Prediction of inventory sustainability during a drug shortage

2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (14) ◽  
pp. 1094-1098
Author(s):  
Nathaniel J. Rhodes ◽  
Elise M. Gilbert ◽  
Erik Skoglund ◽  
John S. Esterly ◽  
Michael J. Postelnick ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Consumption Rate ◽  
Medication Administration ◽  
Single Site ◽  
Drug Shortage ◽  
Evaluation Period ◽  
Manual Count ◽  
Review Period ◽  
Future Supply ◽  
The Mean

Abstract Purpose A methodology for predicting how long the on-hand inventory of a given medication will last during a supply shortage is described; a practical example of application of the methodology is provided. Methods Single-site data on consumption of i.v. tobramycin over an eight-month evaluation period were collected using commercial software that tabulates barcode-assisted medication administration (BCMA) events; administered doses were standardized as 1200-mg “vial-equivalents” and summed over the review period. The total number of vial-equivalents consumed was divided by the number of “non-zero weeks of consumption” (i.e., weeks during which any tobramycin use occurred) to obtain a mean ± S.D. weekly consumption rate; this rate was multiplied by the total i.v. tobramycin on-hand supply (in vial-equivalents) to determine the mean number of potentially sustainable weeks of therapy in the event a shortage were to restrict the future supply of the drug. Results Overall, 99.6 vial-equivalents of i.v. tobramycin were used during the evaluation period. The mean ± S.D. number of vial-equivalents used per non-zero week of consumption was 3.11 ± 1.26. A manual count of pharmacy inventory revealed that 102.9 vial-equivalents were available at the time of analysis. The mean predicted duration of supply was 33 weeks (95% confidence interval, –126 to 192 weeks). Conclusion Available BCMA data on tobramycin consumption over eight months were used to calculate the mean number of weeks the on-hand supply of the drug could be expected to last during a persistent drug shortage.

scholarly journals Onchocerciasis control in Ghana (1974–2016)

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nana-Kwadwo Biritwum ◽  
Dziedzom K. de Souza ◽  
Odame Asiedu ◽  
Benjamin Marfo ◽  
Uche Veronica Amazigo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Vector Control ◽  
Control Strategy ◽  
Financial Support ◽  
Control Programme ◽  
Ivermectin Treatment ◽  
Mobile Community ◽  
The Mean ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Onchocerciasis Control

Abstract Background The control of onchocerciasis in Ghana started in 1974 under the auspices of the Onchocerciasis Control Programme (OCP). Between 1974 and 2002, a combination of approaches including vector control, mobile community ivermectin treatment, and community-directed treatment with ivermectin (CDTI) were employed. From 1997, CDTI became the main control strategy employed by the Ghana OCP (GOCP). This review was undertaken to assess the impact of the control interventions on onchocerciasis in Ghana between 1974 and 2016, since which time the focus has changed from control to elimination. Methods In this paper, we review programme data from 1974 to 2016 to assess the impact of control activities on prevalence indicators of onchocerciasis. This review includes an evaluation of CDTI implementation, microfilaria (Mf) prevalence assessments and rapid epidemiological mapping of onchocerciasis results. Results This review indicates that the control of onchocerciasis in Ghana has been very successful, with a significant decrease in the prevalence of infection from 69.13% [95% confidence interval) CI 60.24–78.01] in 1975 to 0.72% (95% CI 0.19–1.26) in 2015. Similarly, the mean community Mf load decreased from 14.48 MF/skin snip in 1975 to 0.07 MF/skin snip (95% CI 0.00–0.19) in 2015. Between 1997 and 2016, the therapeutic coverage increased from 58.50 to 83.80%, with nearly 100 million ivermectin tablets distributed. Conclusions Despite the significant reduction in the prevalence of onchocerciasis in Ghana, there are still communities with MF prevalence above 1%. As the focus of the GOCP has changed from the control of onchocerciasis to its elimination, both guidance and financial support are required to ensure that the latter goal is met.

scholarly journals Can Health-Promoting Schools Contribute to Better Health Behaviors? Physical Activity, Sedentary Behavior, and Dietary Habits among Israeli Adolescents

