scholarly journals Real-time flood forecast using the coupling support vector machine and data assimilation method

2013 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 973-988 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao-Li Li ◽  
Haishen Lü ◽  
Robert Horton ◽  
Tianqing An ◽  
Zhongbo Yu

An accurate and real-time flood forecast is a crucial nonstructural step to flood mitigation. A support vector machine (SVM) is based on the principle of structural risk minimization and has a good generalization capability. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a proven method with the capability of handling nonlinearity in a computationally efficient manner. In this paper, a type of SVM model is established to simulate the rainfall–runoff (RR) process. Then, a coupling model of SVM and EnKF (SVM + EnKF) is used for RR simulation. The impact of the assimilation time scale on the SVM + EnKF model is also studied. A total of four different combinations of the SVM and EnKF models are studied in the paper. The Xinanjiang RR model is employed to evaluate the SVM and the SVM + EnKF models. The study area is located in the Luo River Basin, Guangdong Province, China, during a nine-year period from 1994 to 2002. Compared to SVM, the SVM + EnKF model substantially improves the accuracy of flood prediction, and the Xinanjiang RR model also performs better than the SVM model. The simulated result for the assimilation time scale of 5 days is better than the results for the other cases.

2013 ◽  
Vol 438-439 ◽  
pp. 1167-1170
Author(s):  
Xu Chao Shi ◽  
Ying Fei Gao

The compression index is an important soil property that is essential to many geotechnical designs. As the determination of the compression index from consolidation tests is relatively time-consuming. Support Vector Machine (SVM) is a statistical learning theory based on a structural risk minimization principle that minimizes both error and weight terms. Considering the fact that parameters in SVM model are difficult to be decided, a genetic SVM was presented in which the parameters in SVM method are optimized by Genetic Algorithm (GA). Taking plasticity index, water content, void ration and density of soil as primary influence factors, the prediction model of compression index based on GA-SVM approach was obtained. The results of this study showed that the GA-SVM approach has the potential to be a practical tool for predicting compression index of soil.


2014 ◽  
Vol 509 ◽  
pp. 38-43
Author(s):  
Zhong Jie Fan ◽  
Yan Qiu Leng ◽  
Yong Long Xu ◽  
Zheng Jiang Meng ◽  
Ji Wei Xu

Based on the analysis of influence factors of saturated sand, this paper expounds the limitations of traditional evaluation of liquefaction, and introduces the criterion of support vector machine (SVM) based on the principle of structural risk minimization. According to the main influence factors of sand liquefaction, a SVM discriminant model of sand liquefaction with different kernel functions is established. Through studying small sample data, this model can establish nonlinear mapping relationship between influence factors and liquefaction type. On the basis of seismic data, a radial based kernel function is selected to predict sand liquefaction type. The research results show that the predicted magnitude is identical with the actual result, to prove that it is effective to apply this SVM model to evaluate the level of sand liquefaction.


2012 ◽  
Vol 166-169 ◽  
pp. 1002-1006
Author(s):  
Guang Yue Ma

BP neural network has some shorcomings,such as local extreme. Support vector machine is a novel statistical learning algorithm,which is based on the principle of structural risk minimization. In the paper, support vector machine is used to perform steel pip corrosion forecasting.The collected steel pip corrosion forecasting experimental data are given,among which corrosion deeps from 8ths to 11ths are used to test the proposed prediction model. BP neural network is applied to steel pip corrosion deep forecasting,which is used to compare with support vector machine to show the superiority of support vector machine in steel pip corrosion forecasting.The comparison of the prediction error of steel pip corrosion deep between support vector machine and BP neural network is given. It can be seen that the prediction ability for steel pip corrosion deep of support vector machine is better than that of BP neural network


2015 ◽  
Vol 1120-1121 ◽  
pp. 1385-1389
Author(s):  
Xin Yin ◽  
Yuan Peng Liu ◽  
Xian Zhang Feng

