scholarly journals Macro-scale grid-based and subbasin-based hydrologic modeling: joint simulation and cross-calibration

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-91 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuefeng Chu ◽  
Zhulu Lin ◽  
Mohsen Tahmasebi Nasab ◽  
Lan Zeng ◽  
Kendall Grimm ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hydrologic Modeling ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Temporal Trends ◽  
Hydrologic Model ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Joint Simulation ◽  
Macro Scale ◽  
Cross Calibration ◽  
Scale Grid ◽  
Grid Based

Abstract Watershed hydrologic models often possess different structures and distinct methods and require dissimilar types of inputs. As spatially-distributed data are becoming widely available, macro-scale modeling plays an increasingly important role in water resources management. However, calibration of a macro-scale grid-based model can be a challenge. The objective of this study is to improve macro-scale hydrologic modeling by joint simulation and cross-calibration of different models. A joint modeling framework was developed, which linked a grid-based hydrologic model (GHM) and the subbasin-based Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. Particularly, a two-step cross-calibration procedure was proposed and implemented: (1) direct calibration of the subbasin-based SWAT model using observed streamflow data; and (2) indirect calibration of the grid-based GHM through the transfer of the well-calibrated SWAT simulations to the GHM. The joint GHM-SWAT modeling framework was applied to the Red River of the North Basin (RRB). The model performance was assessed using the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) and percent bias (PBIAS). The results highlighted the feasibility of the proposed cross-calibration strategy in taking advantage of both model structures to analyze the spatial/temporal trends of hydrologic variables. The modeling approaches developed in this study can be applied to other basins for macro-scale climatic-hydrologic modeling.

scholarly journals Identifying sensitivities in flood frequency analyses using a stochastic hydrologic modeling system

2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (10) ◽  
pp. 5603-5621
Author(s):  
Andrew J. Newman ◽  
Amanda G. Stone ◽  
Manabendra Saharia ◽  
Kathleen D. Holman ◽  
Nans Addor ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hydrologic Modeling ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Hydrologic Model ◽  
Flood Frequency ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Model Structure ◽  
Structure Model ◽  
Return Periods ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Flood Generation

Abstract. This study employs a stochastic hydrologic modeling framework to evaluate the sensitivity of flood frequency analyses to different components of the hydrologic modeling chain. The major components of the stochastic hydrologic modeling chain, including model structure, model parameter estimation, initial conditions, and precipitation inputs were examined across return periods from 2 to 100 000 years at two watersheds representing different hydroclimates across the western USA. A total of 10 hydrologic model structures were configured, calibrated, and run within the Framework for Understanding Structural Errors (FUSE) modular modeling framework for each of the two watersheds. Model parameters and initial conditions were derived from long-term calibrated simulations using a 100 member historical meteorology ensemble. A stochastic event-based hydrologic modeling workflow was developed using the calibrated models in which millions of flood event simulations were performed for each basin. The analysis of variance method was then used to quantify the relative contributions of model structure, model parameters, initial conditions, and precipitation inputs to flood magnitudes for different return periods. Results demonstrate that different components of the modeling chain have different sensitivities for different return periods. Precipitation inputs contribute most to the variance of rare floods, while initial conditions are most influential for more frequent events. However, the hydrological model structure and structure–parameter interactions together play an equally important role in specific cases, depending on the basin characteristics and type of flood metric of interest. This study highlights the importance of critically assessing model underpinnings, understanding flood generation processes, and selecting appropriate hydrological models that are consistent with our understanding of flood generation processes.

scholarly journals Improved regional-scale groundwater representation by the coupling of the mesoscale Hydrologic Model (mHM v5.7) to the groundwater model OpenGeoSys (OGS)

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 1989-2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miao Jing ◽  
Falk Heße ◽  
Rohini Kumar ◽  
Wenqing Wang ◽  
Thomas Fischer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Groundwater Flow ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Hydrologic Model ◽  
Surface Fluxes ◽  
Groundwater Model ◽  
Hydrologic Models ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Groundwater Head ◽  
Grid Based