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 1183
Author(s):  
Hila Beck ◽  
Riki Tesler ◽  
Sharon Barak ◽  
Daniel Sender Moran ◽  
Adilson Marques ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Physical Activity ◽  
Health Behavior ◽  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Health Behaviors ◽  
Sedentary Behavior ◽  
Dietary Habits ◽  
Group Differences ◽  
Time Behavior ◽  
Health Promoting ◽  
The Mean

Schools with health-promoting school (HPS) frameworks are actively committed to enhancing healthy lifestyles. This study explored the contribution of school participation in HPS on students’ health behaviors, namely, physical activity (PA), sedentary behavior, and dieting. Data from the 2018/2019 Health Behavior in School-aged Children study on Israeli adolescents aged 11–17 years were used. Schools were selected from a sample of HPSs and non-HPSs. Between-group differences and predictions of health behavior were analyzed. No between-group differences were observed in mean number of days/week with at least 60 min of PA (HPS: 3.84 ± 2.19 days/week, 95% confidence interval of the mean = 3.02–3.34; non-HPS: 3.93 ± 2.17 days/week, 95% confidence interval of the mean = 3.13–3.38). Most children engaged in screen time behavior for >2 h/day (HPS: 60.83%; non-HPS: 63.91%). The odds of being on a diet were higher among more active children (odds ratio [OR] = 1.20), higher socio-economic status (OR = 1.23), and female (OR = 2.29). HPS did not predict any health behavior. These findings suggest that HPSs did not contribute to health behaviors more than non-HPSs. Therefore, health-promoting activities in HPSs need to be improved in order to justify their recognition as members of the HPS network and to fulfill their mission.

scholarly journals Evaluating Endoscopic Ipsilateral Endonasal Corridor Approaches to the Anterolateral Wall of the Maxillary Sinus: A Computerized Tomography Study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Navarat Vatcharayothin ◽  
Pornthep Kasemsiri ◽  
Sanguansak Thanaviratananich ◽  
Cattleya Thongrong
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Maxillary Sinus ◽  
Inferior Turbinate ◽  
Radial Access ◽  
Sinus Wall ◽  
Nasal Floor ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Anterolateral Wall ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Maxillary Sinuses

Abstract Introduction The endoscopic access to lesions in the anterolateral wall of the maxillary sinus is a challenging issue; therefore, the evaluation of access should be performed. Objective To assess the accessibility of three endoscopic ipsilateral endonasal corridors. Methods Three corridors were created in each of the 30 maxillary sinuses from 19 head cadavers. Accessing the anterolateral wall of the maxillary sinus was documented with a straight stereotactic navigator probe at the level of the nasal floor and of the axilla of the inferior turbinate. Results At level of the nasal floor, the prelacrimal approach, the modified endoscopic Denker approach, and the endoscopic Denker approach allowed mean radial access to the anterolateral maxillary sinus wall of 42.6 ± 7.3 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 39.9–45.3), 56.0 ± 6.1 (95%CI: 53.7–58.3), and 60.1 ± 6.2 (95%CI: 57.8–62.4), respectively. Furthermore, these approaches provided more lateral access to the maxillary sinus at the level of the axilla of the inferior turbinate, with mean radial access of 45.8 ± 6.9 (95%CI: 43.3–48.4) for the prelacrimal approach, 59.8 ± 4.7 (95% CI:58.1–61.6) for the modified endoscopic Denker approach, and 63.6 ± 5.5 (95%CI: 61.6–65.7) for the endoscopic Denker approach. The mean radial access in each corridor, either at the level of the nasal floor or the axilla of the inferior turbinate, showed a statistically significant difference in all comparison approaches (p < 0.05). Conclusions The prelacrimal approach provided a narrow radial access, which allows access to anteromedial lesions of the maxillary sinus, whereas the modified endoscopic Denker and the endoscopic Denker approaches provided more lateral radial access and improved operational feasibility on far anterolateral maxillary sinus lesions.

