scholarly journals Modelling runoff in an arid watershed through integrated support vector machine

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandeep Samantaray ◽  
Dillip K. Ghose
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Phase Space ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Firefly Algorithm ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Monsoon Precipitation ◽  
Suggested Model ◽  
Hydrologic Processes ◽  
Proposed Model

Abstract Modelling of runoff is a significant practice in water resources engineering. Therefore, discovering consistent and advanced methods for prediction of runoff is crucial for hydrologic processes. Here, a narrative integrated intelligence model attached with PSR (phase space reconstruction) is anticipated to estimate runoff for five watersheds of Balangir, Odisha, India. Monthly monsoon precipitation, temperature, humidity data of five watersheds over 28 years (1990–2017) are employed and validated. Here, the proposed model is an integration of support vector machine (SVM) with firefly algorithm (FFA) and PSR. Various indices like NSE (Nash–Sutcliffe), RMSE (root mean square error) and WI (Willmott's index) are used to find the performance of the model. The developed PSR-SVM-FFA model demonstrates pre-eminent WI value ranging from 0.97 to 0.98 while the SVM and SVM-FFA models encompass 0.92 to 0.93 and 0.94 to 0.95, respectively. Also an assessment of data from the suggested model is schemed and validated. The proposed PSR-SVM-FFA model gives better accuracy results and error limiting up to 2–3%.

scholarly journals Perbandingan Algoritma Support Vector Machine Biasa dan Support Vector Machine berbasis Particle Swarm Optimization untuk Prediksi Gempa Bumi

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Agustian Noor
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Particle Swarm ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Swarm Optimization

Gempa merupakan fenomena alam secara periodik yang terjadi di seluruh belahan bumi akibat adanya gaya pembangkit pasang surut yang utamanya berasal dari matahari dan bulan. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisa hasil gempa bumi di Sumara Utara. Metode yang diusulkan adalahmembandingkan SVM dan SVM-PSO yang menggunakan data dari instansi terkait khususnya di daerah Sumatra Utara, Masing-masing algoritma akan implementasikan dengan menggunakan RapidMiner 5.1 Pengukuran kinerja dilakukan dengan menghitung rata-rata error yang terjadi melalui besaran Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Semakin kecil nilai dari masing-masing parameter kinerja ini menyatakan semakin dekat nilai prediksi dengan nilai sebenarnya. Dengan demikian dapat diketahui algoritma yang lebih akurat.

PEMODELAN PREDIKTIF KONSUMSI ENERGI BANGUNAN GEDUNG KOMERSIAL DENGAN ALGORITMA SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 225
Author(s):  
Indriyanti Indriyanti ◽  
Agus Subekti
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Mean Absolute Error ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Mean Square

Konsumsi energi bangunan yang semakin meningkat mendorong para peneliti untuk membangun sebuah model prediksi dengan menerapkan metode machine learning, namun masih belum diketahui model yang paling akurat. Model prediktif untuk konsumsi energi bangunan komersial penting untuk konservasi energi. Dengan menggunakan model yang tepat, kita dapat membuat desain bangunan yang lebih efisien dalam penggunaan energi. Dalam tulisan ini, kami mengusulkan model prediktif berdasarkan metode pembelajaran mesin untuk mendapatkan model terbaik dalam memprediksi total konsumsi energi. Algoritma yang digunakan yaitu SMOreg dan LibSVM dari kelas Support Vector Machine, kemudian untuk evaluasi model berdasarkan nilai Mean Absolute Error dan Root Mean Square Error. Dengan menggunakan dataset publik yang tersedia, kami mengembangkan model berdasarkan pada mesin vektor pendukung untuk regresi. Hasil pengujian kedua algoritma tersebut diketahui bahwa algoritma SMOreg memiliki akurasi lebih baik karena memiliki nilai MAE dan RMSE sebesar 4,70 dan 10,15, sedangkan untuk model LibSVM memiliki nilai MAE dan RMSE sebesar 9,37 dan 14,45. Kami mengusulkan metode berdasarkan algoritma SMOreg karena kinerjanya lebih baik.

scholarly journals Prediction of Energy-Efficient Production of Coalbed Methane Based on Chaotic Time Series and Bayes-Least Squares-Support Vector Machine