The friction welded joints made by GH4169 heat metal alloys are detected by U1traPAC system of the ultrasonic wave explore instrument. Aimed at the blemish signal characteristics, this article introduce Support Vector Machine (SVM) theory, which is based on statistical theory and structural risk minimization principle, to carry out multi-classification study of the detection signal. We decompose de-noising signals with wavelet packet transform, and extract energy eigenvalues according to "energy- defects". In accordance with designed "1-to-v" SVMs scheme, we respectively input normalized eigenvector to the SVM model to obtain the Forecast data. It is verificated that the limited existing data and information is well used by SVM and the signal is accurately been classificated. All of these verify that SVM has a strong generalization ability.


2013 ◽  
Vol 315 ◽  
pp. 602-605 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Rafidah ◽  
Yacob Suhaila

Support Vector Machine (SVM) is a new tool from Artificial Intelligence (AI) field has been successfully applied for a wide variety of problem especially in river stream flow forecasting. In this paper, SVM is proposed for river stream flow forecasting. To assess the effectiveness SVM, we used monthly mean river stream flow record data from Pahang River at Lubok Paku, Pahang. The performance of the SVM model is compared with the statistical Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and the result showed that the SVM model performs better than the ARIMA models to forecast river stream flow Pahang River.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Zhao ◽  
Xueshuang Lai ◽  
Dengying Liu ◽  
Zhenyang Zhang ◽  
Peipei Ma ◽  
...  

Genomic prediction (GP) has revolutionized animal and plant breeding. However, better statistical models that can improve the accuracy of GP are required. For this reason, in this study, we explored the genomic-based prediction performance of a popular machine learning method, the Support Vector Machine (SVM) model. We selected the most suitable kernel function and hyperparameters for the SVM model in eight published genomic data sets on pigs and maize. Next, we compared the SVM model with RBF and the linear kernel functions to the two most commonly used genome-enabled prediction models (GBLUP and BayesR) in terms of prediction accuracy, time, and the memory used. The results showed that the SVM model had the best prediction performance in two of the eight data sets, but in general, the predictions of both models were similar. In terms of time, the SVM model was better than BayesR but worse than GBLUP. In terms of memory, the SVM model was better than GBLUP and worse than BayesR in pig data but the same with BayesR in maize data. According to the results, SVM is a competitive method in animal and plant breeding, and there is no universal prediction model.


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 120-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunxiang Qian ◽  
Wence Kang ◽  
Hao Ling ◽  
Hua Dong ◽  
Chengyao Liang ◽  
...  

Support Vector Machine (SVM) model optimized by K-Fold cross-validation was built to predict and evaluate the degradation of concrete strength in a complicated marine environment. Meanwhile, several mathematical models, such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Decision Tree (DT), were also built and compared with SVM to determine which one could make the most accurate predictions. The material factors and environmental factors that influence the results were considered. The materials factors mainly involved the original concrete strength, the amount of cement replaced by fly ash and slag. The environmental factors consisted of the concentration of Mg2+, SO42-, Cl-, temperature and exposing time. It was concluded from the prediction results that the optimized SVM model appeared to perform better than other models in predicting the concrete strength. Based on SVM model, a simulation method of variables limitation was used to determine the sensitivity of various factors and the influence degree of these factors on the degradation of concrete strength.


2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 329-336 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Xu ◽  
Guangmin Liang ◽  
Baowen Chen ◽  
Xu Tan ◽  
Huaikun Xiang ◽  
...  