The Emerging Role of Robotic Single-site Approach for Myomectomy: A Systematic Review of the Literature

2021 ◽  
pp. 155335062098822
Author(s):  
Eirini Giovannopoulou ◽  
Anastasia Prodromidou ◽  
Nikolaos Blontzos ◽  
Christos Iavazzo
Keyword(s):  
Blood Loss ◽  
Minimally Invasive ◽  
Complication Rate ◽  
Operative Time ◽  
Intraoperative Complications ◽  
Single Site ◽  
Minimally Invasive Technique ◽  
Invasive Technique ◽  
Robotic Myomectomy ◽  
The Mean

Objective. To review the existing studies on single-site robotic myomectomy and test the safety and feasibility of this innovative minimally invasive technique. Data Sources. PubMed, Scopus, Google Scholar (from their inception to October 2019), as well as Clinicaltrials.gov databases up to April 2020. Methods of Study Selection. Clinical trials (prospective or retrospective) that reported the outcomes of single-site robotic myomectomy, with a sample of at least 20 patients were considered eligible for the review. Results. The present review was performed in accordance with the guidelines for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). Four (4) studies met the inclusion criteria, and a total of 267 patients were included with a mean age from 37.1 to 39.1 years and BMI from 21.6 to 29.4 kg/m2. The mean operative time ranged from 131.4 to 154.2 min, the mean docking time from 5.1 to 5.45 min, and the mean blood loss from 57.9 to 182.62 ml. No intraoperative complications were observed, and a conversion rate of 3.8% was reported by a sole study. The overall postoperative complication rate was estimated at 2.2%, and the mean hospital stay ranged from 0.57 to 4.7 days. No significant differences were detected when single-site robotic myomectomy was compared to the multiport technique concerning operative time, blood loss, and total complication rate. Conclusion. Our findings support the safety of single-site robotic myomectomy and its equivalency with the multiport technique on the most studied outcomes. Further studies are needed to conclude on the optimal minimally invasive technique for myomectomy.

scholarly journals Longer Residence in the United States is Associated With More Physical Function Limitations in African Immigrant Older Adults

2020 ◽  
pp. 073346482097760
Author(s):  
Manka Nkimbeng ◽  
Yvonne Commodore-Mensah ◽  
Jacqueline L. Angel ◽  
Karen Bandeen-Roche ◽  
Roland J. Thorpe ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Older Adults ◽  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Physical Function ◽  
Racial Discrimination ◽  
African Immigrants ◽  
The United States ◽  
African Immigrant ◽  
High Discrimination ◽  
The Mean

Acculturation and racial discrimination have been independently associated with physical function limitations in immigrant and United States (U.S.)-born populations. This study examined the relationships among acculturation, racial discrimination, and physical function limitations in N = 165 African immigrant older adults using multiple linear regression. The mean age was 62 years ( SD = 8 years), and 61% were female. Older adults who resided in the United States for 10 years or more had more physical function limitations compared with those who resided here for less than 10 years ( b = −2.62, 95% confidence interval [CI] = [–5.01, –0.23]). Compared to lower discrimination, those with high discrimination had more physical function limitations ( b = −2.51, 95% CI = [–4.91, –0.17]), but this was no longer significant after controlling for length of residence and acculturation strategy. Residing in the United States for more than 10 years is associated with poorer physical function. Longitudinal studies with large, diverse samples of African immigrants are needed to confirm these associations.

scholarly journals Peginesatide to Manage Anemia in Chronic Kidney Disease Patients on Peritoneal Dialysis

2015 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 481-489 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raja Zabaneh ◽  
Simon D. Roger ◽  
Mohamed El-Shahawy ◽  
Michael Roppolo ◽  
Grant Runyan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Chronic Kidney Disease ◽  
Adverse Event ◽  
Peritoneal Dialysis ◽  
Kidney Disease ◽  
Common Adverse Event ◽  
Erythropoietin Receptor ◽  
Open Label ◽  
Evaluation Period ◽  
Red Blood Cell Transfusions ◽  
The Mean

