The Performance of Long-run Stock Returns Following Issues of Public and Private Debt

Author(s):  
Ilia D. Dichev ◽  
Joseph D. Piotroski
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 127
Author(s):  
Marco Tronzano

This paper focuses on four major aggregate stock price indexes (SP 500, Stock Europe 600, Nikkei 225, Shanghai Composite) and two “safe-haven” assets (Gold, Swiss Franc), and explores their return co-movements during the last two decades. Significant contagion effects on stock markets are documented during almost all financial crises; moreover, in line with the recent literature, the defensive role of gold and the Swiss Franc in asset portfolios is highlighted. Focusing on a new set of macroeconomic and financial series, a significant impact of these variables on stock returns correlations is found, notably in the case of the world equity risk premium. Finally, long-run risks are detected in all asset portfolios including the Chinese stock market index. Overall, this empirical evidence is of interest for researchers, financial risk managers and policy makers.


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