi-objective calibration, DHSVM provides more reasonable simulation for both runoff (NS: 0.74% and PBIAS: 10.5%) and evapotranspiration (NS: 0.76% and PBIAS: 8.6%) and great reduction of equifinality, which illustrates the effect of remote sensing evapotranspiration integration in the calibration of hydrological models.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongyan Li ◽  
Xianfeng Ding ◽  
Jiang Lin ◽  
Jingyu Zhou

Abstract With the development of economy, more and more people travel by plane. Many airports have added satellite halls to relieve the pressure of insufficient boarding gates in airport terminals. However, the addition of satellite halls will have a certain impact on connecting flights of transit passengers and increase the difficulty of reasonable allocation of flight and gate in airports. Based on the requirements and data of question F of the 2018 postgraduate mathematical contest in modeling, this paper studies the flight-gate allocation of additional satellite halls at airports. Firstly, match the seven types of flights with the ten types of gates. Secondly, considering the number of gates used and the least number of flights not allocated to the gate, and adding the two factors of the overall tension of passengers and the minimum number of passengers who failed to transfer, the multi-objective 0–1 programming model was established. Determine the weight vector $w=(0.112,0.097,0.496,0.395)$ w = ( 0.112 , 0.097 , 0.496 , 0.395 ) of objective function by entropy value method based on personal preference, then the multi-objective 0–1 programming model is transformed into single-objective 0–1 programming model. Finally, a graph coloring algorithm based on parameter adjustment is used to solve the transformed model. The concept of time slice was used to determine the set of time conflicts of flight slots, and the vertex sequences were colored by applying the principle of “first come first serve”. Applying the model and algorithm proposed in this paper, it can be obtained that the average value of the overall tension degree of passengers minimized in question F is 35.179%, the number of flights successfully allocated to the gate maximized is 262, and the number of gates used is minimized to be 60. The corresponding flight-gate difficulty allocation weight is $\alpha =0.32$ α = 0.32 and $\beta =0.40$ β = 0.40 , and the proportion of flights successfully assigned to the gate is 86.469%. The number of passengers who failed to transfer was 642, with a failure rate of 23.337%.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florian Caillon ◽  
Katharina Besemer ◽  
Peter Peduzzi ◽  
Jakob Schelker

AbstractFlood events are now recognized as potentially important occasions for the transfer of soil microbes to stream ecosystems. Yet, little is known about these “dynamic pulses of microbial life” for stream bacterial community composition (BCC) and diversity. In this study, we explored the potential alteration of stream BCC by soil inoculation during high flow events in six pre-alpine first order streams and the larger Oberer Seebach. During 1 year, we compared variations of BCC in soil water, stream water and in benthic biofilms at different flow conditions (low to intermediate flows versus high flow). Bacterial diversity was lowest in biofilms, followed by soils and highest in headwater streams and the Oberer Seebach. In headwater streams, bacterial diversity was significantly higher during high flow, as compared to low flow (Shannon diversity: 7.6 versus 7.9 at low versus high flow, respectively, p < 0.001). Approximately 70% of the bacterial operational taxonomic units (OTUs) from streams and stream biofilms were the same as in soil water, while in the latter one third of the OTUs were specific to high flow conditions. These soil high-flow OTUs were also found in streams and biofilms at other times of the year. These results demonstrate the relevance of floods in generating short and reoccurring inoculation events for flowing waters. Moreover, they show that soil microbial inoculation during high flow enhances microbial diversity and shapes fluvial BCC even during low flow. Hence, soil microbial inoculation during floods could act as a previously overlooked driver of microbial diversity in headwater streams.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Xiang Jia ◽  
Xinfan Wang ◽  
Yuanfang Zhu ◽  
Lang Zhou ◽  
Huan Zhou

This study proposes a two-sided matching decision-making (TSMDM) approach by combining the regret theory under the intuitionistic fuzzy environment. At first, according to the Hamming distance of intuitionistic fuzzy sets and regret theory, superior and inferior flows are defined to describe the comparative preference of subjects. Hereafter, the satisfaction degrees are obtained by integrating the superior and inferior flows of the subjects. The comprehensive satisfaction degrees are calculated by aggregating the satisfaction degrees, based on which, a multi-objective TSMDM model is built. Furthermore, the multi-objective TSMDM model is converted to a single-objective model, the optimal solution of the latter is derived. Finally, an illustrative example and several analyses are provided to verify the feasibility and the effectiveness of the proposed approach.


CORROSION ◽  
1959 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 29-32
Author(s):  
M. KRULFELD ◽  
M. C. BLOOM ◽  
R. E. SEEBOLD

Abstract A method of applying the hydrogen effusion method to the measurement of corrosion rates in dynamic aqueous systems at elevated temperature and pressure is described. Data obtained in low carbon steel systems are presented, including (1) reproducibility obtained in measured hydrogen effusion rates at a flow velocity of 1 foot per second at a temperature of 600 F and 2000 psi, and (2) a quantitative comparison between the hydrogen effusion rates in static and in low flow velocity dynamic systems at this temperature and pressure. Some observations are included on corrosion rate measurements in a high flow velocity (30 feet per second) loop by the hydrogen effusion method. Implications of these measurements with regard to the comparison between high flow velocity corrosion and low flow velocity corrosion are mentioned and some data indicating high local sensitivity of the hydrogen effusion method are noted. Some possible difficulties involved in the method are pointed out. 2.3.4


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