scholarly journals A Structural VAR Approach to the Intertemporal Model of the Current Account

Author(s):  
Takashi Kano
2015 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 1199-1204
Author(s):  
Mohamed Arouri ◽  
Arif Billah Dar ◽  
Niyati Bhanja ◽  
Aviral Kumar Tiwari ◽  
Frederic Teulon

The study analyzes the dynamic interlinkage between Indias real effective exchange rate and real current account deficit using standard VAR and structural VAR (SVAR). The empirical analysis suggests that a real currency appreciation leads to an improvement in the current account deficit, thereby highlighting the occurrence of permanent shocks such as technical innovations, productivity shocks, and changes in tastes and preferences. A positive shock to the current account deficit leads to an appreciation in the real exchange rate. Moreover, both current account and real exchange rates are found to be affected by the changes in these variables themselves rather than changes in the other variables in the system.


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 86-92 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hassan Belkacem Ghassan ◽  
Essam Hashim Al-Jeefri

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 163
Author(s):  
Komain Jiranyakul

This paper is motivated by the controversial issue in the literature pertaining to the impact of real exchange rate, housing prices and stock prices on current account fluctuations. Thailand’s quarterly data are used to examine the impacts of shocks to asset prices and real exchange rate on the current imbalances. The paper employs a structural VAR methodology with short-run restrictions. The estimates of structural VAR models are able to identify interactions among asset prices, real exchange rate, and the current account. The estimated results from two different structural models show that the responses of current account to shocks are different. It can be concluded that shocks to real exchange rate affect current account and that shocks to real housing prices can better explain current account fluctuations than shocks to real stock prices. Based upon the results from this study, policymakers should take into account the importance of shocks to real exchange rate and real housing prices that can affect the current account of the country. 


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document