scholarly journals The Economic Effects of Direct Democracy - A Cross-Country Assessment

Author(s):  
Stefan Voigt ◽  
Lorenz Blume
Public Choice ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 140 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 431-461 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lorenz Blume ◽  
Jens Müller ◽  
Stefan Voigt

2022 ◽  
Vol 158 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pragyan Deb ◽  
Davide Furceri ◽  
Daniel Jimenez ◽  
Siddharth Kothari ◽  
Jonathan D. Ostry ◽  
...  

AbstractThis paper empirically examines the economic effects of COVID-19 vaccine rollouts using a cross-country daily database of vaccinations and high-frequency indicators of economic activity—nitrogen dioxide (NO2) emissions, carbon monoxide (CO) emissions, and Google mobility indices—for a sample of 46 countries over the period December 16, 2020 to June 20, 2021. Using surprises in vaccines administered, we find that an unexpected increase in vaccination per capita is associated with a significant increase in economic activity. We also find evidence for nonlinear effects of vaccines, with the marginal economic benefits being larger when vaccination rates are higher. Country-specific conditions play an important role, with lower economic gains if strict containment measures are in place or if the country is experiencing a severe outbreak. Finally, the results provide evidence of spillovers across borders, highlighting the importance of equitable access to vaccines across nations.


Author(s):  
Fabio Milani

AbstractThe COVID-19 pandemic underscored the importance of countries’ interconnections in understanding and reacting to the spread of the virus.This paper uses a global model with a sample of 41 countries to study the interdependencies between COVID-19 health shocks, populations’ risk perceptions about the disease, and their social distancing responses; it also provides some early evidence about potential economic effects.Social networks are a central component in understanding the international transmission.We exploit a dataset on existing social connections across country borders, made available by Facebook, and show that social networks help explain not only the spread of the disease, but also cross-country spillovers in risk perceptions and in social behavior. Social distancing responses across countries are measured based on aggregated mobility tracking indicators, obtained from Google Mobility Reports.We estimate a Global VAR (GVAR) model, which allows for endogeneity of each health, social, and economic, domestic variable, and for a dependence of domestic variables on country-specific foreign aggregates, which depend in turn on the matrix of social connections.Our empirical results highlight the importance of cross-country interdependencies and social networks. Risk perceptions and social responses are affected by experiences abroad, with Italy and the U.S. playing large roles in our sample. The social distancing responses to domestic health shocks are heterogeneous across countries, but they share some similarities: they adjust only gradually and with delay, hence displaying adaptive behavior.Early indicators are suggestive of unemployment consequences that vary widely across countries, depending on their labor market characteristics. Unemployment is particularly responsive to health shocks in the U.S. and Spain, while the fluctuations are attenuated almost everywhere else.


2005 ◽  
Vol 192 ◽  
pp. 68-83 ◽  
Author(s):  
Asli Demirgüç-Kunt ◽  
Enrica Detragiache

A rapidly growing empirical literature is studying the causes and consequences of bank fragility in contemporary economies. The paper reviews the two basic methodologies adopted in cross-country empirical studies, the signals approach and the multivariate probability model, and their application to study the determinants of banking crises. The use of these models to provide early warnings for crises is also reviewed, as are studies of the economic effects of banking crises and of the policies to forestall them. The paper concludes by identifying directions for future research.


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