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (4) ◽  
pp. 933-940
Author(s):  
Yan Wang ◽  
Zhongshui Man ◽  
Meihua Lu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Phase Space ◽  
Energy Efficient ◽  
Coalbed Methane ◽  
Phase Space Reconstruction ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Bayesian Evidence

The productivity of coalbed methane (CBM) depends heavily on the heat environment, and directly reflects the quality of the well. Following the theories of phase space reconstruction and Bayesian evidence framework, this paper puts forward a Bayes-least squares-support vector machine (Bayes-LS-SVM) model for the prediction of energy-efficient productivity of CBM under Bayesian evidence network based on chaotic time series. The energy-efficient productivity stands for the gas and water production of CBM wells at a low energy consumption, despite the disturbance from the heat environment. The proposed model avoids the local optimum trap of backpropagation neural network (BPNN), and overcomes the main defects of the SVM: high time consumption of parameter determination, and proneness to overfitting. In our model, the model parameters are optimized through three-layer Bayesian evidence inference, and the input vector for prediction is selected adaptively. In this way, the model construction is not too empirical, and the constructed model is highly adaptive. Then, the theory on phase space reconstruction was applied to investigate the chaotic property of the time series on CBM production, and the Bayes-LS-SVM was adopted to predict the time series after phase space reconstruction, in comparison with neural network prediction methods like SVM and BPNN. Experimental results show that the proposed model boast quick computing, accurate fitting, flexible structure, and strong generalization ability.

scholarly journals DEVELOPMENT OF RAINFALL FORECASTING MODEL USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH SINGULAR SPECTRUM ANALYSIS

2022 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 172-186
Author(s):  
Pundru Chandra Shaker Reddy ◽  
Sucharitha Yadala ◽  
Surya Narayana Goddumarri
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Singular Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Singular Spectrum ◽  
Proposed Model

Agriculture is the key point for survival for developing nations like India. For farming, rainfall is generally significant. Rainfall updates are help for evaluate water assets, farming, ecosystems and hydrology. Nowadays rainfall anticipation has become a foremost issue. Forecast of rainfall offers attention to individuals and knows in advance about rainfall to avoid potential risk to shield their crop yields from severe rainfall. This study intends to investigate the dependability of integrating a data pre-processing technique called singular-spectrum-analysis (SSA) with supervised learning models called least-squares support vector regression (LS-SVR), and Random-Forest (RF), for rainfall prediction. Integrating SSA with LS-SVR and RF, the combined framework is designed and contrasted with the customary approaches (LS-SVR and RF). The presented frameworks were trained and tested utilizing a monthly climate dataset which is separated into 80:20 ratios for training and testing respectively. Performance of the model was assessed using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) and the proposed model produces the values as 71.6 %, 90.2 % respectively. Experimental outcomes illustrate that the proposed model can productively predict the rainfall. ABSTRAK:Pertanian adalah titik utama kelangsungan hidup negara-negara membangun seperti India. Untuk pertanian, curah hujan pada amnya ketara. Kemas kini hujan adalah bantuan untuk menilai aset air, pertanian, ekosistem dan hidrologi. Kini, jangkaan hujan telah menjadi isu utama. Ramalan hujan memberikan perhatian kepada individu dan mengetahui terlebih dahulu mengenai hujan untuk menghindari potensi risiko untuk melindungi hasil tanaman mereka dari hujan lebat. Kajian ini bertujuan untuk menyelidiki kebolehpercayaan mengintegrasikan teknik pra-pemprosesan data yang disebut analisis-spektrum tunggal (SSA) dengan model pembelajaran yang diawasi yang disebut regresi vektor sokongan paling rendah (LS-SVR), dan Random-Forest (RF), ramalan hujan. Menggabungkan SSA dengan LS-SVR dan RF, kerangka gabungan dirancang dan dibeza-bezakan dengan pendekatan biasa (LS-SVR dan RF). Kerangka kerja yang disajikan dilatih dan diuji dengan menggunakan set data iklim bulanan yang masing-masing dipisahkan menjadi nisbah 80:20 untuk latihan dan ujian. Prestasi model dinilai menggunakan Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) dan Nash – Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) dan model yang dicadangkan menghasilkan nilai masing-masing sebanyak 71.6%, 90.2%. Hasil eksperimen menggambarkan bahawa model yang dicadangkan dapat meramalkan hujan secara produktif.