Background: Cell lytic enzyme is a kind of highly evolved protein, which can destroy the cell structure and kill the bacteria. Compared with antibiotics, cell lytic enzyme will not cause serious problem of drug resistance of pathogenic bacteria. Thus, the study of cell wall lytic enzymes aims at finding an efficient way for curing bacteria infectious. Compared with using antibiotics, the problem of drug resistance becomes more serious. Therefore, it is a good choice for curing bacterial infections by using cell lytic enzymes. Cell lytic enzyme includes endolysin and autolysin and the difference between them is the purpose of the break of cell wall. The identification of the type of cell lytic enzymes is meaningful for the study of cell wall enzymes. Objective: In this article, our motivation is to predict the type of cell lytic enzyme. Cell lytic enzyme is helpful for killing bacteria, so it is meaningful for study the type of cell lytic enzyme. However, it is time consuming to detect the type of cell lytic enzyme by experimental methods. Thus, an efficient computational method for the type of cell lytic enzyme prediction is proposed in our work. Method: We propose a computational method for the prediction of endolysin and autolysin. First, a data set containing 27 endolysins and 41 autolysins is built. Then the protein is represented by tripeptides composition. The features are selected with larger confidence degree. At last, the classifier is trained by the labeled vectors based on support vector machine. The learned classifier is used to predict the type of cell lytic enzyme. Results: Following the proposed method, the experimental results show that the overall accuracy can attain 97.06%, when 44 features are selected. Compared with Ding's method, our method improves the overall accuracy by nearly 4.5% ((97.06-92.9)/92.9%). The performance of our proposed method is stable, when the selected feature number is from 40 to 70. The overall accuracy of tripeptides optimal feature set is 94.12%, and the overall accuracy of Chou's amphiphilic PseAAC method is 76.2%. The experimental results also demonstrate that the overall accuracy is improved by nearly 18% when using the tripeptides optimal feature set. Conclusion: The paper proposed an efficient method for identifying endolysin and autolysin. In this paper, support vector machine is used to predict the type of cell lytic enzyme. The experimental results show that the overall accuracy of the proposed method is 94.12%, which is better than some existing methods. In conclusion, the selected 44 features can improve the overall accuracy for identification of the type of cell lytic enzyme. Support vector machine performs better than other classifiers when using the selected feature set on the benchmark data set.


Author(s):  
Jia-Bin Zhou ◽  
Yan-Qin Bai ◽  
Yan-Ru Guo ◽  
Hai-Xiang Lin

AbstractIn general, data contain noises which come from faulty instruments, flawed measurements or faulty communication. Learning with data in the context of classification or regression is inevitably affected by noises in the data. In order to remove or greatly reduce the impact of noises, we introduce the ideas of fuzzy membership functions and the Laplacian twin support vector machine (Lap-TSVM). A formulation of the linear intuitionistic fuzzy Laplacian twin support vector machine (IFLap-TSVM) is presented. Moreover, we extend the linear IFLap-TSVM to the nonlinear case by kernel function. The proposed IFLap-TSVM resolves the negative impact of noises and outliers by using fuzzy membership functions and is a more accurate reasonable classifier by using the geometric distribution information of labeled data and unlabeled data based on manifold regularization. Experiments with constructed artificial datasets, several UCI benchmark datasets and MNIST dataset show that the IFLap-TSVM has better classification accuracy than other state-of-the-art twin support vector machine (TSVM), intuitionistic fuzzy twin support vector machine (IFTSVM) and Lap-TSVM.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Pijush Samui

The main objective of site characterization is the prediction of in situ soil properties at any half-space point at a site based on limited tests. In this study, the Support Vector Machine (SVM) has been used to develop a three dimensional site characterization model for Bangalore, India based on large amount of Standard Penetration Test. SVM is a novel type of learning machine based on statistical learning theory, uses regression technique by introducing ε-insensitive loss function. The database consists of 766 boreholes, with more than 2700 field SPT values () spread over 220 sq km area of Bangalore. The model is applied for corrected () values. The three input variables (, , and , where , , and are the coordinates of the Bangalore) were used for the SVM model. The output of SVM was the data. The results presented in this paper clearly highlight that the SVM is a robust tool for site characterization. In this study, a sensitivity analysis of SVM parameters (σ, , and ε) has been also presented.


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