scholarly journals The effects of past, present and future climate change on range-wide genetic diversity in northern North Atlantic marine species

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jim Provan
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Genetic Diversity ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Marine Species ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change

Genetic diversity in caribou linked to past and future climate change

2013 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 132-137 ◽  
Author(s):  
Glenn Yannic ◽  
Loïc Pellissier ◽  
Joaquín Ortego ◽  
Nicolas Lecomte ◽  
Serge Couturier ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Genetic Diversity ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change

Future climate change scenarios shaped by inter-model differences in Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation response 

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katinka Bellomo ◽  
Michela Angeloni ◽  
Susanna Corti ◽  
Jost von Hardenberg
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
The North ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
Climate Model Simulations

<div> <div> <div> <p>In climate model simulations of future climate change, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is projected to decline. However, the impacts of this decline, relative to other changes, remain to be identified. Here we address this problem by analyzing 30 idealized abrupt-4xCO2 climate model simulations. We find that in models with larger AMOC decline, there is a minimum warming in the North Atlantic, a southward displacement of the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and a poleward shift of the mid-latitude jet. The changes in the models with smaller AMOC decline are drastically different: there is a relatively larger warming in the North Atlantic, the precipitation response exhibits a wet-get-wetter, dry-get-drier pattern, and there are smaller displacements of the mid-latitude jet. Our study indicates that the AMOC is a major source of inter-model uncertainty, and continued observational efforts are needed to constrain the AMOC response in future climate change.</p> </div> </div> </div>

scholarly journals The response of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) to future climate change

2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (7) ◽  
pp. 1327-1337 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth F. Drinkwater
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Atlantic Cod ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Total Production ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

Abstract Future CO2-induced climate change scenarios from Global Circulation Models (GCMs) indicate increasing air temperatures, with the greatest warming in the Arctic and Subarctic. Changes to the wind fields and precipitation patterns are also suggested. These will lead to changes in the hydrographic properties of the ocean, as well as the vertical stratification and circulation patterns. Of particular note is the expected increase in ocean temperature. Based upon the observed responses of cod to temperature variability, the expected responses of cod stocks throughout the North Atlantic to the future temperature scenarios are reviewed and discussed here. Stocks in the Celtic and Irish Seas are expected to disappear under predicted temperature changes by the year 2100, while those in the southern North Sea and Georges Bank will decline. Cod will likely spread northwards along the coasts of Greenland and Labrador, occupy larger areas of the Barents Sea, and may even extend onto some of the continental shelves of the Arctic Ocean. In addition, spawning sites will be established further north than currently. It is likely that spring migrations will occur earlier, and fall returns will be later. There is the distinct possibility that, where seasonal sea ice disappears altogether, cod will cease their migration. Individual growth rates for many of the cod stocks will increase, leading to an overall increase in the total production of Atlantic cod in the North Atlantic. These responses of cod to future climate changes are highly uncertain, however, as they will also depend on the changes to climate and oceanographic variables besides temperature, such as plankton production, the prey and predator fields, and industrial fishing.

scholarly journals Phylogeography and niche modelling: reciprocal enlightenment

Mammalia ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 84 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Govan Pahad ◽  
Claudine Montgelard ◽  
Bettine Jansen van Vuuren
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Genetic Diversity ◽  
Ecological Niche ◽  
Spatial Genetic Structure ◽  
Distribution Patterns ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Environmental Niche ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Niche Modelling

Abstract Phylogeography examines the spatial genetic structure of species. Environmental niche modelling (or ecological niche modelling; ENM) examines the environmental limits of a species’ ecological niche. These two fields have great potential to be used together. ENM can shed light on how phylogeographical patterns develop and help identify possible drivers of spatial structure that need to be further investigated. Specifically, ENM can be used to test for niche differentiation among clades, identify factors limiting individual clades and identify barriers and contact zones. It can also be used to test hypotheses regarding the effects of historical and future climate change on spatial genetic patterns by projecting niches using palaeoclimate or future climate data. Conversely, phylogeographical information can populate ENM with within-species genetic diversity. Where adaptive variation exists among clades within a species, modelling their niches separately can improve predictions of historical distribution patterns and future responses to climate change. Awareness of patterns of genetic diversity in niche modelling can also alert conservationists to the potential loss of genetically diverse areas in a species’ range. Here, we provide a simplistic overview of both fields, and focus on their potential for integration, encouraging researchers on both sides to take advantage of the opportunities available.