scholarly journals Power load forecasting in energy system based on improved extreme learning machine

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (4) ◽  
pp. 1194-1211
Author(s):  
Xu-Dong Chen ◽  
Yang Hai-Yue ◽  
Jhang-Shang Wun ◽  
Chien-Hung Wu ◽  
Ching-Hsin Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Extreme Learning Machine ◽  
Nonlinear Dynamic ◽  
Energy System ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Power Load ◽  
Learning Machine

Through the accurate prediction of power load, the start and stop of generating units in the power grid can be arranged economically and reasonably. The safety and stability of power grid operation can be maintained. First, chicken swarm optimizer based on nonlinear dynamic convergence factor (NCSO) optimizer is proposed based on chicken swarm optimizer (CSO) optimizer. In NCSO optimizer, nonlinear dynamic inertia weight and levy mutation strategy are introduced. Compared with CSO optimizer, the convergence speed and effect of NCSO optimizer are obviously improved. Second, the random parameters of extreme learning machine (ELM) model are optimized by NCSO optimizer, and NCSOELM model is established to predict the power load. Finally, the NCSO optimization extreme learning machine (NCSOELM) model is used to predict the power load, and compared with back propagation (BP), support vector machine (SVM) and CSO optimization extreme learning machine (CSOELM) model. The experimental results show that the fitting accuracy of NCSOELM model is high, and the determination coefficient r2 is above 90%. And the root mean square error value of the NCSOELM model is 0.87, 0.41, and 0.25 smaller than the root mean square error values of the support vector machine, BP, and CSOELM models, respectively. Experiments show that the model proposed in this study has high fitting effect and low prediction error, which is of positive significance for the realization of economic and safe operation of energy system.

scholarly journals KOMPARASI PENGGUNAAN ALGORITMA SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE DENGAN PARTICLE SWARM OPTIMIZATION DALAM MEMPREDIKSI SUHU UDARA

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 277
Author(s):  
Muhammad Rusdi
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Support Vector Machines ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Vector Machines

Algoritma yang dapat dipakai untuk memprediksi data suhu udara,ada yang sebagian yang sudah  diketahui algoritma mana yang memiliki kinerja lebih akurat dan sebagian lagi belum di uji kinerja akurasi dari algoritma tersebut. Untuk hal tersebut  algoritma perlu diuji untuk mengetahuinya. Metode yang diusulkan adalah SVM-PSO .metode ini di bandingkan dengan algoritma SVM,SVM-PSO yang sudah di uji akurasinya untuk prediksi data suhu udara. Algoritma yang akan diuji adalahSVM-PSO dan SVM, yang digunakan untuk prediksi suhu udara. Masing-masing algoritma akan implementasikan dengan menggunakan RapidMiner 5.3.Pengukuran kinerja dilakukan dengan menghitung rata-rata error yang terjadi melalui besaran Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Semakin kecil nilai dari masing-masing parameter kinerja ini menyatakan semakin dekat nilai prediksi dengan nilai sebenarnya. Dengan demikian dapat diketahui algoritma yang lebih akurat. Kata Kunci: Suhu Udara, RMSE, support vector machines,svm-pso prediksi suhu udara.

scholarly journals A support vector machine with the tabu search algorithm for freeway incident detection

2014 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 397-404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Baozhen Yao ◽  
Ping Hu ◽  
Mingheng Zhang ◽  
Maoqing Jin
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Tabu Search ◽  
Traffic Management ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Detection System ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Incident Detection ◽  
Tabu Search Algorithm ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Parameter Values

Abstract Automated Incident Detection (AID) is an important part of Advanced Traffic Management and Information Systems (ATMISs). An automated incident detection system can effectively provide information on an incident, which can help initiate the required measure to reduce the influence of the incident. To accurately detect incidents in expressways, a Support Vector Machine (SVM) is used in this paper. Since the selection of optimal parameters for the SVM can improve prediction accuracy, the tabu search algorithm is employed to optimize the SVM parameters. The proposed model is evaluated with data for two freeways in China. The results show that the tabu search algorithm can effectively provide better parameter values for the SVM, and SVM models outperform Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) in freeway incident detection.

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