Abstract. Most large-scale hydrologic models fall short in reproducing groundwater head dynamics and simulating transport process due to their oversimplified representation of groundwater flow. In this study, we aim to extend the applicability of the mesoscale Hydrologic Model (mHM v5.7) to subsurface hydrology by coupling it with the porous media simulator OpenGeoSys (OGS). The two models are one-way coupled through model interfaces GIS2FEM and RIV2FEM, by which the grid-based fluxes of groundwater recharge and the river–groundwater exchange generated by mHM are converted to fixed-flux boundary conditions of the groundwater model OGS. Specifically, the grid-based vertical reservoirs in mHM are completely preserved for the estimation of land-surface fluxes, while OGS acts as a plug-in to the original mHM modeling framework for groundwater flow and transport modeling. The applicability of the coupled model (mHM–OGS v1.0) is evaluated by a case study in the central European mesoscale river basin – Nägelstedt. Different time steps, i.e., daily in mHM and monthly in OGS, are used to account for fast surface flow and slow groundwater flow. Model calibration is conducted following a two-step procedure using discharge for mHM and long-term mean of groundwater head measurements for OGS. Based on the model summary statistics, namely the Nash–Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE), the mean absolute error (MAE), and the interquartile range error (QRE), the coupled model is able to satisfactorily represent the dynamics of discharge and groundwater heads at several locations across the study basin. Our exemplary calculations show that the one-way coupled model can take advantage of the spatially explicit modeling capabilities of surface and groundwater hydrologic models and provide an adequate representation of the spatiotemporal behaviors of groundwater storage and heads, thus making it a valuable tool for addressing water resources and management problems.

scholarly journals Computationally Efficient Multivariate Calibration and Validation of a Grid-Based Hydrologic Model in Sparsely Gauged West African River Basins

Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 1418 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Poméon ◽  
Bernd Diekkrüger ◽  
Rohini Kumar
Keyword(s):  
River Basins ◽  
Hydrologic Model ◽  
West African ◽  
Evaluation Framework ◽  
Actual Evapotranspiration ◽  
Computationally Efficient ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Diverse Range ◽  
Grid Based

The prediction of freshwater resources remains a challenging task in West Africa, where the decline of in situ measurements has a detrimental effect on the quality of estimates. In this study, we establish a series of modeling routines for the grid-based mesoscale Hydrologic Model (mHM) using Multiscale Parameter Regionalization (MPR). We provide a computationally efficient application of mHM-MPR across a diverse range of data-scarce basins using in situ observations, remote sensing, and reanalysis inputs. Model performance was first screened for four precipitation datasets and three evapotranspiration calculation methods. Subsequently, we developed a modeling framework in which the pre-screened model is first calibrated using discharge as the observed variable (mHM Q), and next calibrated using a combination of discharge and actual evapotranspiration data (mHM Q/ET). Both model setups were validated in a multi-variable evaluation framework using discharge, actual evapotranspiration, soil moisture and total water storage data. The model performed reasonably well, with mean discharge KGE values of 0.53 (mHM Q) and 0.49 (mHM Q/ET) for the calibration; and 0.23 (mHM Q) and 0.13 (mHM Q/ET) for the validation. Other tested variables were also within a good predictive range. This further confirmed the robustness and well-represented spatial distribution of the hydrologic predictions. Using MPR, the calibrated model can then be scaled to produce outputs at much smaller resolutions. Overall, our analysis highlights the worth of utilizing additional hydrologic variables (together with discharge) for the reliable application of a distributed hydrologic model in sparsely gauged West African river basins.

Modeling the response of non-perennial streams to climate change impact: The Bouregreg watershed in Morocco

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Maria De Girolamo ◽  
Youssef Brouziyne ◽  
Lahcen Benaabidate ◽  
Aziz Aboubdillah ◽  
Ali El Bilali ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Hybrid Modeling ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Global Circulation Model ◽  
Stream Network ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Modeling Approach