Future Climate Change of the Subtropical North Atlantic: Implications for the Cloud Forests of Tenerife

2004 ◽  
Vol 65 (1/2) ◽  
pp. 103-123 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank N. Sperling ◽  
Richard Washington ◽  
Robert J. Whittaker
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Cloud Forests

scholarly journals Ancient events and climate adaptive capacity shaped distinct chloroplast genetic structure in the oak lineages

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mengxiao Yan ◽  
Ruibin Liu ◽  
Ying Li ◽  
Andrew L. Hipp ◽  
Min Deng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Genetic Diversity ◽  
Genetic Structure ◽  
Environmental Changes ◽  
Spatial Genetic Structure ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Genetic Patterns ◽  
Genetic Structures

Abstract Background Understanding the origin of genetic variation is the key to predict how species will respond to future climate change. The genus Quercus is a species-rich and ecologically diverse woody genus that dominates a wide range of forests and woodland communities of the Northern Hemisphere. Quercus thus offers a unique opportunity to investigate how adaptation to environmental changes has shaped the spatial genetic structure of closely related lineages. Furthermore, Quercus provides a deep insight into how tree species will respond to future climate change. This study investigated whether closely related Quercus lineages have similar spatial genetic structures and moreover, what roles have their geographic distribution, ecological tolerance, and historical environmental changes played in the similar or distinct genetic structures. Results Despite their close relationships, the three main oak lineages (Quercus sections Cyclobalanopsis, Ilex, and Quercus) have different spatial genetic patterns and occupy different climatic niches. The lowest level and most homogeneous pattern of genetic diversity was found in section Cyclobalanopsis, which is restricted to warm and humid climates. The highest genetic diversity and strongest geographic genetic structure were found in section Ilex, which is due to their long-term isolation and strong local adaptation. The widespread section Quercus is distributed across the most heterogeneous range of environments; however, it exhibited moderate haplotype diversity. This is likely due to regional extinction during Quaternary climatic fluctuation in Europe and North America. Conclusions Genetic variations of sections Ilex and Quercus were significantly predicted by geographic and climate variations, while those of section Cyclobalanopsis were poorly predictable by geographic or climatic diversity. Apart from the different historical environmental changes experienced by different sections, variation of their ecological or climatic tolerances and physiological traits induced varying responses to similar environment changes, resulting in distinct spatial genetic patterns.

scholarly journals Climate and genetic diversity change in mammals during the Late Quaternary

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Spyros Theodoridis ◽  
Alexander Flórez-Rodríguez ◽  
Ditte M. Truelsen ◽  
Konstantinos Giampoudakis ◽  
Raquel A. Garcia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Genetic Diversity ◽  
Dna Sequences ◽  
Late Quaternary ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Intraspecific Diversity ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Mammal Species ◽  
Climate Change Projections ◽  
Extant Species

AbstractConservation decisions and future scenarios are in need of past baselines on climate change impacts in biodiversity. Although we know that climate change has contributed to diversity shifts in some mammals1,2,3,4,5,6,7, previous research often assumed that climate change is invariable across species’ ranges. We are therefore still ignorant of the true rates of climate change experienced by species assemblages over the last millennia, their impacts on intraspecific diversity, and how they compare to future climate change projections. Here, we use more than 9,000 Late Quaternary records, including fossils and ancient and modern DNA sequences, millennial-scale paleoclimatic reconstructions over the last 50,000 years and future climate change projections to document rates of climate change velocity and dynamics in genetic diversity experienced by an assemblage of 16 extinct and extant Holarctic mammal species. Extinct megafauna experienced velocities more than 15 times faster than the extant species, up to 15.2 km per decade. Notably, extant large-bodied grazers lost almost a 65% of their pool of genetic diversity since the Late Pleistocene, which indicates reduced ability to adapt to on-going global change. Additionally, mammal species experienced overall climate change velocities slower than that projected for the end of the 21st century but punctuated by comparable fast climate change episodes. Our results provide baselines on the impacts of ongoing and future climate change on the diversity of mammal species.

scholarly journals Future climate change shaped by inter-model differences in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation response

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Katinka Bellomo ◽  
Michela Angeloni ◽  
Susanna Corti ◽  
Jost von Hardenberg
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
The North ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
Climate Model Simulations

AbstractIn climate model simulations of future climate change, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is projected to decline. However, the impacts of this decline, relative to other changes, remain to be identified. Here we address this problem by analyzing 30 idealized abrupt-4xCO2 climate model simulations. We find that in models with larger AMOC decline, there is a minimum warming in the North Atlantic, a southward displacement of the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone, and a poleward shift of the mid-latitude jet. The changes in the models with smaller AMOC decline are drastically different: there is a relatively larger warming in the North Atlantic, the precipitation response exhibits a wet-get-wetter, dry-get-drier pattern, and there are smaller displacements of the mid-latitude jet. Our study indicates that the AMOC is a major source of inter-model uncertainty, and continued observational efforts are needed to constrain the AMOC response in future climate change.

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