♦BackgroundPeginesatide is a novel, synthetic, peptide-based pegylated erythropoiesis-stimulating agent that is designed specifically to stimulate the erythropoietin receptor. The purpose of the present study was to assess, for the first time, the efficacy and safety of peginesatide in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients receiving peritoneal dialysis (PD) and previously on epoetin treatment.♦MethodsIn this open-label multicenter study, 59 PD patients with CKD were converted from epoetin (alfa or beta) to once-monthly peginesatide. Doses were titrated to maintain hemoglobin levels between 10 g/dL and 12 g/dL during the 25 weeks of the study. The primary endpoint was change from baseline in mean hemoglobin values during the evaluation period (weeks 20 – 25).♦ResultsThe mean hemoglobin value during the evaluation period was 11.3 ± 1.07 g/dL, and the mean change from baseline was 0.10 ± 1.15 g/dL (95% confidence limits: –0.24, 0.44 g/dL). During the evaluation period, most patients maintained hemoglobin levels between 10 g/dL and 12 g/dL (63.0%) and within ±1.0 g/dL of baseline (60.9%). The median weekly epoetin dose at baseline was 96.0 U/kg, and the median starting peginesatide dose was 0.047 mg/kg. Forty-three patients (72.9%) completed the study. Six patients (10.2%) received red blood cell transfusions. The observed adverse event profile was consistent with underlying conditions in the PD patient population. The most common adverse event was peritonitis (20.3%), a complication commonly associated with PD. Four deaths occurred during the study (2 related to septic shock, and 1 each to myocardial ischemia and myasthenia gravis).♦ConclusionsIn this study, once-monthly peginesatide maintained hemoglobin levels in PD patients after conversion from epoetin.

scholarly journals The Probability That a Measurement Falls within a Range of Standard Deviations from an Estimate of the Mean

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Louis M. Houston
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Sample Size ◽  
General Equation ◽  
Sample Sizes ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Standard Deviations ◽  
Intermediate Value ◽  
Theoretical Results

We derive a general equation for the probability that a measurement falls within a range of n standard deviations from an estimate of the mean. So, we provide a format that is compatible with a confidence interval centered about the mean that is naturally independent of the sample size. The equation is derived by interpolating theoretical results for extreme sample sizes. The intermediate value of the equation is confirmed with a computational test.

scholarly journals Long-Term Testosterone Administration Increases Visceral Fat in Female to Male Transsexuals1

1997 ◽  
Vol 82 (7) ◽  
pp. 2044-2047 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jolanda M. H. Elbers ◽  
Henk Asscheman ◽  
Jacob C. Seidell ◽  
Jos A. J. Megens ◽  
Louis J. G. Gooren
Keyword(s):  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Visceral Fat ◽  
Causal Relation ◽  
Magnetic Resonance Images ◽  
Visceral Fat Area ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Fat Depots ◽  
Testosterone Administration ◽  
The Mean

The amount of intraabdominal (visceral) fat is an important determinant of disturbances in lipid and glucose metabolism. Cross-sectional studies in women have found associations between high androgen levels and visceral fat accumulation. The causal relation between these phenomena is unknown. We, therefore, studied prospectively the effect of testosterone administration on body fat distribution in 10 young, nonobese, female to male transsexuals undergoing sex reassignment. Before, after 1 yr, and after 3 yr of testosterone administration, magnetic resonance images were obtained at the level of the abdomen, hip, and thigh to quantify both sc and visceral fat depots. After 1 yr of testosterone administration, sc fat depots at all levels showed significant reductions compared to baseline measurements. The mean visceral fat area did not change significantly, but subjects who gained weight in the first year after testosterone administration showed an increase in visceral fat. After 3 yr of testosterone administration, sc fat depots were no longer significantly lower compared to pretreatment measurements, but the mean visceral fat depot had increased significantly by 13 cm2 (95% confidence interval, 4–22 cm2), a relative increase of 47% (95% confidence interval, 8–91%) from baseline. The increase in visceral fat was most pronounced in those subjects who had gained weight. We conclude that long term testosterone administration in young, nonobese, female subjects increases the amount of visceral fat. In addition, an increase in weight in this hyperandrogenic state leads to a preferential storage of fat in the visceral depot.

scholarly journals Effect of Hope-oriented group counseling on mental health of infertile women with failed IVF cycles: a randomized controlled trial