<p>The non-perennial streams and rivers are predominant in the Mediterranean region and play an important ecological role in the ecosystem diversity in this region. This class of streams is particularly vulnerable to climate change effects that are expected to amplify further under most climatic projections. Understanding the potential response of the hydrologic regime attributes to climatic stress helps in planning better conservation and management strategies. Bouregreg watershed (BW) in Morocco, is a strategic watershed for the region with a developed non-perennial stream network, and with typical assets and challenges of most Mediterranean watersheds. In this study, a hybrid modeling approach, based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model and Indicator of Hydrologic Alteration (IHA) program, was used to simulate the response of BW's stream network to climate change during the period: 2035-2050. Downscaled daily climate data from the global circulation model CNRM-CM5 were used to force the hybrid modeling framework over the study area. Results showed that, under the changing climate, the magnitude of the alteration will be different across the stream network; however, almost the entire flow regime attributes will be affected. Under the RCP8.5 scenario, the average number of zero-flow days will rise up from 3 to 17.5 days per year in some streams, the timing of the maximum flow was calculated to occur earlier by 17 days than in baseline, and the timing of the minimal flow should occur later by 170 days in some streams. The used modeling approach in this study contributed in identifying the most vulnerable streams in the BW to climate change for potential prioritization in conservation plans.</p>

scholarly journals UAV-DEMs for Small-Scale Flood Hazard Mapping

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 1717 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio Annis ◽  
Fernando Nardi ◽  
Andrea Petroselli ◽  
Ciro Apollonio ◽  
Ettore Arcangeletti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Hydrologic Modeling ◽  
Flood Hazard ◽  
Hydraulic Modeling ◽  
Flood Frequency ◽  
Hazard Mapping ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Ungauged Basins ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Flood Simulations

Devastating floods are observed every year globally from upstream mountainous to coastal regions. Increasing flood frequency and impacts affect both major rivers and their tributaries. Nonetheless, at the small-scale, the lack of distributed topographic and hydrologic data determines tributaries to be often missing in inundation modeling and mapping studies. Advances in Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) technologies and Digital Elevation Models (DEM)-based hydrologic modeling can address this crucial knowledge gap. UAVs provide very high resolution and accurate DEMs with low surveying cost and time, as compared to DEMs obtained by Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR), satellite, or GPS field campaigns. In this work, we selected a LiDAR DEM as a benchmark for comparing the performances of a UAV and a nation-scale high-resolution DEM (TINITALY) in representing floodplain topography for flood simulations. The different DEMs were processed to provide inputs to a hydrologic-hydraulic modeling chain, including the DEM-based EBA4SUB (Event-Based Approach for Small and Ungauged Basins) hydrologic modeling framework for design hydrograph estimation in ungauged basins; the 2D hydraulic model FLO-2D for flood wave routing and hazard mapping. The results of this research provided quantitative analyses, demonstrating the consistent performances of the UAV-derived DEM in supporting affordable distributed flood extension and depth simulations.

Integrated numerical model for irrigated area water resources management

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 980-991 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aidi Huo ◽  
Xiaofan Wang ◽  
Yan Liang ◽  
Cheng Jiang ◽  
Xiaolu Zheng
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
Water Resource Management ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Hydrologic Model ◽  
Heihe River Basin ◽  
Irrigation District ◽  
Heihe River ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Long Term Effects

Abstract The likelihood of future global water shortages is increasing and further development of existing operational hydrologic models is needed to maintain sustainable development of the ecological environment and human health. In order to quantitatively describe the water balance factors and transformation relations, the objective of this article is to develop a distributed hydrologic model that is capable of simulating the surface water (SW) and groundwater (GW) in irrigation areas. The model can be used as a tool for evaluating the long-term effects of water resource management. By coupling the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and MODFLOW models, a comprehensive hydrological model integrating SW and GW is constructed. The hydrologic response units for the SWAT model are exchanged with cells in the MODFLOW model. Taking the Heihe River Basin as the study area, 10 years of historical data are used to conduct an extensive sensitivity analysis on model parameters. The developed model is run for a 40-year prediction period. The application of the developed coupling model shows that since the construction of the Heihe reservoir, the average GW level in the study area has declined by 6.05 m. The model can accurately simulate and predict the dynamic changes in SW and GW in the downstream irrigation area of Heihe River Basin and provide a scientific basis for water management in an irrigation district.

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