scholarly journals Pendugaan Fungsi Intensitas Proses Poisson Periodik dengan Tren Fungsi Pangkat Menggunakan Metode Tipe Kernel

2011 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 458
Author(s):  
Ro’fah Nur Rachmawati
Keyword(s):  
Stochastic Process ◽  
Poisson Process ◽  
Customer Service ◽  
Kernel Estimator ◽  
Intensity Function ◽  
Rank Function ◽  
Discrete State ◽  
Function Coefficient ◽  
Number Of Customers ◽  
Discrete State Space

Stochastic process has an important role in many areas in everyday life, including the customer service process. The number of customers who come to a service center will be different for each particular time. A special form of stochastic process with continuous time and discrete state space is periodic Poisson process, which is a Poisson process with an intensity function of a periodic function. However, on the stochastic modeling of a phenomenon by a periodic Poisson process, the intensity function of the process is generally unknown. Therefore, a method is needed to infer the function. In this article, a Kernel estimator is formulated from a periodic Poisson process with a trend component in a rank function, which is divided into two cases; the identified rank function coefficient and the unidentified rank function coefficient. 

scholarly journals Kekonvergenan MSE Penduga Kernel Seragam Fungsi Intensitas Proses Poisson Periodik dengan Tren Fungsi Pangkat

2012 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 204
Author(s):  
Ro’fah Nur Rachmawati
Keyword(s):  
Stochastic Process ◽  
Poisson Process ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Kernel Estimator ◽  
Intensity Function ◽  
Rank Function ◽  
Service Center ◽  
Discrete State ◽  
Number Of Customers ◽  
Discrete State Space

The number of customers who come to a service center will be different for each particular time. However, it can be modeled by a stochastic process. One particular form of stochastic process with continuous time and discrete state space is a periodic Poisson process. The intensity function of the process is generally unknown, so we need a method to estimate it. In this paper an estimator of kernel uniform of a periodic Poisson process is formulated with a trend component in a rank function (rank coefficient 0 <b <1 is known, and the slope coefficient of the power function (trend) a> 0 is known). It is also demonstrated the convergenity of the estimators obtained. The result of this paper is a formulation of a uniform kernel estimator for the intensity function of a periodic Poisson process with rank function trends (for the case “a” is known) and the convergenity proof of the estimators obtained.

scholarly journals Improved estimations of stochastic chemical kinetics by finite-state expansion

2021 ◽  
Vol 477 (2251) ◽  
pp. 20200964
Author(s):  
Tabea Waizmann ◽  
Luca Bortolussi ◽  
Andrea Vandin ◽  
Mirco Tribastone
Keyword(s):  
Master Equation ◽  
State Space ◽  
Stochastic Dynamics ◽  
Reaction Network ◽  
Discrete State ◽  
State Expansion ◽  
Analytical Approximations ◽  
Finite State ◽  
Stochastic Reaction ◽  
Discrete State Space

Stochastic reaction networks are a fundamental model to describe interactions between species where random fluctuations are relevant. The master equation provides the evolution of the probability distribution across the discrete state space consisting of vectors of population counts for each species. However, since its exact solution is often elusive, several analytical approximations have been proposed. The deterministic rate equation (DRE) gives a macroscopic approximation as a compact system of differential equations that estimate the average populations for each species, but it may be inaccurate in the case of nonlinear interaction dynamics. Here we propose finite-state expansion (FSE), an analytical method mediating between the microscopic and the macroscopic interpretations of a stochastic reaction network by coupling the master equation dynamics of a chosen subset of the discrete state space with the mean population dynamics of the DRE. An algorithm translates a network into an expanded one where each discrete state is represented as a further distinct species. This translation exactly preserves the stochastic dynamics, but the DRE of the expanded network can be interpreted as a correction to the original one. The effectiveness of FSE is demonstrated in models that challenge state-of-the-art techniques due to intrinsic noise, multi-scale populations and multi-stability.

Weak limit results for the extremes of a class of shot noise processes

1995 ◽  
Vol 32 (03) ◽  
pp. 707-726 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Homble ◽  
William P. McCormick
Keyword(s):  
Poisson Process ◽  
Shot Noise ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Weak Limit ◽  
Intensity Function ◽  
Important Class ◽  
Homogeneous Poisson Process ◽  
Periodic Intensity ◽  
Non Homogeneous Poisson Process ◽  
Over Time

Shot noise processes form an important class of stochastic processes modeling phenomena which occur as shocks to a system and with effects that diminish over time. In this paper we present extreme value results for two cases — a homogeneous Poisson process of shocks and a non-homogeneous Poisson process with periodic intensity function. Shocks occur with a random amplitude having either a gamma or Weibull density and dissipate via a compactly supported impulse response function. This work continues work of Hsing and Teugels (1989) and Doney and O'Brien (1991) to the case of random amplitudes.

State aggregation and discrete-state Markov chains embedded in a class of point processes

1995 ◽  
Vol 32 (01) ◽  
pp. 39-51
Author(s):  
Xi-Ren Cao
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chains ◽  
Poisson Process ◽  
Point Process ◽  
Point Processes ◽  
Marked Point ◽  
Practical Importance ◽  
Marked Point Process ◽  
Interarrival Time ◽  
Discrete State ◽  
State Aggregation

One result that is of both theoretical and practical importance regarding point processes is the method of thinning. The basic idea of this method is that under some conditions, there exists an embedded Poisson process in any point process such that all its arrival points form a sub-sequence of the Poisson process. We extend this result by showing that on the embedded Poisson process of a uni- or multi-variable marked point process in which interarrival time distributions may depend on the marks, one can define a Markov chain with a discrete state that characterizes the stage of the interarrival times. This implies that one can construct embedded Markov chains with countable state spaces for the state processes of many practical systems that can be modeled by such point processes.

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