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Roya Rahimi ◽  
Shirin Hasanpour ◽  
Mojgan. Mirghafourvand ◽  
Khalil Esmaeilpour
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Group Counseling ◽  
Controlled Trial ◽  
Intervention Group ◽  
Mean Difference ◽  
Control Group ◽  
The Mean ◽  
And Control

Abstract Background Considering the prevalence of infertility in the community and the consequences of failure of infertility treatments on women’s mental health, interventions that can control stress, anxiety and depression in infertile women with a history of IVF failure will be very helpful. This study aimed to determine the effects of hope-oriented group counseling on mental health (primary outcome) and quality of life (QoL) (secondary outcome) of women with failed IVF cycles. Method This randomized controlled trial was conducted on 60 women with failed IVF cycles visiting Infertility Clinic at Al-Zahra Teaching Hospital of Tabriz- Iran. Participants were allocated to the intervention group (n = 30) and control group (n = 30) based on a randomized block design. Hope-oriented group counseling was provided to the intervention group in six 45–60 min sessions (once a week). The control group only received routine care to undergo another IVF cycle. The Depression Anxiety Stress Scale-21 (DASS-21) and the SF-12 Quality of Life Scale were filled out by interviewing the participants before the intervention and one week and one month after the intervention. After intervention 26 participants in each group were included in the analysis. Results There was no significant difference between the intervention and control groups in the socio-demographic profile of participants (P > 0.05). The post-intervention mean score of stress (adjusted mean difference = − 1.7, 95% confidence interval: − 3.2 to − 0.3, P = 0.018) and depression (adjusted mean difference = − 1.3, 95% confidence interval: − 4.7 to − 1.5, P < 0.001) was significantly lower in the intervention group compared to the control. Although the mean anxiety score was lower in the intervention group compared to the control, the difference between them was not statistically significant (adjusted mean difference = − 1.1, 95% confidence interval: − 2.6 to 0.4, P = 0.153). The mean score of QoL was significantly higher in the intervention group than that of the control group (adjusted mean difference = 6.9, 95% confidence interval: 5.1 to 8.8, P < 0.001). Conclusion Hope-oriented group counseling was effective in reducing stress and depression and improving QoL in women with failed IVF cycles. It is recommended to use this counseling approach, along with other methods, to improve the mental health of women with failed IVF cycles. Trial registration TCT Registration Number: TCTR 20191017003, registered on October 17, 2019.

A machine learning-based model for predicting intensive care unit length of stay in patients with cardiac surgery (Preprint)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nianyue Wu ◽  
Siru Liu ◽  
Haotian Zhang ◽  
Xiaomin Hou ◽  
Ping Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Intensive Care ◽  
Length Of Stay ◽  
Confidence Interval ◽  
Medical Information ◽  
Lasso Regression ◽  
Icu Length Of Stay ◽  
Data Source ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Selection Operator

BACKGROUND The intensive care unit (ICU) length of stay is significant to evaluate the effect of cardiac surgical treatment inpatient. OBJECTIVE This research aims to accurately predict the ICU length of stay in patients with cardiac surgery. Methods: We used machine learning methods to construct the model, and the medical information mart for intensive care (MIMIC IV) database was used as the data source. A total of 7,567 patients were enrolled and the mean length of stay in the ICU was 3.12 days. A total of 126 predictors were included, and 44 important predictors were screened by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression. METHODS We used machine learning methods to construct the model, and the medical information mart for intensive care (MIMIC IV) database was used as the data source. A total of 7,567 patients were enrolled and the mean length of stay in the ICU was 3.12 days. A total of 126 predictors were included, and 44 important predictors were screened by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression. RESULTS The mean accuracy are 0.603 (95% confidence interval (CI): [0.602-0.604]), 0.687 (95% confidence interval (CI): [0.687-0.688]) and 0.688 (95% confidence interval (CI): [0.687-0.689]) for the logistic regression (LR) with all variables, the gradient boosted decision tree (GBDT) with important variables and the GBDT with all variables respectively. CONCLUSIONS The GBDT model with important predictors partly overestimated patients whose length of stay was less than 3 days and underestimated patients whose length of stay was longer than 3 days. But the better prediction performance of GBDT facilitates early intervention of ICU patients with a long period of hospitalization.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document