scholarly journals Selected model fusion: an approach for improving the accuracy of monthly streamflow forecasting

2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 917-933 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fereshteh Modaresi ◽  
Shahab Araghinejad ◽  
Kumars Ebrahimi

Abstract Monthly streamflow forecasting plays an important role in water resources management, especially for dam operation. In this paper, an approach of model fusion technique named selected model fusion (SMF) is applied and assessed under two strategies of model selection in order to improve the accuracy of streamflow forecasting. The two strategies of SMF are: fusion of the outputs of best individual forecasting models (IFMs) selected by dendrogram analysis (S1), and fusion of the best outputs of all IFMs resulting from an ordered selection algorithm (S2). In both strategies, five data-driven models including: artificial neural network, generalized regression neural network, least square-support vector regression, K-nearest neighbor regression, and multiple linear regression with optimized structure are performed as IFMs. The SMF strategies are applied for forecasting the monthly inflow to Karkheh reservoir, Iran, owning various patterns between predictor and predicted variables in different months. Results show that applying SMF approach based on both strategies results in more accurate forecasts in comparison with fusion of all IFMs outputs (S3), as the benchmark. However, comparison of the two SMF strategies reveals that the implementation of strategy (S2) considerably improves the accuracy of forecasts than strategy (S1) as well as the best IFM results (S4) in all months.

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (20) ◽  
pp. 4147
Author(s):  
Mohammed M. Alquraish ◽  
Mosaad Khadr

In this study, we aimed to investigate the hydrological performance of three gridded precipitation products—CHIRPS, RFE, and TRMM3B42V7—in monthly streamflow forecasting. After statistical evaluation, two monthly streamflow forecasting models—support vector machine (SVM) and artificial neural network (ANN)—were developed using the monthly temporal resolution data derived from these products. The hydrological performance of the developed forecasting models was then evaluated using several statistical indices, including NSE, MAE, RMSE, and R2. The performance measures confirmed that the CHIRPS product has superior performance compared to RFE 2.0 and TRMM data, and it could provide reliable rainfall estimates for use as input in forecasting models. Likewise, the results of the forecasting models confirmed that the ANN and SVM both achieved acceptable levels of accuracy for forecasting streamflow; however, the ANN model was superior (R2 = 0.898–0.735) to the SVM (R2 = 0.742–0.635) in both the training and testing periods.


Author(s):  
S. Vijaya Rani ◽  
G. N. K. Suresh Babu

The illegal hackers  penetrate the servers and networks of corporate and financial institutions to gain money and extract vital information. The hacking varies from one computing system to many system. They gain access by sending malicious packets in the network through virus, worms, Trojan horses etc. The hackers scan a network through various tools and collect information of network and host. Hence it is very much essential to detect the attacks as they enter into a network. The methods  available for intrusion detection are Naive Bayes, Decision tree, Support Vector Machine, K-Nearest Neighbor, Artificial Neural Networks. A neural network consists of processing units in complex manner and able to store information and make it functional for use. It acts like human brain and takes knowledge from the environment through training and learning process. Many algorithms are available for learning process This work carry out research on analysis of malicious packets and predicting the error rate in detection of injured packets through artificial neural network algorithms.


2015 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 50-58
Author(s):  
R. Khadim ◽  
R. El Ayachi ◽  
Mohamed Fakir

This paper focuses on the recognition of 3D objects using 2D attributes. In order to increase the recognition rate, the present an hybridization of three approaches to calculate the attributes of color image, this hybridization based on the combination of Zernike moments, Gist descriptors and color descriptor (statistical moments). In the classification phase, three methods are adopted: Neural Network (NN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and k-nearest neighbor (KNN). The database COIL-100 is used in the experimental results.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jerome Asedegbega ◽  
Oladayo Ayinde ◽  
Alexander Nwakanma

Abstract Several computer-aided techniques have been developed in recent past to improve interpretational accuracy of subsurface geology. This paradigm shift has provided tremendous success in variety of Machine Learning Application domains and help for better feasibility study in reservoir evaluation using multiple classification techniques. Facies classification is an essential subsurface exploration task as sedimentary facies reflect associated physical, chemical, and biological conditions that formation unit experienced during sedimentation activity. This study however, employed formation samples for facies classification using Machine Learning (ML) techniques and classified different facies from well logs in seven (7) wells of the PORT Field, Offshore Niger Delta. Six wells were concatenated during data preparation and trained using supervised ML algorithms before validating the models by blind testing on one well log to predict discrete facies groups. The analysis started with data preparation and examination where various features of the available well data were conditioned. For the model building and performance, support vector machine, random forest, decision tree, extra tree, neural network (multilayer preceptor), k-nearest neighbor and logistic regression model were built after dividing the data sets into training, test, and blind test well data. Results of metric score for the blind test well estimated for the various models using Jaccard index and F1-score indicated 0.73 and 0.82 for support vector machine, 0.38 and 0.54 for random forest, 0.78 and 0.83 for extra tree, 0.91 and 0.95 for k-nearest neighbor, 0.41 and 0.56 for decision tree, 0.63 and 0.74 for logistic regression, 0.55 and 0.68 for neural network, respectively. The efficiency of ML techniques for enhancing the prediction accuracy and decreasing the procedure time and their approach toward the data, makes it importantly desirable to recommend them in subsurface facies classification analysis.


Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (12) ◽  
pp. 2814 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoguang Liu ◽  
Huanliang Li ◽  
Cunguang Lou ◽  
Tie Liang ◽  
Xiuling Liu ◽  
...  

Falls are the major cause of fatal and non-fatal injury among people aged more than 65 years. Due to the grave consequences of the occurrence of falls, it is necessary to conduct thorough research on falls. This paper presents a method for the study of fall detection using surface electromyography (sEMG) based on an improved dual parallel channels convolutional neural network (IDPC-CNN). The proposed IDPC-CNN model is designed to identify falls from daily activities using the spectral features of sEMG. Firstly, the classification accuracy of time domain features and spectrograms are compared using linear discriminant analysis (LDA), k-nearest neighbor (KNN) and support vector machine (SVM). Results show that spectrograms provide a richer way to extract pattern information and better classification performance. Therefore, the spectrogram features of sEMG are selected as the input of IDPC-CNN to distinguish between daily activities and falls. Finally, The IDPC-CNN is compared with SVM and three different structure CNNs under the same conditions. Experimental results show that the proposed IDPC-CNN achieves 92.55% accuracy, 95.71% sensitivity and 91.7% specificity. Overall, The IDPC-CNN is more effective than the comparison in accuracy, efficiency, training and generalization.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Renzhou Gui ◽  
Tongjie Chen ◽  
Han Nie

With the continuous development of science, more and more research results have proved that machine learning is capable of diagnosing and studying the major depressive disorder (MDD) in the brain. We propose a deep learning network with multibranch and local residual feedback, for four different types of functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data produced by depressed patients and control people under the condition of listening to positive- and negative-emotions music. We use the large convolution kernel of the same size as the correlation matrix to match the features and obtain the results of feature matching of 264 regions of interest (ROIs). Firstly, four-dimensional fMRI data are used to generate the two-dimensional correlation matrix of one person’s brain based on ROIs and then processed by the threshold value which is selected according to the characteristics of complex network and small-world network. After that, the deep learning model in this paper is compared with support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression (LR), k-nearest neighbor (kNN), a common deep neural network (DNN), and a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) for classification. Finally, we further calculate the matched ROIs from the intermediate results of our deep learning model which can help related fields further explore the pathogeny of depression patients.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4.35) ◽  
pp. 683
Author(s):  
Nuratiah Zaini ◽  
Marlinda Abdul Malek ◽  
Marina Yusoff ◽  
Siti Fatimah Che Osmi ◽  
Nurul Hani Mardi ◽  
...  

Accurate forecasting of streamflow is desired in many water resources planning and management, flood prevention and design development. In this study, the accuracy of two hybrid model, support vector machine - particle swarm optimization (SVM-PSO) and bat algorithm – backpropagation neural network (BA-BPNN) for monthly streamflow forecasting at Kuantan River located in Peninsular Malaysia are investigated and compared to regular SVM and BPNN model. Heuristic optimization namely PSO and BA are introduced to find the optimum SVM and BPNN parameters. The input parameters to the forecasting models are antecedent streamflow, historical rainfall and meteorological parameters namely evaporation, temperature, relative humidity and mean wind speed. Two performance evaluation measure, root mean square error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (R2) were employed to evaluate the performance of developed forecasting model. It is found that, RMSE and R2 for hybrid SVM-PSO are 24.8267 m3/s and 0.9651 respectively while general SVM model yields RMSE of 27.5086 m3/s and 0.9305 of R2 for testing phase. Besides that, hybrid BA-BPNN produces RMSE, 17.7579 m3/s and R2, 0.7740 while BPNN model produces lower RMSE and R2 of 28.1396 m3/s and 0.5015 respectively. Therefore, the results indicate that hybrid model, SVM-PSO and Bat-BPNN yield better performance as compared to general SVM and BPNN, respectively in streamflow forecasting.


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